SpaceX's Starship program is advancing toward its first orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two vehicles, a key milestone for in-space refueling and future Artemis lunar missions. Recent Flight 13 testing with Ship 40 and Block 3 hardware introduced dedicated docking ports, drogues, and quick-disconnect systems on V3 vehicles, building directly on 2024 ground transfers and DragonEye sensors proven on ISS missions. Traders weigh the company's rapid iterative cadence—targeting multiple 2026 flights including a potential tanker rendezvous—against typical delays from regulatory reviews, launch cadence limits, and the complexity of automated proximity operations. Upcoming catalysts include Flight 14 catch attempts and any public timeline updates on the full-scale ship-to-ship transfer, which NASA and SpaceX have aligned with broader refueling architecture needs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$59,605 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
12%
31 de diciembre de 2027
61%
$59,605 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$38,816 Vol.
12%
31 de diciembre de 2027
$20,789 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Starship program is advancing toward its first orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two vehicles, a key milestone for in-space refueling and future Artemis lunar missions. Recent Flight 13 testing with Ship 40 and Block 3 hardware introduced dedicated docking ports, drogues, and quick-disconnect systems on V3 vehicles, building directly on 2024 ground transfers and DragonEye sensors proven on ISS missions. Traders weigh the company's rapid iterative cadence—targeting multiple 2026 flights including a potential tanker rendezvous—against typical delays from regulatory reviews, launch cadence limits, and the complexity of automated proximity operations. Upcoming catalysts include Flight 14 catch attempts and any public timeline updates on the full-scale ship-to-ship transfer, which NASA and SpaceX have aligned with broader refueling architecture needs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volumen
$59,605Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's Starship program is advancing toward its first orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two vehicles, a key milestone for in-space refueling and future Artemis lunar missions. Recent Flight 13 testing with Ship 40 and Block 3 hardware introduced dedicated docking ports, drogues, and quick-disconnect systems on V3 vehicles, building directly on 2024 ground transfers and DragonEye sensors proven on ISS missions. Traders weigh the company's rapid iterative cadence—targeting multiple 2026 flights including a potential tanker rendezvous—against typical delays from regulatory reviews, launch cadence limits, and the complexity of automated proximity operations. Upcoming catalysts include Flight 14 catch attempts and any public timeline updates on the full-scale ship-to-ship transfer, which NASA and SpaceX have aligned with broader refueling architecture needs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$59,605Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2028Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's Starship program is advancing toward its first orbital rendezvous and propellant transfer demonstration between two vehicles, a key milestone for in-space refueling and future Artemis lunar missions. Recent Flight 13 testing with Ship 40 and Block 3 hardware introduced dedicated docking ports, drogues, and quick-disconnect systems on V3 vehicles, building directly on 2024 ground transfers and DragonEye sensors proven on ISS missions. Traders weigh the company's rapid iterative cadence—targeting multiple 2026 flights including a potential tanker rendezvous—against typical delays from regulatory reviews, launch cadence limits, and the complexity of automated proximity operations. Upcoming catalysts include Flight 14 catch attempts and any public timeline updates on the full-scale ship-to-ship transfer, which NASA and SpaceX have aligned with broader refueling architecture needs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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