Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,650 reflect a tug-of-war between robust corporate earnings—Q2 results showing 33% EPS growth and upward revisions to $340–350 per share for 2026, led by AI capex—and persistent inflation pressures keeping core PCE near 3.3% alongside elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% in July with hawkish dissent, while the 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 4.6–4.7% and longer-term yields test multi-year highs, compressing multiples in rate-sensitive sectors. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks on August 28, and the September FOMC meeting, which will shape market-implied odds for year-end levels amid uncertainty over whether earnings breadth can offset policy and geopolitical risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$321,577 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
7%
↑ $8,600
12%
↑ $8,200
36%
↑ $8,000
52%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
61%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6,200
12%
↓ $6,000
10%
↓ $5,800
8%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$321,577 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,465 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
7%
↑ $8,600
$29,749 Vol.
12%
↑ $8,200
$22,155 Vol.
36%
↑ $8,000
$489 Vol.
52%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
61%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6,200
$45,770 Vol.
12%
↓ $6,000
$1,050 Vol.
10%
↓ $5,800
$39,893 Vol.
8%
↓ $5,200
$53,773 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$58,812 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,650 reflect a tug-of-war between robust corporate earnings—Q2 results showing 33% EPS growth and upward revisions to $340–350 per share for 2026, led by AI capex—and persistent inflation pressures keeping core PCE near 3.3% alongside elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% in July with hawkish dissent, while the 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 4.6–4.7% and longer-term yields test multi-year highs, compressing multiples in rate-sensitive sectors. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks on August 28, and the September FOMC meeting, which will shape market-implied odds for year-end levels amid uncertainty over whether earnings breadth can offset policy and geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volumen
$321,577Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,650 reflect a tug-of-war between robust corporate earnings—Q2 results showing 33% EPS growth and upward revisions to $340–350 per share for 2026, led by AI capex—and persistent inflation pressures keeping core PCE near 3.3% alongside elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% in July with hawkish dissent, while the 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 4.6–4.7% and longer-term yields test multi-year highs, compressing multiples in rate-sensitive sectors. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks on August 28, and the September FOMC meeting, which will shape market-implied odds for year-end levels amid uncertainty over whether earnings breadth can offset policy and geopolitical risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$321,577Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,650 reflect a tug-of-war between robust corporate earnings—Q2 results showing 33% EPS growth and upward revisions to $340–350 per share for 2026, led by AI capex—and persistent inflation pressures keeping core PCE near 3.3% alongside elevated oil prices from Middle East tensions. The Federal Reserve held the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% in July with hawkish dissent, while the 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 4.6–4.7% and longer-term yields test multi-year highs, compressing multiples in rate-sensitive sectors. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Nvidia earnings, Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks on August 28, and the September FOMC meeting, which will shape market-implied odds for year-end levels amid uncertainty over whether earnings breadth can offset policy and geopolitical risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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