Apple's 93.3% implied probability of finishing as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of August stems from its consistent scale in consumer hardware, services revenue, and measured AI integration across devices. Traders see limited near-term volatility from competitors given typical quarterly earnings patterns and supply chain stability through late summer. A sudden acceleration in NVIDIA or Microsoft AI-driven valuations, regulatory setbacks for Apple, or broader market rotation away from mega-cap tech could still shift outcomes before month-end, though current positioning leaves little room for such moves without major catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoApple 93.3%
Alphabet 5.5%
NVIDIA 1.3%
Microsoft <1%
$434,798 Vol.
$434,798 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Apple
93%
Alphabet
5%
NVIDIA
1%
Microsoft
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Broadcom
<1%
Apple 93.3%
Alphabet 5.5%
NVIDIA 1.3%
Microsoft <1%
$434,798 Vol.
$434,798 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Apple
$156,423 Vol.
93%
Alphabet
$135,971 Vol.
5%
NVIDIA
$85,983 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$35,646 Vol.
<1%
Tesla
$6,221 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Aramco
$4,925 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$5,522 Vol.
<1%
Broadcom
$4,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's 93.3% implied probability of finishing as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of August stems from its consistent scale in consumer hardware, services revenue, and measured AI integration across devices. Traders see limited near-term volatility from competitors given typical quarterly earnings patterns and supply chain stability through late summer. A sudden acceleration in NVIDIA or Microsoft AI-driven valuations, regulatory setbacks for Apple, or broader market rotation away from mega-cap tech could still shift outcomes before month-end, though current positioning leaves little room for such moves without major catalysts.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volumen
$434,798Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's 93.3% implied probability of finishing as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of August stems from its consistent scale in consumer hardware, services revenue, and measured AI integration across devices. Traders see limited near-term volatility from competitors given typical quarterly earnings patterns and supply chain stability through late summer. A sudden acceleration in NVIDIA or Microsoft AI-driven valuations, regulatory setbacks for Apple, or broader market rotation away from mega-cap tech could still shift outcomes before month-end, though current positioning leaves little room for such moves without major catalysts.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$434,798Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Apple's 93.3% implied probability of finishing as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of August stems from its consistent scale in consumer hardware, services revenue, and measured AI integration across devices. Traders see limited near-term volatility from competitors given typical quarterly earnings patterns and supply chain stability through late summer. A sudden acceleration in NVIDIA or Microsoft AI-driven valuations, regulatory setbacks for Apple, or broader market rotation away from mega-cap tech could still shift outcomes before month-end, though current positioning leaves little room for such moves without major catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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