Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's de facto ruler as crown prince and prime minister, with King Salman at age 90 continuing as nominal monarch. Recent royal decrees in August 2026 reconstituted the cabinet under MBS's chairmanship, signaling institutional continuity and the absence of immediate succession pressures. Key drivers of trader sentiment include the shift from horizontal to vertical succession within the House of Saud since 2017, MBS's oversight of Vision 2030 economic diversification, and his handling of regional diplomacy. King Salman's health disclosures remain limited to official statements with no reported decline in 2025–2026. Factors that could alter probabilities include any future royal decrees, cabinet changes, or health announcements, though no scheduled events currently point to leadership transition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
$1,792,972 Vol.
30 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
4%
$1,792,972 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$86,620 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's de facto ruler as crown prince and prime minister, with King Salman at age 90 continuing as nominal monarch. Recent royal decrees in August 2026 reconstituted the cabinet under MBS's chairmanship, signaling institutional continuity and the absence of immediate succession pressures. Key drivers of trader sentiment include the shift from horizontal to vertical succession within the House of Saud since 2017, MBS's oversight of Vision 2030 economic diversification, and his handling of regional diplomacy. King Salman's health disclosures remain limited to official statements with no reported decline in 2025–2026. Factors that could alter probabilities include any future royal decrees, cabinet changes, or health announcements, though no scheduled events currently point to leadership transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Volumen
$1,792,972Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's de facto ruler as crown prince and prime minister, with King Salman at age 90 continuing as nominal monarch. Recent royal decrees in August 2026 reconstituted the cabinet under MBS's chairmanship, signaling institutional continuity and the absence of immediate succession pressures. Key drivers of trader sentiment include the shift from horizontal to vertical succession within the House of Saud since 2017, MBS's oversight of Vision 2030 economic diversification, and his handling of regional diplomacy. King Salman's health disclosures remain limited to official statements with no reported decline in 2025–2026. Factors that could alter probabilities include any future royal decrees, cabinet changes, or health announcements, though no scheduled events currently point to leadership transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,792,972Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's de facto ruler as crown prince and prime minister, with King Salman at age 90 continuing as nominal monarch. Recent royal decrees in August 2026 reconstituted the cabinet under MBS's chairmanship, signaling institutional continuity and the absence of immediate succession pressures. Key drivers of trader sentiment include the shift from horizontal to vertical succession within the House of Saud since 2017, MBS's oversight of Vision 2030 economic diversification, and his handling of regional diplomacy. King Salman's health disclosures remain limited to official statements with no reported decline in 2025–2026. Factors that could alter probabilities include any future royal decrees, cabinet changes, or health announcements, though no scheduled events currently point to leadership transition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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