The Arkansas 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent election results, underpins the market's assessment of the Republican nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured the Republican nomination without a primary contest, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in a race rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Recent primary outcomes and campaign finance filings show limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, which spans rural eastern and northern Arkansas. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 25 points, though developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually strong turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAR-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AR-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,777 Vol.
$18,777 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$18,777 Vol.
$18,777 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,178 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$7,599 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arkansas 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent election results, underpins the market's assessment of the Republican nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured the Republican nomination without a primary contest, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in a race rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Recent primary outcomes and campaign finance filings show limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, which spans rural eastern and northern Arkansas. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 25 points, though developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually strong turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$18,777Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arkansas 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent election results, underpins the market's assessment of the Republican nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured the Republican nomination without a primary contest, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in a race rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Recent primary outcomes and campaign finance filings show limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, which spans rural eastern and northern Arkansas. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 25 points, though developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually strong turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,777Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Arkansas 1st congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent election results, underpins the market's assessment of the Republican nominee's position ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Rick Crawford, who secured the Republican nomination without a primary contest, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in a race rated solidly Republican by major forecasters. Recent primary outcomes and campaign finance filings show limited Democratic infrastructure in the district, which spans rural eastern and northern Arkansas. Trader consensus aligns with historical margins exceeding 25 points, though developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or unusually strong turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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