Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 23 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 23 de julio?
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 3.5%
NUEVO
$20,988 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,988 Vol.
23 jul 2026
67°F o menos
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F o más
<1%
78-79°F 47%
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 11%
80-81°F 3.5%
NUEVO
$20,988 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,988 Vol.
23 jul 2026
67°F o menos
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$505 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$326 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$990 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,059 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$3,406 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$5,828 Vol.
47%
80-81°F
$2,233 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$1,825 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$985 Vol.
<1%
86°F o más
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$20,988Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,988Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are weighting forecasts from NOAA and NWS models that point to a high in the mid- to upper 70s°F for Chicago on July 23, reflecting a moderating cool front and possible lake-breeze influence from Lake Michigan that typically caps afternoon peaks. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around 74–82°F depending on cloud cover, wind direction, and exact timing of any residual moisture, keeping the top three bins (76–81°F) tightly bunched. Historical July averages near 83°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts favor slightly below-normal readings. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely refine the precise bin before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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