Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 40.9%
Lamine Yamal 26.9%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 12%
$19,526,965 Vol.
$19,526,965 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Harry Kane
41%
Lamine Yamal
27%
Kylian Mbappé
12%
Rodri
12%
Lionel Messi
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
R
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Q
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
T
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
S
<1%
U
<1%
Harry Kane 40.9%
Lamine Yamal 26.9%
Kylian Mbappé 11.6%
Rodri 12%
$19,526,965 Vol.
$19,526,965 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Harry Kane
$2,089,897 Vol.
41%
Lamine Yamal
$1,237,107 Vol.
27%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,016,970 Vol.
12%
Rodri
$453,911 Vol.
12%
Lionel Messi
$1,256,248 Vol.
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,222,238 Vol.
2%
R
$427,162 Vol.
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$528,063 Vol.
1%
Q
$423,993 Vol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$853,985 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$746,166 Vol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$578,480 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$909,851 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$970,064 Vol.
<1%
Pedri
$717,258 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$537,484 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$488,834 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$402,979 Vol.
<1%
Julián Álvarez
$589,572 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$581,743 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$587,921 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
$404,567 Vol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$347,770 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$330,307 Vol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$513,734 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$511,995 Vol.
<1%
Luis Díaz
$355,384 Vol.
<1%
T
$57,053 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$162,315 Vol.
<1%
S
$84,103 Vol.
<1%
U
$139,818 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$19,526,965Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volumen
$19,526,965Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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