Evo Morales faces multiple active Bolivian arrest warrants as of mid-August 2026, including one issued in May for contempt of court in a statutory rape and human trafficking case and a second on July 29-30 for alleged armed insurrection, terrorism, and incitement tied to May-June road blockades and protests against the government amid economic unrest. Prosecutors have directed police to detain the former president, who remains in hiding in the Chapare region and has publicly rejected the charges as political persecution while continuing to mobilize supporters. No detention has occurred despite the orders, reflecting enforcement challenges in Morales’ rural strongholds and ongoing political divisions within Bolivia’s ruling Movement for Socialism and opposition forces. Resolution of the market depends on whether authorities execute an arrest before the specified deadline, with trader pricing reflecting the balance between legal pressure and practical barriers to capture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$42,114 Vol.
30 de septiembre
45%
$42,114 Vol.
30 de septiembre
45%
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Evo Morales faces multiple active Bolivian arrest warrants as of mid-August 2026, including one issued in May for contempt of court in a statutory rape and human trafficking case and a second on July 29-30 for alleged armed insurrection, terrorism, and incitement tied to May-June road blockades and protests against the government amid economic unrest. Prosecutors have directed police to detain the former president, who remains in hiding in the Chapare region and has publicly rejected the charges as political persecution while continuing to mobilize supporters. No detention has occurred despite the orders, reflecting enforcement challenges in Morales’ rural strongholds and ongoing political divisions within Bolivia’s ruling Movement for Socialism and opposition forces. Resolution of the market depends on whether authorities execute an arrest before the specified deadline, with trader pricing reflecting the balance between legal pressure and practical barriers to capture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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