**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 7–9 centers on the 40–64 bracket at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 26.5%.** This positioning reflects Musk’s recent posting cadence, which has settled into a steadier rhythm of roughly 25–35 posts across comparable three-day windows, including lower-volume weekends and holidays. Recent activity around Cybercab updates, Grok features, and platform milestones shows consistent but not extreme engagement, aligning with the favored range. Labor Day observances on September 7 and the lack of immediate major company announcements or external triggers further support moderated volume. Apple’s September 9 event could prompt limited commentary, yet historical patterns indicate it is unlikely to drive outsized activity unless tied directly to Tesla or X developments. The market prices reflect aggregated trader assessment of these steady-state dynamics rather than any single catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 50%
65-89 27%
Moins de 40 14%
90-114 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
Moins de 40
14%
40-64
50%
65-89
27%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 27%
Moins de 40 14%
90-114 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
Moins de 40
$134 Vol.
14%
40-64
$123 Vol.
50%
65-89
$60 Vol.
27%
90-114
$1,034 Vol.
6%
115-139
$1,016 Vol.
1%
140-164
$11 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$443 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$8 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$8 Vol.
<1%
240+
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 7–9 centers on the 40–64 bracket at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 26.5%.** This positioning reflects Musk’s recent posting cadence, which has settled into a steadier rhythm of roughly 25–35 posts across comparable three-day windows, including lower-volume weekends and holidays. Recent activity around Cybercab updates, Grok features, and platform milestones shows consistent but not extreme engagement, aligning with the favored range. Labor Day observances on September 7 and the lack of immediate major company announcements or external triggers further support moderated volume. Apple’s September 9 event could prompt limited commentary, yet historical patterns indicate it is unlikely to drive outsized activity unless tied directly to Tesla or X developments. The market prices reflect aggregated trader assessment of these steady-state dynamics rather than any single catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,942Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 7–9 centers on the 40–64 bracket at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 26.5%.** This positioning reflects Musk’s recent posting cadence, which has settled into a steadier rhythm of roughly 25–35 posts across comparable three-day windows, including lower-volume weekends and holidays. Recent activity around Cybercab updates, Grok features, and platform milestones shows consistent but not extreme engagement, aligning with the favored range. Labor Day observances on September 7 and the lack of immediate major company announcements or external triggers further support moderated volume. Apple’s September 9 event could prompt limited commentary, yet historical patterns indicate it is unlikely to drive outsized activity unless tied directly to Tesla or X developments. The market prices reflect aggregated trader assessment of these steady-state dynamics rather than any single catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,942Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 7–9 centers on the 40–64 bracket at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 65–89 at 26.5%.** This positioning reflects Musk’s recent posting cadence, which has settled into a steadier rhythm of roughly 25–35 posts across comparable three-day windows, including lower-volume weekends and holidays. Recent activity around Cybercab updates, Grok features, and platform milestones shows consistent but not extreme engagement, aligning with the favored range. Labor Day observances on September 7 and the lack of immediate major company announcements or external triggers further support moderated volume. Apple’s September 9 event could prompt limited commentary, yet historical patterns indicate it is unlikely to drive outsized activity unless tied directly to Tesla or X developments. The market prices reflect aggregated trader assessment of these steady-state dynamics rather than any single catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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