Redistricting has reshaped Utah's 2nd congressional district into a northern Utah seat covering Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber counties, creating a strongly Republican tilt based on recent voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore, the prior incumbent from the 1st district, secured the GOP nomination and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November 2026 general election. Moore's established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's conservative electorate underpin the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. Crosby advanced through the Democratic process but operates in an environment with limited structural advantages. Only late-cycle developments such as major candidate scandals, an unforeseen national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,055 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$4,865 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has reshaped Utah's 2nd congressional district into a northern Utah seat covering Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber counties, creating a strongly Republican tilt based on recent voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore, the prior incumbent from the 1st district, secured the GOP nomination and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November 2026 general election. Moore's established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's conservative electorate underpin the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. Crosby advanced through the Democratic process but operates in an environment with limited structural advantages. Only late-cycle developments such as major candidate scandals, an unforeseen national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$5,920End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has reshaped Utah's 2nd congressional district into a northern Utah seat covering Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber counties, creating a strongly Republican tilt based on recent voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore, the prior incumbent from the 1st district, secured the GOP nomination and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November 2026 general election. Moore's established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's conservative electorate underpin the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. Crosby advanced through the Democratic process but operates in an environment with limited structural advantages. Only late-cycle developments such as major candidate scandals, an unforeseen national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,920End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has reshaped Utah's 2nd congressional district into a northern Utah seat covering Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber counties, creating a strongly Republican tilt based on recent voting patterns. Republican Blake Moore, the prior incumbent from the 1st district, secured the GOP nomination and faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November 2026 general election. Moore's established fundraising, name recognition, and alignment with the district's conservative electorate underpin the market's 93.5% Republican consensus. Crosby advanced through the Democratic process but operates in an environment with limited structural advantages. Only late-cycle developments such as major candidate scandals, an unforeseen national partisan shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could realistically alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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