Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to overnight lows in New York City on June 6 settling in the low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 70–73°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass advecting from the south, combined with elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, is suppressing temperature drops below seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F either direction. Official Central Park observations, which resolve the market, will be finalized after midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 6 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 6 giugno?
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 37%
68-69°F 24%
74-75°F 4.5%
NUOVO
$12,544 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,544 Vol.
6 giu 2026
57°F o inferiore
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
5%
76°F o superiore
3%
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 37%
68-69°F 24%
74-75°F 4.5%
NUOVO
$12,544 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,544 Vol.
6 giu 2026
57°F o inferiore
$2,682 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$6,482 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$541 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$426 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$449 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$108 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$100 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$230 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$159 Vol.
38%
74-75°F
$515 Vol.
5%
76°F o superiore
$853 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to overnight lows in New York City on June 6 settling in the low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 70–73°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass advecting from the south, combined with elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, is suppressing temperature drops below seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F either direction. Official Central Park observations, which resolve the market, will be finalized after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$12,544Data di fine
6 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to overnight lows in New York City on June 6 settling in the low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 70–73°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass advecting from the south, combined with elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, is suppressing temperature drops below seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F either direction. Official Central Park observations, which resolve the market, will be finalized after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,544Data di fine
6 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance points to overnight lows in New York City on June 6 settling in the low 70s, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around the 70–73°F bins that together exceed 70% implied probability. A warm, humid air mass advecting from the south, combined with elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, is suppressing temperature drops below seasonal norms. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum by 1–2°F either direction. Official Central Park observations, which resolve the market, will be finalized after midnight local time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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