Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026
| Harry Kane | 99% |
| Lamine Yamal | 99% |
| Kylian Mbappé | 98% |
| Rodri | 96% |
| Lionel Messi | 95% |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 94% |
| Michael Olise | 86% |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 86% |
| Erling Haaland | 66% |
| Fabian Ruiz | 59% |
| Jude Bellingham | 50% |
| Pau Cubarsi | 34% |
| Declan Rice | 26% |
| Achraf Hakimi | 8% |
| Nuno Mendes | 6% |
| João Neves | 5% |
| Marc Cucurella | 5% |
| William Saliba | 4% |
| Luis Diaz | 3% |
| Vitinha | 3% |
| Bruno Fernandes | 2% |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 2% |
| Willian Pacho | 2% |
| Dayot Upamecano | 2% |
| Ferran Torres | 2% |
| Julián Quiñones | 2% |
| Sadio Mané | 1% |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1% |
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% |
| Marquinhos | <1% |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 10 players tie for the top 10 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 10 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final ten places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.