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icon for Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine primäre Nachzählung eines demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?
Politik·Primär

Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine primäre Nachzählung eines demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?

icon for Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine primäre Nachzählung eines demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?
Politik·Primär

Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine primäre Nachzählung eines demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?

Ja

5% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

5% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with a narrow margin of roughly 0.48 percentage points over Francesca Hong. Hong conceded the race shortly after results were certified and publicly stated she would not request a recount under Wisconsin law, which permits candidates to seek one when the margin falls below 1% but requires the petitioner to cover costs beyond a 0.25% threshold. The Wisconsin Elections Commission orders recounts only upon timely formal request from eligible parties, and no such filing has occurred or appears imminent. With the deadline for any petition approaching and the leading candidate declining to pursue one, traders assign a 95% probability against an official recount order by August 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,806
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with a narrow margin of roughly 0.48 percentage points over Francesca Hong. Hong conceded the race shortly after results were certified and publicly stated she would not request a recount under Wisconsin law, which permits candidates to seek one when the margin falls below 1% but requires the petitioner to cover costs beyond a 0.25% threshold. The Wisconsin Elections Commission orders recounts only upon timely formal request from eligible parties, and no such filing has occurred or appears imminent. With the deadline for any petition approaching and the leading candidate declining to pursue one, traders assign a 95% probability against an official recount order by August 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,806
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte

icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

92%
icon for Wird David Crowley die demokratische Gouverneursvorwahl in Wisconsin mit weniger als 1 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

Wird David Crowley die demokratische Gouverneursvorwahl in Wisconsin mit weniger als 1 % Vorsprung gewinnen?

100%
Ja
icon for Wird David Crowley die demokratische Vorwahl zum Gouverneur von Wisconsin gewinnen?

Wird David Crowley die demokratische Vorwahl zum Gouverneur von Wisconsin gewinnen?

100%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine primäre Nachzählung eines demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine Neuauszählung der Vorwahl des demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?" mit 5%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 5¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wird Wisconsin bis zum 31. August eine primäre Nachzählung eines demokratischen Gouverneurs anordnen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 12, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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