Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
| Harry Kane | 90% |
| Kylian Mbappé | 57% |
| Lamine Yamal | 41% |
| Ferran Torres | 5% |
| Fabian Ruiz | 4% |
| Erling Haaland | 4% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 4% |
| Rodri | 4% |
| Michael Olise | 4% |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 4% |
| Pau Cubarsi | 3% |
| Julián Quiñones | 3% |
| Achraf Hakimi | 2% |
| Lautaro Martinez | 2% |
| Luis Diaz | 2% |
| Sadio Mané | 2% |
| Marc Cucurella | 2% |
| William Saliba | 2% |
| Vitinha | 2% |
| Vinícius Júnior | 2% |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 2% |
| Marquinhos | 2% |
| Declan Rice | 1% |
| Willian Pacho | 1% |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1% |
| João Neves | 1% |
| Lionel Messi | 1% |
| Nuno Mendes | <1% |
| Jude Bellingham | <1% |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.