Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 64.3% implied probability after a record-setting 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals across 51 appearances to claim the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe while adding six World Cup goals for England in a semifinal run. Trader consensus reflects his unmatched individual output and consistency despite the absence of a major international trophy. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14% on the back of Spain’s World Cup victory and Barcelona’s La Liga and Supercopa successes, bolstered by his creative influence at age 19. Rodri at 5.5% benefits similarly from Spain’s collective triumph and tournament recognition, while Kylian Mbappé’s 8% share stems from strong personal World Cup showings amid France’s earlier exit. Recent post-tournament assessments have solidified Kane’s position ahead of the October ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHarry Kane 64.3%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 8.0%
Rodri 6%
$32,687,533 Vol.
$32,687,533 Vol.
Harry Kane
64%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Rodri
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Lionel Messi
3%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 64.3%
Lamine Yamal 14.0%
Kylian Mbappé 8.0%
Rodri 6%
$32,687,533 Vol.
$32,687,533 Vol.
Harry Kane
64%
Lamine Yamal
14%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Rodri
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Lionel Messi
3%
Fabián Ruiz
1%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Julián Álvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martínez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernández
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Díaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsí
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 64.3% implied probability after a record-setting 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he netted 61 goals across 51 appearances to claim the Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and European Golden Shoe while adding six World Cup goals for England in a semifinal run. Trader consensus reflects his unmatched individual output and consistency despite the absence of a major international trophy. Lamine Yamal sits second at 14% on the back of Spain’s World Cup victory and Barcelona’s La Liga and Supercopa successes, bolstered by his creative influence at age 19. Rodri at 5.5% benefits similarly from Spain’s collective triumph and tournament recognition, while Kylian Mbappé’s 8% share stems from strong personal World Cup showings amid France’s earlier exit. Recent post-tournament assessments have solidified Kane’s position ahead of the October ceremony.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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