Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
| October 19 | 98% |
| October 20 | 98% |
| October 26 | 98% |
| October 17 | 97% |
| October 22 | 97% |
| October 23 | 96% |
| October 21 | 95% |
| October 28 | 95% |
| October 24 | 95% |
| October 29 | 95% |
| October 27 | 95% |
| October 25 | 93% |
| October 30 | 92% |
| October 18 | 92% |
| October 31 | 90% |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionall