Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap and the evenly distributed Polymarket odds for year-end 2026 reflect trader uncertainty over whether the company can sustain its AI-driven growth trajectory amid intensifying competition. Recent fiscal Q2 results showed revenue more than doubling year-over-year to $96 billion with strong data-center momentum, and management guided to roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028 on the back of Blackwell and Rubin AI accelerators. Offsetting factors include hyperscaler efforts to develop custom chips, AMD’s expanding data-center share, and potential AI capital-expenditure pauses. The $13 billion Hugging Face acquisition and financing partnerships underscore Nvidia’s push to lock in ecosystem leadership, yet analysts note that any slowdown in large-language-model training or inference demand could cap upside while continued hyperscale buildouts could push the valuation above $6.5 trillion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La capitalización de mercado de Nvidia a finales de 2026?
¿La capitalización de mercado de Nvidia a finales de 2026?
$6.50T+ 27%
$5.50-$6.00T 22%
$6.00-$6.50T 15%
$4.50-$5.00T 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<$4.00T
11%
$4.00-$4.50T
11%
$4.50-$5.00T
14%
$5,00-$5,50T
12%
$5.50-$6.00T
22%
$6.00-$6.50T
15%
$6.50T+
27%
$6.50T+ 27%
$5.50-$6.00T 22%
$6.00-$6.50T 15%
$4.50-$5.00T 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
<$4.00T
$2,222 Vol.
11%
$4.00-$4.50T
$661 Vol.
11%
$4.50-$5.00T
$531 Vol.
14%
$5,00-$5,50T
$611 Vol.
12%
$5.50-$6.00T
$2,757 Vol.
22%
$6.00-$6.50T
$754 Vol.
15%
$6.50T+
$604 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap and the evenly distributed Polymarket odds for year-end 2026 reflect trader uncertainty over whether the company can sustain its AI-driven growth trajectory amid intensifying competition. Recent fiscal Q2 results showed revenue more than doubling year-over-year to $96 billion with strong data-center momentum, and management guided to roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028 on the back of Blackwell and Rubin AI accelerators. Offsetting factors include hyperscaler efforts to develop custom chips, AMD’s expanding data-center share, and potential AI capital-expenditure pauses. The $13 billion Hugging Face acquisition and financing partnerships underscore Nvidia’s push to lock in ecosystem leadership, yet analysts note that any slowdown in large-language-model training or inference demand could cap upside while continued hyperscale buildouts could push the valuation above $6.5 trillion.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volumen
$8,141Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap and the evenly distributed Polymarket odds for year-end 2026 reflect trader uncertainty over whether the company can sustain its AI-driven growth trajectory amid intensifying competition. Recent fiscal Q2 results showed revenue more than doubling year-over-year to $96 billion with strong data-center momentum, and management guided to roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028 on the back of Blackwell and Rubin AI accelerators. Offsetting factors include hyperscaler efforts to develop custom chips, AMD’s expanding data-center share, and potential AI capital-expenditure pauses. The $13 billion Hugging Face acquisition and financing partnerships underscore Nvidia’s push to lock in ecosystem leadership, yet analysts note that any slowdown in large-language-model training or inference demand could cap upside while continued hyperscale buildouts could push the valuation above $6.5 trillion.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volumen
$8,141Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap and the evenly distributed Polymarket odds for year-end 2026 reflect trader uncertainty over whether the company can sustain its AI-driven growth trajectory amid intensifying competition. Recent fiscal Q2 results showed revenue more than doubling year-over-year to $96 billion with strong data-center momentum, and management guided to roughly 70% revenue growth for fiscal 2028 on the back of Blackwell and Rubin AI accelerators. Offsetting factors include hyperscaler efforts to develop custom chips, AMD’s expanding data-center share, and potential AI capital-expenditure pauses. The $13 billion Hugging Face acquisition and financing partnerships underscore Nvidia’s push to lock in ecosystem leadership, yet analysts note that any slowdown in large-language-model training or inference demand could cap upside while continued hyperscale buildouts could push the valuation above $6.5 trillion.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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