Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and significant production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf states, have driven sharp inventory draws and elevated WTI crude prices near or above $100 per barrel into early June 2026. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid an 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory decline in the second quarter, though recent U.S.-Iran peace talks have introduced downside volatility. OPEC+’s fourth consecutive 188,000 barrel-per-day quota hike effective July, combined with the June 10 EIA weekly inventory release and June 11 OPEC report, will shape near-term price paths. These dynamics create a narrow window where sustained disruptions could support higher settlements while any rapid normalization risks accelerating the projected decline toward $89 per barrel by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
Pétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$134,297 Vol.
30 juin 2026
90 $
53%
85 $
69%
80 $
83%
75 $
87%
70 $
94%
65 $
93%
63 $
97%
60 $
98%
56 $
98%
55 $
98%
52 $
99%
50 $
99%
$134,297 Vol.
90 $
$26,549 Vol.
53%
85 $
$7,089 Vol.
69%
80 $
$6,036 Vol.
83%
75 $
$16,860 Vol.
87%
70 $
$20,296 Vol.
94%
65 $
$877 Vol.
93%
63 $
$9,105 Vol.
97%
60 $
$23,495 Vol.
98%
56 $
$4,950 Vol.
98%
55 $
$3,634 Vol.
98%
52 $
$6,332 Vol.
99%
50 $
$9,074 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and significant production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf states, have driven sharp inventory draws and elevated WTI crude prices near or above $100 per barrel into early June 2026. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid an 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory decline in the second quarter, though recent U.S.-Iran peace talks have introduced downside volatility. OPEC+’s fourth consecutive 188,000 barrel-per-day quota hike effective July, combined with the June 10 EIA weekly inventory release and June 11 OPEC report, will shape near-term price paths. These dynamics create a narrow window where sustained disruptions could support higher settlements while any rapid normalization risks accelerating the projected decline toward $89 per barrel by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$134,297Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and significant production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf states, have driven sharp inventory draws and elevated WTI crude prices near or above $100 per barrel into early June 2026. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid an 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory decline in the second quarter, though recent U.S.-Iran peace talks have introduced downside volatility. OPEC+’s fourth consecutive 188,000 barrel-per-day quota hike effective July, combined with the June 10 EIA weekly inventory release and June 11 OPEC report, will shape near-term price paths. These dynamics create a narrow window where sustained disruptions could support higher settlements while any rapid normalization risks accelerating the projected decline toward $89 per barrel by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volume
$134,297Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and significant production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and other Gulf states, have driven sharp inventory draws and elevated WTI crude prices near or above $100 per barrel into early June 2026. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June amid an 8.5 million barrel-per-day global inventory decline in the second quarter, though recent U.S.-Iran peace talks have introduced downside volatility. OPEC+’s fourth consecutive 188,000 barrel-per-day quota hike effective July, combined with the June 10 EIA weekly inventory release and June 11 OPEC report, will shape near-term price paths. These dynamics create a narrow window where sustained disruptions could support higher settlements while any rapid normalization risks accelerating the projected decline toward $89 per barrel by year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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