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Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

$40K volume, ends Oct 31, 2026

Kaitlan Collins>99%
Barack Obama97%
Jon Ossoff90%
Kamala Harris90%
Gavin Newsom86%
Hakeem Jeffries76%
J.B. Pritzker68%
Elizabeth Warren65%
Chuck Schumer61%
Ilhan Omar58%
Hillary Clinton53%
Tucker Carlson52%
Kathy Hochul50%
Marjorie Taylor Greene43%
Ken Paxton36%
Zohran Mamdani36%
Jimmy Kimmel35%
Hasan Piker32%
Thomas Massie32%
Mark Carney28%
Candace Owens28%
Friedrich Merz26%
Masoud Pezeshkian15%
Dario Amodei15%
Stephen Colbert14%
Mike Rogers14%
Emmanuel Macron10%
Pope Leo XIV8%
Xi Jinping8%
Benjamin Netanyahu8%
Vladimir Putin6%
Andy Burnham6%
Elon Musk6%
Kevin Warsh6%
J.D. Vance1%
Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or