Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 7, driven by building high pressure, light variable winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions follow a cooler, showery period on September 6 and align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily highs average near 20°C. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited warming potential under the stable but overcast regime. Updated model runs and final observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport on the day itself will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 7 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 7 de septiembre?
21°C 50%
20°C 41%
22°C 8%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
41%
21°C
50%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C o más
<1%
21°C 50%
20°C 41%
22°C 8%
19°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$386 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$146 Vol.
1%
18°C
$236 Vol.
1%
19°C
$731 Vol.
4%
20°C
$1,275 Vol.
41%
21°C
$1,672 Vol.
50%
22°C
$303 Vol.
8%
23°C
$298 Vol.
1%
24°C
$229 Vol.
1%
25°C o más
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 7, driven by building high pressure, light variable winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions follow a cooler, showery period on September 6 and align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily highs average near 20°C. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited warming potential under the stable but overcast regime. Updated model runs and final observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport on the day itself will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5,590Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 7, driven by building high pressure, light variable winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions follow a cooler, showery period on September 6 and align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily highs average near 20°C. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited warming potential under the stable but overcast regime. Updated model runs and final observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport on the day itself will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,590Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Warsaw on September 7, driven by building high pressure, light variable winds, and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. These conditions follow a cooler, showery period on September 6 and align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where daily highs average near 20°C. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 20–21°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on limited warming potential under the stable but overcast regime. Updated model runs and final observational data from Warsaw Chopin Airport on the day itself will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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