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Deportes·UFC

Lucas Fernando – Rafael Tobias

2d 17h
Polymarket
Lucas Fernando
Lucas Fernando
21:00agosto 15
Rafael Tobias
Rafael Tobias
$8.70K Vol.Polymarket
NUEVO

Combos

Favorite finish
Submission story
Knockout brawl

Moneyline

$7.2K Vol.

Totales

$1.5K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fernando to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Tobias to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Fernando defeats Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafael Tobias defeats Lucas Fernando at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Lucas Fernando enters UFC 330 as the clear trader favorite in this light heavyweight early prelim against fellow Brazilian Rafael Tobias, driven by his status as the reigning LFA champion and a four-fight win streak featuring back-to-back first-round knockouts. The 29-year-old 6'3" striker from Rio de Janeiro brings significant momentum into his octagon debut, with recent title victories highlighting finishing power and durability that contrast with Tobias's 14-2 record. Both fighters share similar reach and orthodox stances, but Fernando's recent form and LFA pedigree have shaped market consensus around his advantages in power and athleticism. The matchup occurs on a stacked Philadelphia card headlined by title fights, with limited injury reports or weigh-in developments altering the setup. Historical patterns for UFC debuting regional champions suggest Fernando's path favors early stoppages if he maintains output.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volumen
$8,700
Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

El mercado “Tobias vs. Fernando” en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de UFC entre los Rafael Tobias y los Lucas Fernando, programado para el August 15, 2026 a las 5:00 PM ET. El mercado principal es el Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde Fernando tiene un precio actual de 72¢ (72% de probabilidad implícita) y Tobias de 28¢ (28%). Más allá del Moneyline, los mercados deportivos en Polymarket pueden incluir Spreads, Totals (over/under) y Player Props, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.

A día de hoy, el mercado “Tobias vs. Fernando” ha generado $8.7K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Moneyline, Spreads, Totals y Player Props). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en “Tobias vs. Fernando”, comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Moneyline (qué equipo gana), Spreads (margen de victoria), Totals (puntuación combinada over/under) o Player Props (estadísticas individuales de jugadores). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el Moneyline muestra RAF11 a 28¢ y LUC8 a 72¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.

Las probabilidades actuales del Moneyline para “Tobias vs. Fernando” muestran a Lucas Fernando a 72¢ (72% de probabilidad implícita) y a Rafael Tobias a 28¢ (28%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.

El mercado “Tobias vs. Fernando” se resuelve según el marcador final oficial del partido de UFC tal como lo reportan los resultados oficiales de UFC, incluyendo tiempo extra si corresponde. Los mercados Moneyline se resuelven a favor del equipo que gane el partido. Los mercados de Spreads se resuelven según el margen final de victoria en relación con la línea publicada. Los mercados de Totals (over/under) se resuelven según la puntuación final combinada de ambos equipos. Los mercados de Player Props se resuelven según las estadísticas oficiales del box score. Si el partido se pospone o se cancela, las reglas de resolución del mercado (disponibles en la sección de Reglas en esta página) especifican cómo se maneja ese escenario. Recomendamos revisar los criterios completos de resolución antes de operar.
Deportes·UFC

Lucas Fernando – Rafael Tobias

2d 17h
Polymarket
Lucas Fernando
Lucas Fernando
21:00agosto 15
Rafael Tobias
Rafael Tobias
$8.70K Vol.Polymarket
NUEVO

Combos

Favorite finish
Submission story
Knockout brawl

Moneyline

$7.2K Vol.

Totales

$1.5K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fernando to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Tobias to win by KO/TKO?

$0 Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Fernando defeats Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rafael Tobias defeats Lucas Fernando at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Lucas Fernando and Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 29, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Lucas Fernando enters UFC 330 as the clear trader favorite in this light heavyweight early prelim against fellow Brazilian Rafael Tobias, driven by his status as the reigning LFA champion and a four-fight win streak featuring back-to-back first-round knockouts. The 29-year-old 6'3" striker from Rio de Janeiro brings significant momentum into his octagon debut, with recent title victories highlighting finishing power and durability that contrast with Tobias's 14-2 record. Both fighters share similar reach and orthodox stances, but Fernando's recent form and LFA pedigree have shaped market consensus around his advantages in power and athleticism. The matchup occurs on a stacked Philadelphia card headlined by title fights, with limited injury reports or weigh-in developments altering the setup. Historical patterns for UFC debuting regional champions suggest Fernando's path favors early stoppages if he maintains output.

This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.

It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volumen
$8,700
Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Tobias at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Tobias" if Rafael Tobias is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

El mercado “Tobias vs. Fernando” en Polymarket te permite operar sobre el resultado del partido de UFC entre los Rafael Tobias y los Lucas Fernando, programado para el August 15, 2026 a las 5:00 PM ET. El mercado principal es el Moneyline — qué equipo ganará el partido — donde Fernando tiene un precio actual de 72¢ (72% de probabilidad implícita) y Tobias de 28¢ (28%). Más allá del Moneyline, los mercados deportivos en Polymarket pueden incluir Spreads, Totals (over/under) y Player Props, dándote múltiples formas de operar en este partido. Los precios reflejan probabilidades colaborativas en tiempo real. Las acciones del resultado correcto pagan $1 cada una cuando el mercado se resuelve tras finalizar el partido.

A día de hoy, el mercado “Tobias vs. Fernando” ha generado $8.7K en volumen total de trading en todos los tipos de mercado (Moneyline, Spreads, Totals y Player Props). Este volumen refleja una participación activa de la comunidad de trading de Polymarket, y un grupo más amplio de operadores generalmente significa probabilidades más informativas y confiables. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier mercado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en “Tobias vs. Fernando”, comienza eligiendo el tipo de mercado en el que quieres operar: Moneyline (qué equipo gana), Spreads (margen de victoria), Totals (puntuación combinada over/under) o Player Props (estadísticas individuales de jugadores). Cada mercado muestra el precio actual para cada lado — por ejemplo, el Moneyline muestra RAF11 a 28¢ y LUC8 a 72¢. Selecciona el lado en el que quieres operar, elige Comprar para tomar una posición o Vender para cerrar una existente, ingresa tu cantidad y haz clic en Operar. Si el lado que elegiste es correcto cuando el partido termina y el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de que termine el partido para asegurar una ganancia o reducir una pérdida.

Las probabilidades actuales del Moneyline para “Tobias vs. Fernando” muestran a Lucas Fernando a 72¢ (72% de probabilidad implícita) y a Rafael Tobias a 28¢ (28%). Todas las probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones, reflejando la visión colectiva más reciente de cómo se desarrollará este partido. Consulta frecuentemente o guarda esta página en favoritos para seguir cómo cambian las probabilidades a medida que se acerca la hora del partido.

El mercado “Tobias vs. Fernando” se resuelve según el marcador final oficial del partido de UFC tal como lo reportan los resultados oficiales de UFC, incluyendo tiempo extra si corresponde. Los mercados Moneyline se resuelven a favor del equipo que gane el partido. Los mercados de Spreads se resuelven según el margen final de victoria en relación con la línea publicada. Los mercados de Totals (over/under) se resuelven según la puntuación final combinada de ambos equipos. Los mercados de Player Props se resuelven según las estadísticas oficiales del box score. Si el partido se pospone o se cancela, las reglas de resolución del mercado (disponibles en la sección de Reglas en esta página) especifican cómo se maneja ese escenario. Recomendamos revisar los criterios completos de resolución antes de operar.