Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus at 45 percent largely because she topped the Security Council’s first straw poll in late July 2026 with the most “encourage” votes among nominees, reflecting broad early backing from member states. As UNCTAD secretary-general and Costa Rica’s former vice president, she brings extensive experience in trade, development finance, and Latin American diplomacy, aligning with expectations of regional rotation after two terms by António Guterres. Rafael Grossi sits second at 29.5 percent on the strength of his IAEA leadership and technical expertise on nuclear issues, while Achim Steiner at 29.4 percent draws support from his UNDP and environmental roles. Recent interactive dialogues and town halls have clarified visions on UN reform, multilateral financing, and crisis prevention, yet the ultimate outcome hinges on further straw polls and permanent-member preferences in the Security Council before any General Assembly recommendation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?
¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?
Rafael Grossi 59%
Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%
Michelle Bachelet 3.6%
Jacinda Ardern 3.5%
$80,086 Vol.
$80,086 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
59%
Rebeca Grynspan
45%
Michelle Bachelet
4%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
2%
Kristalina Georgieva
1%
Bruno Donat
1%
Amina Mohammed
1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
23%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Achim Steiner
29%
Rafael Grossi 59%
Rebeca Grynspan 53.9%
Michelle Bachelet 3.6%
Jacinda Ardern 3.5%
$80,086 Vol.
$80,086 Vol.
Rafael Grossi
59%
Rebeca Grynspan
45%
Michelle Bachelet
4%
Jacinda Ardern
3%
María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés
2%
Kristalina Georgieva
1%
Bruno Donat
1%
Amina Mohammed
1%
Mia Mottley
<1%
Alicia Bárcena
<1%
Colombe Cahen-Salvador
23%
David Choquehuanca
<1%
Vuk Jeremić
<1%
Achim Steiner
29%
This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.
If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus at 45 percent largely because she topped the Security Council’s first straw poll in late July 2026 with the most “encourage” votes among nominees, reflecting broad early backing from member states. As UNCTAD secretary-general and Costa Rica’s former vice president, she brings extensive experience in trade, development finance, and Latin American diplomacy, aligning with expectations of regional rotation after two terms by António Guterres. Rafael Grossi sits second at 29.5 percent on the strength of his IAEA leadership and technical expertise on nuclear issues, while Achim Steiner at 29.4 percent draws support from his UNDP and environmental roles. Recent interactive dialogues and town halls have clarified visions on UN reform, multilateral financing, and crisis prevention, yet the ultimate outcome hinges on further straw polls and permanent-member preferences in the Security Council before any General Assembly recommendation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes