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icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$37,450 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$37,450 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$64 Vol.

87%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$3,007 Vol.

80%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$60 Vol.

77%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$95 Vol.

76%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$1,136 Vol.

74%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,076 Vol.

69%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$80 Vol.

69%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$525 Vol.

66%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$818 Vol.

65%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$448 Vol.

65%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$100 Vol.

62%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$120 Vol.

60%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$1,424 Vol.

50%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$1,099 Vol.

47%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$482 Vol.

38%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

36%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

33%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$1,159 Vol.

40%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$448 Vol.

31%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$20 Vol.

31%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$60 Vol.

31%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$60 Vol.

30%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$462 Vol.

28%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$145 Vol.

27%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.

27%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$332 Vol.

27%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

27%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$410 Vol.

19%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$1,282 Vol.

22%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$1,639 Vol.

22%

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Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

22%

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Liz Cheney

$1,351 Vol.

21%

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Gina Raimondo

$974 Vol.

20%

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Phil Murphy

$463 Vol.

20%

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Steve Bannon

$719 Vol.

20%

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Tucker Carlson

$745 Vol.

19%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

19%

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Stephen A. Smith

$701 Vol.

19%

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Mark Cuban

$143 Vol.

19%

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Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

17%

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John Thune

$203 Vol.

17%

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Mike Pence

$542 Vol.

17%

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Jon Stewart

$1,256 Vol.

17%

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Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

17%

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Bernie Sanders

$975 Vol.

16%

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Michelle Obama

$783 Vol.

16%

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Elon Musk

$275 Vol.

16%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$716 Vol.

16%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

15%

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Hunter Biden

$1,265 Vol.

15%

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Kim Kardashian

$1,430 Vol.

14%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

13%

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Tom Brady

$20 Vol.

13%

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MrBeast

$982 Vol.

13%

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Zohran Mamdani

$944 Vol.

13%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$0 Vol.

13%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$1,900 Vol.

12%

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Byron Donalds

$0 Vol.

12%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

11%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$920 Vol.

10%

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Tim Walz

$1,911 Vol.

8%

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George Clooney

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$63 Vol.

3%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$90 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders including Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom have signaled interest through public statements and positioning but delayed formal announcements, with Vance indicating he will discuss plans with family after the November 2026 midterms. Newsom has described a possible bid as a matter of "fate" while traveling nationally and addressing Democratic strategy. Early polling and prediction markets highlight these figures alongside Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg as leading names in an open field, though no major candidates have launched exploratory committees or campaigns as of August 2026. The midterms and resulting shifts in party influence and polling averages will shape timelines for declarations ahead of the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,450
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders including Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom have signaled interest through public statements and positioning but delayed formal announcements, with Vance indicating he will discuss plans with family after the November 2026 midterms. Newsom has described a possible bid as a matter of "fate" while traveling nationally and addressing Democratic strategy. Early polling and prediction markets highlight these figures alongside Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg as leading names in an open field, though no major candidates have launched exploratory committees or campaigns as of August 2026. The midterms and resulting shifts in party influence and polling averages will shape timelines for declarations ahead of the primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$37,450
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 80%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $37.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "Pete Buttigieg" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 80%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.