Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18 primary with a commanding 48% share, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and substantial fundraising that exceeded $100 million. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s September endorsement unifying party support, has reinforced trader expectations for a Donalds victory in the November 3 general election. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, won his primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won statewide office in nearly three decades. Recent polling averages showed Donalds ahead by roughly five points pre-primary, though some surveys indicated narrower margins depending on turnout and economic messaging around affordability and taxes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$58,220 Vol.
$58,220 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$58,220 Vol.
$58,220 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$27,024 Vol.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$31,196 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18 primary with a commanding 48% share, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and substantial fundraising that exceeded $100 million. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s September endorsement unifying party support, has reinforced trader expectations for a Donalds victory in the November 3 general election. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, won his primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won statewide office in nearly three decades. Recent polling averages showed Donalds ahead by roughly five points pre-primary, though some surveys indicated narrower margins depending on turnout and economic messaging around affordability and taxes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$58,220End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18 primary with a commanding 48% share, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and substantial fundraising that exceeded $100 million. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s September endorsement unifying party support, has reinforced trader expectations for a Donalds victory in the November 3 general election. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, won his primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won statewide office in nearly three decades. Recent polling averages showed Donalds ahead by roughly five points pre-primary, though some surveys indicated narrower margins depending on turnout and economic messaging around affordability and taxes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$58,220End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18 primary with a commanding 48% share, backed by President Trump’s early endorsement and substantial fundraising that exceeded $100 million. The state’s consistent Republican dominance in gubernatorial contests since 1998, combined with DeSantis’s September endorsement unifying party support, has reinforced trader expectations for a Donalds victory in the November 3 general election. David Jolly, the Democratic nominee and former Republican congressman, won his primary but faces structural challenges in a state where Democrats have not won statewide office in nearly three decades. Recent polling averages showed Donalds ahead by roughly five points pre-primary, though some surveys indicated narrower margins depending on turnout and economic messaging around affordability and taxes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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