Europe's substantial edge stems from its unmatched depth, with multiple high-caliber sides like France, Spain, England, and Portugal occupying the top FIFA rankings and power lists ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. This concentration of talent across UEFA nations aligns with the 70.5% implied probability. South America's 22.5% share reflects the continued strength of Argentina and Brazil as the primary realistic challengers from CONMEBOL, bolstered by their recent continental success. Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania sit much lower because those confederations field fewer teams capable of sustaining deep runs, despite home-soil advantages for the hosts and isolated standouts like Morocco or Japan. Pre-tournament friendlies and updated rankings have reinforced this continental hierarchy without major shifts in the past week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트유럽 71%
남미 23%
아프리카 3.1%
아시아 2.6%
$2,920,504 거래량
$2,920,504 거래량
유럽
71%
남미
23%
아프리카
3%
아시아
3%
북미
2%
오세아니아
<1%
유럽 71%
남미 23%
아프리카 3.1%
아시아 2.6%
$2,920,504 거래량
$2,920,504 거래량
유럽
71%
남미
23%
아프리카
3%
아시아
3%
북미
2%
오세아니아
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe's substantial edge stems from its unmatched depth, with multiple high-caliber sides like France, Spain, England, and Portugal occupying the top FIFA rankings and power lists ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. This concentration of talent across UEFA nations aligns with the 70.5% implied probability. South America's 22.5% share reflects the continued strength of Argentina and Brazil as the primary realistic challengers from CONMEBOL, bolstered by their recent continental success. Africa, Asia, North America, and Oceania sit much lower because those confederations field fewer teams capable of sustaining deep runs, despite home-soil advantages for the hosts and isolated standouts like Morocco or Japan. Pre-tournament friendlies and updated rankings have reinforced this continental hierarchy without major shifts in the past week.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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