Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at over 90 percent. She defeated Republican Lily Tang Williams by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains double-digit advantages in early polling, including 48-36 in a March 2026 Saint Anselm survey and wider margins in subsequent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm samples. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, underscoring the structural edge of incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's recent voting patterns. The Republican primary field, which includes Williams and lesser-known challengers, has not yet produced polling momentum capable of closing the gap. Late developments such as national midterm swings, primary surprises on either side, or shifts in turnout among suburban or rural voters could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNH-02 House Election Winner
NH-02 House Election Winner
$14,638 Vol.
$14,638 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$14,638 Vol.
$14,638 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,002 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$8,637 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at over 90 percent. She defeated Republican Lily Tang Williams by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains double-digit advantages in early polling, including 48-36 in a March 2026 Saint Anselm survey and wider margins in subsequent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm samples. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, underscoring the structural edge of incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's recent voting patterns. The Republican primary field, which includes Williams and lesser-known challengers, has not yet produced polling momentum capable of closing the gap. Late developments such as national midterm swings, primary surprises on either side, or shifts in turnout among suburban or rural voters could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$14,638End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at over 90 percent. She defeated Republican Lily Tang Williams by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains double-digit advantages in early polling, including 48-36 in a March 2026 Saint Anselm survey and wider margins in subsequent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm samples. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, underscoring the structural edge of incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's recent voting patterns. The Republican primary field, which includes Williams and lesser-known challengers, has not yet produced polling momentum capable of closing the gap. Late developments such as national midterm swings, primary surprises on either side, or shifts in turnout among suburban or rural voters could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,638End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district for the 2026 House election, reflected in trader consensus pricing her party at over 90 percent. She defeated Republican Lily Tang Williams by roughly three points in 2024 and maintains double-digit advantages in early polling, including 48-36 in a March 2026 Saint Anselm survey and wider margins in subsequent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm samples. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, underscoring the structural edge of incumbency, established fundraising, and the district's recent voting patterns. The Republican primary field, which includes Williams and lesser-known challengers, has not yet produced polling momentum capable of closing the gap. Late developments such as national midterm swings, primary surprises on either side, or shifts in turnout among suburban or rural voters could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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