Skip to main content
icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

icon for Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 76%

Ko Chih-en 15%

Hsu Chih-chieh 13%

Chang Ching 8%

Polymarket
NEW

Lai Jui-lung 76%

Ko Chih-en 15%

Hsu Chih-chieh 13%

Chang Ching 8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Lai Jui-lung

Lai Jui-lung

$367 Vol.

76%

icon for Ko Chih-en

Ko Chih-en

$41 Vol.

15%

icon for Hsu Chih-chieh

Hsu Chih-chieh

$41 Vol.

13%

icon for Chang Ching

Chang Ching

$52 Vol.

8%

icon for Chiu Yi-ying

Chiu Yi-ying

$41 Vol.

7%

icon for Lin Tai-hua

Lin Tai-hua

$53 Vol.

5%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to his January 2026 primary victory over fellow legislators including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, combined with consistent polling leads over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Recent surveys from May and June 2026 indicate Lai ahead across districts and demographics in this southern city, a long-standing DPP stronghold. KMT nomination of Ko in late 2025 and party efforts to contest the seat have not closed the gap in trader assessments. Lower odds for Hsu, Chang Ching, and other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party backing or primary success ahead of the November local elections.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$595
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the strongest position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race due to his January 2026 primary victory over fellow legislators including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua, combined with consistent polling leads over Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Recent surveys from May and June 2026 indicate Lai ahead across districts and demographics in this southern city, a long-standing DPP stronghold. KMT nomination of Ko in late 2025 and party efforts to contest the seat have not closed the gap in trader assessments. Lower odds for Hsu, Chang Ching, and other listed contenders reflect their lack of major-party backing or primary success ahead of the November local elections.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$595
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Related

icon for Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

90%
icon for Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?

Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?

77%
icon for Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?

Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?

89%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lai Jui-lung" at 76%, followed by "Ko Chih-en" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" is "Lai Jui-lung" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ko Chih-en" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.