**Strained bilateral relations and deliberate avoidance of public optics explain the overwhelming market consensus favoring no handshake.** The July 28 White House meeting—the first in-person session since the February start of joint U.S.-Israel actions against Iran—occurred amid documented friction, including Trump’s public criticism of Israeli strikes in Lebanon and delays in scheduling. Reports indicated the session was structured without a planned photo opportunity or public greeting, consistent with sensitive diplomatic handling of ongoing policy disagreements over Iran and regional ceasefires. Netanyahu later shared internal images, yet none depicted a handshake, aligning with trader pricing that treats the absence of any visible greeting as the resolved outcome. The 99.6% probability on no handshake reflects this low-profile format rather than outright rupture. Late developments such as an unexpected official photo release or separate bilateral encounter could still shift resolution, though the meeting’s closed-door character and preceding tensions make such reversals unlikely within standard resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas de poignée de main 99.6%
6–10 s <1%
Uniquement photographiés <1%
<2s <1%
$71,420 Vol.
$71,420 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
Pas de poignée de main
100%
<2s
<1%
2–6s
<1%
6–10 s
1%
10–15s
<1%
15s+
<1%
Uniquement photographiés
<1%
Pas de poignée de main 99.6%
6–10 s <1%
Uniquement photographiés <1%
<2s <1%
$71,420 Vol.
$71,420 Vol.
31 juil. 2026
Pas de poignée de main
$23,269 Vol.
100%
<2s
$3,912 Vol.
<1%
2–6s
$6,540 Vol.
<1%
6–10 s
$15,019 Vol.
1%
10–15s
$10,045 Vol.
<1%
15s+
$4,500 Vol.
<1%
Uniquement photographiés
$8,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.**Strained bilateral relations and deliberate avoidance of public optics explain the overwhelming market consensus favoring no handshake.** The July 28 White House meeting—the first in-person session since the February start of joint U.S.-Israel actions against Iran—occurred amid documented friction, including Trump’s public criticism of Israeli strikes in Lebanon and delays in scheduling. Reports indicated the session was structured without a planned photo opportunity or public greeting, consistent with sensitive diplomatic handling of ongoing policy disagreements over Iran and regional ceasefires. Netanyahu later shared internal images, yet none depicted a handshake, aligning with trader pricing that treats the absence of any visible greeting as the resolved outcome.
The 99.6% probability on no handshake reflects this low-profile format rather than outright rupture. Late developments such as an unexpected official photo release or separate bilateral encounter could still shift resolution, though the meeting’s closed-door character and preceding tensions make such reversals unlikely within standard resolution windows.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Marché ouvert : Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Volume
$71,420Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.**Strained bilateral relations and deliberate avoidance of public optics explain the overwhelming market consensus favoring no handshake.** The July 28 White House meeting—the first in-person session since the February start of joint U.S.-Israel actions against Iran—occurred amid documented friction, including Trump’s public criticism of Israeli strikes in Lebanon and delays in scheduling. Reports indicated the session was structured without a planned photo opportunity or public greeting, consistent with sensitive diplomatic handling of ongoing policy disagreements over Iran and regional ceasefires. Netanyahu later shared internal images, yet none depicted a handshake, aligning with trader pricing that treats the absence of any visible greeting as the resolved outcome.
The 99.6% probability on no handshake reflects this low-profile format rather than outright rupture. Late developments such as an unexpected official photo release or separate bilateral encounter could still shift resolution, though the meeting’s closed-door character and preceding tensions make such reversals unlikely within standard resolution windows.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.
If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.
Volume
$71,420Date de fin
31 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 24, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strained bilateral relations and deliberate avoidance of public optics explain the overwhelming market consensus favoring no handshake.** The July 28 White House meeting—the first in-person session since the February start of joint U.S.-Israel actions against Iran—occurred amid documented friction, including Trump’s public criticism of Israeli strikes in Lebanon and delays in scheduling. Reports indicated the session was structured without a planned photo opportunity or public greeting, consistent with sensitive diplomatic handling of ongoing policy disagreements over Iran and regional ceasefires. Netanyahu later shared internal images, yet none depicted a handshake, aligning with trader pricing that treats the absence of any visible greeting as the resolved outcome. The 99.6% probability on no handshake reflects this low-profile format rather than outright rupture. Late developments such as an unexpected official photo release or separate bilateral encounter could still shift resolution, though the meeting’s closed-door character and preceding tensions make such reversals unlikely within standard resolution windows.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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