Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
| ↓ 4% | 46% |
| ↑ 8% | 16% |
| ↑ 10% | 12% |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Shapiro's hourly odds value in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or is equal to or below the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which Josh Shapiro's hourly odds value is below the listed threshold (for a "↑" market) or above the listed threshold (for a "↓" market) ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for Josh Shapiro (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Josh Shapiro in the "2028 Democratic Nomination" listing before January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing Josh Shapiro from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up