Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 in Week 31, 2026, driven by the typical seasonal nadir of influenza circulation during summer. CDC FluSurv-NET data through Week 27 showed rates at exactly 0.1 per 100,000 amid declining activity after a severe 2025-2026 season dominated by A(H3N2). Warm temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and low community transmission sustain this baseline, consistent with historical off-season patterns where rates frequently register at or below detection thresholds. Upcoming FluView updates and NHSN hospital admission figures will provide the final observations for resolution, with minimal upside risk absent an atypical summer surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tasa de hospitalización por gripe en la semana 31 de 2026?
¿Tasa de hospitalización por gripe en la semana 31 de 2026?
<0,1 88%
0.1 9%
>0.1 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
<0,1
88%
0.1
9%
>0.1
5%
<0,1 88%
0.1 9%
>0.1 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
<0,1
$105 Vol.
88%
0.1
$84 Vol.
9%
>0.1
$173 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 in Week 31, 2026, driven by the typical seasonal nadir of influenza circulation during summer. CDC FluSurv-NET data through Week 27 showed rates at exactly 0.1 per 100,000 amid declining activity after a severe 2025-2026 season dominated by A(H3N2). Warm temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and low community transmission sustain this baseline, consistent with historical off-season patterns where rates frequently register at or below detection thresholds. Upcoming FluView updates and NHSN hospital admission figures will provide the final observations for resolution, with minimal upside risk absent an atypical summer surge.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 in Week 31, 2026, driven by the typical seasonal nadir of influenza circulation during summer. CDC FluSurv-NET data through Week 27 showed rates at exactly 0.1 per 100,000 amid declining activity after a severe 2025-2026 season dominated by A(H3N2). Warm temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and low community transmission sustain this baseline, consistent with historical off-season patterns where rates frequently register at or below detection thresholds. Upcoming FluView updates and NHSN hospital admission figures will provide the final observations for resolution, with minimal upside risk absent an atypical summer surge.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$363Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 in Week 31, 2026, driven by the typical seasonal nadir of influenza circulation during summer. CDC FluSurv-NET data through Week 27 showed rates at exactly 0.1 per 100,000 amid declining activity after a severe 2025-2026 season dominated by A(H3N2). Warm temperatures, reduced indoor crowding, and low community transmission sustain this baseline, consistent with historical off-season patterns where rates frequently register at or below detection thresholds. Upcoming FluView updates and NHSN hospital admission figures will provide the final observations for resolution, with minimal upside risk absent an atypical summer surge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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