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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$25K volume, ends Nov 4, 2026

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate3%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate2%
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