Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 66.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted around 61 goals to claim the Bundesliga Golden Boot and help secure the league title plus DFB-Pokal. His England performances at the 2026 World Cup, including multiple goals en route to the semifinals or third place, further strengthened his case among traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 14% on the back of Spain’s World Cup triumph and consistent creativity at Barcelona, while Rodri benefits similarly from the Spanish success. Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and others trail due to narrower margins in club silverware or less decisive tournament impact relative to Kane’s output. Market pricing reflects the weight voters place on individual numbers and major trophies in a World Cup year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHarry Kane 66.5%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Rodri 6%
$32,515,751 Vol.
$32,515,751 Vol.
Harry Kane
67%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 66.5%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
Rodri 6%
$32,515,751 Vol.
$32,515,751 Vol.
Harry Kane
67%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Rodri
6%
Lionel Messi
2%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 66.5% implied probability after a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted around 61 goals to claim the Bundesliga Golden Boot and help secure the league title plus DFB-Pokal. His England performances at the 2026 World Cup, including multiple goals en route to the semifinals or third place, further strengthened his case among traders. Lamine Yamal sits at 14% on the back of Spain’s World Cup triumph and consistent creativity at Barcelona, while Rodri benefits similarly from the Spanish success. Kylian Mbappé, Lionel Messi, and others trail due to narrower margins in club silverware or less decisive tournament impact relative to Kane’s output. Market pricing reflects the weight voters place on individual numbers and major trophies in a World Cup year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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