EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by...?
| December 31, 2028 | 34% |
| June 30, 2028 | 28% |
| December 31, 2027 | 14% |
| June 30, 2027 | 2% |
Rules
On January 20, 2026, the European Commission proposed a revised Cybersecurity Act ("CSA2", Commission proposal COM(2026) 11) that would require EU mobile network operators to phase out equipment from designated high-risk suppliers, a measure widely reported to target Huawei and ZTE. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union formally adopts legislation that requires EU mobile network operators to phase out equipment from Chinese suppliers, as defined below, by the specified date, 11:59 PM Central European Time (CET/CEST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include the revised Cybersecurity Act, any successor proposal, or any other legislative act, provided it is a regulation or directive adopted under the ordinary or a special legislative procedure, binding in all EU Member States, and meets all of the following requirements: - apply to providers of public mobile electronic communications networks generally or to a defined class of them (e.g., providers of 5G networks or operators above a size threshold), and may also apply to other networks; - require the removal, replacement, or phase-out of already-deployed core network and/or radio access network equipment, rather than only banning new purchases, installation, or certification; - apply to suppliers established in, or controlled from, the People's Republic of China (e.g., Huawei and ZTE), either by name or through a designation mechanism capable of covering them (e.g., "h