Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
| No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate | 58% |
| No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | 34% |
| Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate | 5% |
| Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate | 4% |
Rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf