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icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

icon for MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

$16,885 Vol.

11 oct 2026
Polymarket

$16,885 Vol.

Polymarket

Kyle Schwarber

$484 Vol.

90%

Yordan Álvarez

$782 Vol.

88%

Ben Rice

$0 Vol.

79%

Junior Caminero

$70 Vol.

74%

Hunter Goodman

$1,857 Vol.

68%

James Wood

$764 Vol.

72%

Shohei Ohtani

$484 Vol.

43%

Munetaka Murakami

$0 Vol.

50%

Byron Buxton

$1,953 Vol.

45%

Matt Olson

$538 Vol.

39%

Jordan Walker

$247 Vol.

27%

Brandon Lowe

$1,630 Vol.

26%

Shea Langeliers

$1,137 Vol.

19%

Pete Alonso

$22 Vol.

18%

Juan Soto

$170 Vol.

14%

Christian Walker

$148 Vol.

12%

Dillon Dingler

$3,214 Vol.

11%

Kazuma Okamoto

$0 Vol.

9%

Nick Kurtz

$71 Vol.

9%

Ketel Marte

$363 Vol.

7%

Bryce Harper

$378 Vol.

7%

Miguel Vargas

$120 Vol.

6%

Wilson Contreras

$399 Vol.

6%

$0 Vol.

6%

Aaron Judge

$808 Vol.

5%

Manny Machado

$222 Vol.

4%

$0 Vol.

4%

Mike Trout

$301 Vol.

2%

CJ Abrams

$521 Vol.

50%

Colson Montgomery

$200 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,885
Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber’s league-leading 30 home runs through roughly 84 games has anchored trader focus, reflecting his sustained barrel rate and pull-side power that historically translate to 40-plus totals in full seasons. Hunter Goodman’s 27 long balls in Coors Field and Yordan Alvarez’s consistent contact quality keep multiple candidates viable, while Byron Buxton’s 25 highlight injury and playing-time risks that can shift implied probabilities. Second-half schedule strength, potential rest days, and park factors remain key variables, as does the ongoing chase amid typical regression patterns for power surges. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing balances these established paces against the inherent variability of late-season outcomes.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,885
Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.mlb.com
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 30 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kyle Schwarber" con 90%, seguido de "Yordan Álvarez" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 90¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" ha generado $16.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs", explora los 30 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" es "Kyle Schwarber" con 90%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 90% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Yordan Álvarez" con 88%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.