**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and prevents arrest or detention on prior charges while in office.** His five ongoing trials—centered on pre-presidency allegations of election-law violations, corruption, bribery, and misuse of public funds—have been indefinitely postponed by courts, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or successful impeachment efforts have emerged in 2026 that would strip this protection before year-end. Isolated opposition petitions and a ballot-scandal controversy have generated headlines but lack the National Assembly support needed to advance, given the Democratic Party’s majority. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying insurrection or treason proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
9% chance
$537,986 Vol.
$537,986 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$537,986 Vol.
$537,986 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and prevents arrest or detention on prior charges while in office.**
His five ongoing trials—centered on pre-presidency allegations of election-law violations, corruption, bribery, and misuse of public funds—have been indefinitely postponed by courts, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or successful impeachment efforts have emerged in 2026 that would strip this protection before year-end. Isolated opposition petitions and a ballot-scandal controversy have generated headlines but lack the National Assembly support needed to advance, given the Democratic Party’s majority. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying insurrection or treason proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$537,986End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and prevents arrest or detention on prior charges while in office.**
His five ongoing trials—centered on pre-presidency allegations of election-law violations, corruption, bribery, and misuse of public funds—have been indefinitely postponed by courts, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or successful impeachment efforts have emerged in 2026 that would strip this protection before year-end. Isolated opposition petitions and a ballot-scandal controversy have generated headlines but lack the National Assembly support needed to advance, given the Democratic Party’s majority. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying insurrection or treason proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$537,986End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**South Korean President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity that suspends most criminal proceedings and prevents arrest or detention on prior charges while in office.** His five ongoing trials—centered on pre-presidency allegations of election-law violations, corruption, bribery, and misuse of public funds—have been indefinitely postponed by courts, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative overrides, or successful impeachment efforts have emerged in 2026 that would strip this protection before year-end. Isolated opposition petitions and a ballot-scandal controversy have generated headlines but lack the National Assembly support needed to advance, given the Democratic Party’s majority. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, reflecting the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying insurrection or treason proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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