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What will the NYT front-page headlines say on Sunday? (November 15)

$7K volume, ends Nov 16, 2026

War66%
Iran / Iranian62%
NFL / Football50%
Trump48%
Putin46%
Crypto / Bitcoin45%
AI / Artificial Intelligence37%
Israel / Israeli36%
Claude / Anthropic36%
Fall / Plummet20%
Game10%
Talarico9%
Blockade9%
Ocean8%
Rigged7%
Peace7%
United Nations1%
Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page on November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appe