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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

$121K volume, ends Nov 1, 2026

Friedrich Merz96%
Ursula von der Leyen94%
Mark Carney92%
Elon Musk75%
Mohammed bin Salman74%
Andy Burnham66%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy56%
Vladimir Putin53%
Mark Rutte46%
Ahmed al-Sharaa40%
Lula da Silva34%
Xi Jinping8%
Kim Jong Un5%
Maria Corina Machado4%
Pope Leo XIV3%
Miguel Díaz-Canel3%
Reza Pahlavi2%
Yoon Suk Yeol1%
Nicolás Maduro1%
Masoud Pezeshkian0%
Mojtaba Khamenei0%
Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified t