Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

$102K volume, ends Jan 1, 2027

Jay Clayton	95%
Person B	50%
Person C	50%
Person D	50%
Person E	50%
Person F	50%
Person G	50%
Person H	50%
Person I	50%
Person J	50%
Person K	50%
Person L	50%
Person M	50%
Person N	50%
Person O	50%
Person P	50%
Person Q	50%
Person R	50%
Person S	50%
Person T	50%
Person U	50%
Person V	50%
Person W	50%
Person X	50%
Person Y	50%
Person Z	50%
Other	50%
No Czar by December 31	5%
Emil Michael	1%
Scott Kupor	<1%
Sriram Krishnan	<1%
Michael Kratsios	<1%
Sean Cairncross	<1%
Chamath Palihapitiya	<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.