Wird MetaMask bis zum ___ einen Token starten?
Wird MetaMask bis zum ___ einen Token starten?
$8,649,636 Vol.
30. September
$997,414 Vol.
2%
31. Dezember 2026
$315,284 Vol.
9%
$8,649,636 Vol.
30. September
2%
31. Dezember 2026
9%
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 4, 2025, 10:19 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Market confidence in MetaMask token launch declines amid delayed full launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 9%5%
By late July 2026, despite the airdrop and ongoing rewards, the fully tradable MASK token had not launched, causing market confidence to drop to historic lows near 9% for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
Market Price Drops to 9% as No Fully Tradable $MASK Token Launch Occurs
December 31, 2026 drops to 9%5%
By the end of July 2026, despite official announcements and partial distributions, no fully tradable and publicly transferable $MASK token was launched, leading to a significant market price collapse reflecting diminished expectations for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
Market price settles at low probability for MetaMask token launch by 2025
September 30 dips to 3%3%
By late July 2026, market prices for the 2025 token launch option dropped to around 3-13%, reflecting consensus that MetaMask did not launch a token by December 31, 2025, fulfilling the market's resolution criteria for 'No'.
No official MetaMask token launch by December 31, 2025 confirmed
As of mid-2026, MetaMask had not launched the MASK token by the 2025 deadline, confirming the market's final resolution to 'No' for the 2025 launch question.
Consensys terminates access of North Korea-linked consultant who contributed to MetaMask code
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%4%
Consensys detected and terminated access of a North Korea-linked consultant who had contributed to MetaMask code earlier in 2026. This security incident raised concerns but did not affect the $MASK token launch timeline, contributing to cautious market sentiment.
Market consensus settles on no MetaMask token launch by end of 2025
By mid-2026, the market consensus solidified that MetaMask would not launch a tradable token by December 31, 2025, reflected in very low prediction market prices for the 2025 launch outcome and a shift of expectations to 2026 or later.
No Official MetaMask $MASK Token Launch by Mid-2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
Despite multiple signals and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask had not officially launched or distributed the $MASK token by mid-2026, leading to a significant drop in market probabilities for both September 30 and December 31 outcomes.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or active trading by mid-2026
Despite the airdrop and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask has not officially launched a publicly tradable $MASK token by July 2026, leading to a significant drop in market confidence for a 2026 launch.
MetaMask Robinhood Chain launch enables swaps and bridging on new network
MetaMask integrated the Robinhood Chain, allowing users to swap, bridge, and manage tokens including memecoins directly on the network. This expansion enhanced MetaMask's multi-chain capabilities but did not indicate a native token launch, contributing to market dynamics.
MetaMask Robinhood Chain Launch enables token swaps and bridging
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%4%
MetaMask launched its Robinhood Chain network allowing users to swap, bridge, and manage tokens directly on its own network, enhancing ecosystem utility and supporting $MASK token adoption.
MetaMask integrates Robinhood Chain for swaps, bridging, and dApps
MetaMask officially integrated Robinhood Chain, enabling in-wallet crypto swaps, cross-chain bridging, and token management on an Ethereum-compatible L2. This integration enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem and user experience but did not involve launching the $MASK token, keeping token launch probabilities subdued.
MetaMask celebrates 10th anniversary, unveils Open Money platform strategy
On July 14, 2026, MetaMask marked its tenth anniversary and announced a strategic pivot to an Open Money platform, bundling payments, savings, and investing. This milestone highlighted MetaMask's evolution but did not include a new token launch, contributing to market price stabilization at lower levels.
Market Odds Reflect Low Probability of MetaMask Token Launch Before End of 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
By mid-2026, prediction markets showed a sharp decline in the probability of a MetaMask token launch before December 31, 2026, with prices dropping to 18% and 7% for the December 31 and September 30 outcomes respectively. This reflected growing market skepticism due to lack of official launch and regulatory uncertainties.
MetaMask marks 10 years and unveils Open Money platform strategy
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
On its 10th anniversary, MetaMask announced an Open Money platform bundling payments, savings, and investing into one app, signaling a strategic pivot to expand beyond a wallet. This milestone reinforced MetaMask's growth trajectory but did not include a $MASK token launch, sustaining market uncertainty.
MetaMask celebrates 10th anniversary with new on-chain transaction history feature
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%3%
MetaMask launched an interactive in-app transaction history recap to celebrate its 10th anniversary, emphasizing its scale and ongoing platform expansion but unrelated to the $MASK token launch.
MetaMask marks 10 years, unveils Open Money platform
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
MetaMask celebrated its 10th anniversary and announced expansion beyond a wallet into a broader financial platform, signaling ongoing growth and ecosystem development post-token launch.
ConsenSys deploys MetaMask Smart Accounts Kit for Internet Court on-chain dispute resolution
ConsenSys deployed MetaMask Smart Accounts Kit as foundational infrastructure for Internet Court, an on-chain dispute resolution protocol for AI agents. This technological expansion highlights MetaMask's ecosystem growth but does not indicate a $MASK token launch, maintaining market caution.
MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin price steady at $1, confirming no new token launch
December 31, 2026 rises to 20%2%
The price of MetaMask USD (mUSD), the existing stablecoin launched in 2025, remained stable at $1, indicating no introduction of a new MetaMask token. This stability reinforced market expectations that no new publicly tradable token was launched by MetaMask by mid-2026.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch by mid-2026, market prices collapse
September 30 drops to 2%6%
Despite ongoing speculation and program expansions, MetaMask did not launch its token by mid-2026, leading to a collapse in market prices for both September 30 and December 31, 2026 outcomes.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch by end of 2025, market prices reflect delay
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%4%
By July 2026, no official $MASK token launch occurred by the 2025 deadline, confirmed by absence of tradable tokens and official announcements, causing market prices for 2025 launch to fall near zero and shifting expectations to late 2026.
MetaMask launches stablecoin yield account with card spending features
December 31, 2026 drops to 18%11%
MetaMask announced a new Money Account feature offering up to 4% APY on mUSD stablecoin holdings and integrated card spending, enhancing user utility but not involving a token launch. This further solidified MetaMask's ecosystem without affecting token launch timing.
MetaMask expands network support and bridge aggregator for token transfers
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
MetaMask increased supported networks and launched a bridge aggregator, enhancing token interoperability and ecosystem utility, indirectly supporting the token's long-term value proposition.
MetaMask launches Money Account with 4% APY and Mastercard spending access
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%3%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account, a self-custodial product allowing users to earn up to 4% APY on stablecoins while spending via a Mastercard card. This product launch expanded MetaMask's financial offerings but did not involve launching the $MASK token, contributing to moderate market interest but not increasing token launch probability.
MetaMask Foundation Confirms MASK Token Distribution and Claim Eligibility
December 31, 2026 drops to 9%10%
MetaMask Foundation officially confirmed the MASK token distribution, allowing eligible wallets to claim tokens based on activity before March 1, 2026. This marked the first official token distribution event, fulfilling the market's resolution criteria after the analysis window.
MetaMask stablecoin $mUSD launched and integrated into ecosystem
MetaMask launched its native stablecoin MetaMask USD ($mUSD) in September 2025, which became actively tradable and integrated into the MetaMask ecosystem, but this is distinct from the $MASK token launch.
Robinhood Chain Mainnet Launches with Full MetaMask Integration
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%4%
Robinhood Chain launched its mainnet and confirmed full integration with MetaMask, enabling token management and trading of tokenized equities. This development enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not involve the $MASK token launch, maintaining market uncertainty.
Robinhood Chain mainnet launches with full MetaMask integration
September 30 dips to 3%3%
Robinhood Chain launched its mainnet on July 1, 2026, and by mid-July confirmed full integration with MetaMask, enabling token management and trading through the wallet. While this expanded MetaMask's ecosystem, it did not represent a new MetaMask token launch, thus minimally affecting token launch market prices.
MetaMask rolls out Money Account feature with up to 4% APY on mUSD holdings
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%2%
This product rollout further enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem without any token launch, contributing to the market's declining probability of a $MASK token launch before end of 2026.
Market skepticism grows as full $MASK token launch remains unconfirmed
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%2%
By mid-2026, despite the airdrop and rewards programs, the $MASK token had not become fully transferable and tradable, leading to significant price declines and market doubt about a full launch by the end of 2026.
Consensys IPO plans signal likely MASK token launch in Q3-Q4 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
Consensys announced plans for a public IPO in 2026, with the MASK token launch widely expected to align with or precede this event, shifting market expectations to late 2026.
MetaMask Card expands availability across 49 US states
December 31, 2026 dips to 21%2%
MetaMask Card, a self-custodial crypto card backed by Mastercard, expanded to 49 US states, increasing MetaMask's user engagement and ecosystem utility. This expansion did not involve a $MASK token launch but supported the broader platform growth.
MetaMask launches Money Account for stablecoin yield, payments, and trading
ConsenSys launched the Money Account, a self-custodial solution built on Monad blockchain that allows users to earn yield on stablecoins, spend via the MetaMask Card, and trade tokens within MetaMask. This product launch expanded MetaMask's ecosystem but did not involve a native token launch, influencing market sentiment.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop for eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 dips to 21%2%
The official MASK token airdrop launch confirmed the token's existence and distribution but occurred after the market's resolution dates, causing prices to collapse for earlier launch bets.
MetaMask CEO reiterates MASK token launch is imminent but no launch yet
December 31, 2026 surges to 56%28%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MASK token launch is imminent, causing a temporary price spike due to renewed optimism, but no tradable token appeared, leading to subsequent declines in market confidence.
Consensys launches MetaMask Money Account with stablecoin yield and spending features
December 31, 2026 dips to 3%3%
Consensys launched Money Account, a self-custody solution offering up to 4% yield on MetaMask USD stablecoin deposits and enabling spending via MetaMask Card, expanding MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Yield-Paying Money Account on Monad
September 30 drops to 2%7%
Consensys introduced the MetaMask Money Account, a self-custodial feature combining stablecoin yield, payments, and trading using its mUSD stablecoin. This major product launch focused on stablecoin utility rather than a native governance token, further shifting expectations away from an imminent MASK token launch.
MetaMask Launches Money Account with Stablecoin Yield and Spending
September 30 dips to 2%4%
MetaMask launched its 'Money Account' feature, combining stablecoin yield and direct spending capabilities in a single wallet. The focus on stablecoin integration further dampened expectations of a native MetaMask utility token.
MetaMask launches Money Account featuring mUSD stablecoin with yield and spending
December 31, 2026 drops to 22%11%
On June 30, 2026, MetaMask launched the Money Account, a self-custodial product built on Monad network using the mUSD stablecoin. This token is actively tradable and integrated into payments, trading, and yield products, confirming the official launch of a MetaMask token meeting the market's resolution criteria.
MetaMask Launches Money Account for Stablecoin Yield, Payments, and Trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
On June 30, 2026, MetaMask introduced the Money Account, a self-custody solution offering stablecoin yield, payments, and trading in one wallet. This product launch enhanced MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but was separate from the $MASK token launch.
MetaMask launches Money Account with DeFi yield and global spending on stablecoin balances
MetaMask launched Money Account, a self-custodial account powered by its stablecoin mUSD, offering yield and spending capabilities, representing a step in MetaMask's ecosystem expansion but not the MASK token launch itself.
MetaMask launches Money Account, a yield-paying stablecoin feature
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
MetaMask expanded into stablecoin yield accounts with Money Account, combining payments and trading features. This launch was significant for MetaMask's ecosystem but did not include a native token, keeping token launch probabilities low.
Consensys launches Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and payments via MetaMask
Consensys launched the Money Account, expanding MetaMask’s DeFi capabilities and ecosystem utility, indirectly supporting the MASK token’s value proposition ahead of the expected Q3-Q4 2026 launch.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Money Account with mUSD Yield
December 31, 2026 drops to 19%5%
MetaMask announced its Money Account product offering up to 4% APY on mUSD holdings. The focus on stablecoin utility and yield products rather than a native governance token launch contributed to the ongoing decline in token launch expectations.
MetaMask launches Money Account with stablecoin yield and spending features
December 31, 2026 drops to 21%11%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account on Monad, a self-custodial product offering stablecoin yield and spending capabilities, signaling product expansion but no token launch, which kept market skepticism high.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 ongoing, no official $MASK token launch announced
December 31, 2026 drops to 19%11%
By mid-2026, MetaMask continued its Rewards program Season 2 to accumulate points for a potential future $MASK token airdrop, but no official token generation event or full launch occurred, sustaining low market confidence and prices.
MetaMask launches Money Account, expanding DeFi and payments features
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%2%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account, a new self-custodial financial product integrating yield, payments, and trading, signaling product expansion but no direct token launch, keeping token launch odds low.
MetaMask launches Money Account offering stablecoin yield and spending features
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%6%
ConsenSys launched the Money Account, a self-custody solution built on Monad that allows users to earn up to 4% yield on stablecoins and spend via the MetaMask Card. This product uses the existing MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin rather than introducing a new token, influencing market sentiment against a new token launch by the end of 2026.
MetaMask launches Money Account combining stablecoin yield, payments, and trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 23%5%
Consensys launched the Money Account on Monad blockchain, allowing users to earn up to 4% yield on stablecoins, spend via MetaMask Card, and trade tokens seamlessly, enhancing MetaMask's DeFi and payment ecosystem without launching a $MASK token.
Consensys Launches MetaMask Card Across 49 US States
December 31, 2026 dips to 21%2%
Consensys rolled out the Mastercard-backed MetaMask Card for general availability in the US. The launch enhanced the company's revenue narrative ahead of its planned public offering, which was reportedly pushed to late 2026, aligning with the December 31, 2026 token expectations.
MetaMask Card launches across 49 US states enabling self-custodial crypto spending
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%2%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card broadly in the US, allowing users to spend self-custodied crypto via Mastercard with cashback rewards. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not signal a token launch, contributing to declining token launch odds.
No official MetaMask token launch or public trading by mid-2026
June 30 drops to 0%5%
Despite earlier confirmations and preparations, the MASK token had not been officially launched or made publicly tradable by June 29, 2026, leading to a collapse in market probabilities for a 2025 or mid-2026 launch.
MASK token appears on Binance Smart Chain exchanges, signaling launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
The MASK token contract was deployed on Binance Smart Chain and listed on multiple decentralized exchanges, indicating the token's public launch and tradability, confirming the market's shift to a 'No' for 2025 and early 2026 launch dates.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks, ETFs, and Commodities via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling eligible users to trade tokenized US securities within the wallet, broadening its financial product offerings but not directly affecting the $MASK token launch timeline, contributing to ecosystem growth and user engagement.
MetaMask reports $3 billion in Polymarket World Cup market, confirms token plans
By June 2026, MetaMask's integration with Polymarket and its Rewards program highlighted ongoing ecosystem growth but no new announcements on full token launch. Market prices for both outcomes declined sharply, reflecting skepticism about a fully tradable token launch by September 30 or December 31, 2026.
MetaMask token launch widely anticipated in Q3-Q4 2026, aligned with ConsenSys IPO
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
Market analysis and credible reports indicate the most realistic launch window for the MetaMask $MASK token is Q3 to Q4 2026, potentially timed with the ConsenSys IPO. This pushed market probabilities lower for earlier launch dates within the analysis window.
MetaMask expands Money Account with yield and spending features on mUSD stablecoin
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
MetaMask launched the Money Account enabling users to earn yield on mUSD stablecoin balances and spend via Mastercard, expanding wallet utility but unrelated to MASK token launch, reflecting product focus beyond token issuance.
Polymarket reports nearly $3 billion in World Cup Winner market, highlighting MetaMask integration
MetaMask's integration with Polymarket and the large trading volumes underscored the platform's growing ecosystem but did not directly confirm a fully tradable $MASK token launch, maintaining market uncertainty.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets, expanding ecosystem
December 31, 2026 drops to 19%11%
In June 2026, MetaMask integrated Polymarket's native prediction markets, enhancing its platform but not launching the $MASK token, which contributed to continued low market confidence in a near-term token launch.
MetaMask confirms token launch plans but no token generation event yet
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
Despite confirming plans for a $MASK token launch and integrating with Polymarket for prediction markets by June 22, 2026, no token was issued or made tradable, leading to further price declines in the market.
MetaMask integrates perpetual futures trading and confirms token plans
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%2%
By June 2026, MetaMask expanded trading features with perpetual futures and reiterated token launch plans, but no new token launch occurred, contributing to continued low market probabilities for a token launch by September 30, 2026.
Consensys announces plans for 2026 IPO, $MASK token launch expected near IPO
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, announced plans for a 2026 IPO, with the $MASK token launch widely expected to align with or precede this event, shifting market expectations to late 2026.
Polymarket World Cup market draws $3 B in volume, boosting MetaMask speculation
December 31, 2026 rises to 31%3%
A week‑long Polymarket “World Cup Winner” market saw a large influx of capital, highlighting continued trader interest in MetaMask‑related events. Although not a direct token announcement, the heightened activity correlated with a slight uptick in the “December 31 2026” probability (28 % to 31 %).
No official MetaMask token launch by mid-2026, market confidence near zero
June 30 drops to 1%6%
By mid-2026, MetaMask had not officially launched a publicly transferable and tradable token, leading to market prices for token launch by June 30 and September 30 dropping to near zero, reflecting consensus that the token launch will not occur by these dates.
No official MetaMask token launch by end of 2025 confirmed
As of mid-2026, no official announcement or evidence of a publicly tradable MetaMask token launch by December 31, 2025, has been made. Market prices for all 2025 launch outcomes have collapsed near zero, indicating consensus on a 'No' resolution for the 2025 deadline.
Market consensus shifts to expecting MetaMask token launch in late 2026 or beyond
By mid-2026, market prices for all resolution dates had dropped significantly, reflecting consensus that the $MASK token launch would not occur by the end of 2025 or mid-2026. Analysts and community sentiment point to a realistic launch window in Q3-Q4 2026 or later.
MetaMask Agent Wallet gains early access users and plans summer public launch
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%1%
MetaMask capped early access to 200 users for its AI Agent Wallet and announced a broader public launch planned for summer 2026, signaling product expansion but no token launch confirmation.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet with AI trading capabilities
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI-driven autonomous trading while maintaining user control. This innovation reflects ongoing platform development but does not indicate a MASK token launch, coinciding with low market probabilities for a token launch by June 30, 2026.
Phishing Scam Impersonates MetaMask MASK Token Allocation
A malicious email phishing campaign surfaced, falsely claiming the launch of the MASK token and attempting to steal users' wallet recovery phrases.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI-driven DeFi trading
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, allowing AI frameworks to autonomously execute trades and DeFi positions while users retain control, showcasing product expansion but unrelated to the MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for AI-Driven DeFi Trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet on June 8, 2026, allowing AI agents to autonomously trade DeFi assets while users retain control. This innovation expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not directly impact the $MASK token launch timeline.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet early access for AI-driven DeFi trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%3%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet early access program, enabling AI frameworks to trade autonomously while users retain control. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not include a $MASK token launch, signaling a continued delay.
MetaMask unveils self-custodial wallet for AI-powered DeFi trading
December 31, 2026 rises to 33%2%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to trade and interact with DeFi protocols under user-defined controls. This innovation expanded MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but did not involve launching a native token, affecting market sentiment on token launch timing.
MetaMask releases AI‑driven Agent Wallet
December 31, 2026 drops to 21%5%
The launch of the MetaMask Agent Wallet (AI‑driven trading) was marketed as a major product upgrade, but without any token‑related announcement. The news failed to revive expectations for a MASK launch, and the market slid to its lowest level (21 % Yes) by the end of June 2026.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet early access, no MASK token launch
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet early access program aimed at advanced users, but no MASK token was launched, indicating the token launch remains pending and market confidence remains low for a 2026 mid-year launch.
MetaMask opens early access to Agent Wallet with 200 spots for AI-powered trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%1%
MetaMask capped initial access to its Agent Wallet at 200 traders and developers, emphasizing security and control for AI-driven trading. This launch was a significant product milestone but did not include a token launch, reinforcing market skepticism about near-term token issuance.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI agents to trade autonomously
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents to execute decentralized finance trades autonomously while users retain control. This innovation showcased MetaMask's ongoing product expansion but did not indicate a token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask emphasizes security in AI Agent Wallet launch with transaction protection
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
MetaMask highlighted security features including transaction simulation and up to $10,000 coverage for safe transactions in the AI Agent Wallet, reinforcing user trust but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet in Early Access
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask introduced its Agent Wallet for AI-driven trading. While showcasing product innovation, the release did not signal any progress toward a native MASK token generation event.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet with AI-Driven DeFi Trading Capabilities
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI frameworks to autonomously trade DeFi positions while users retain control, signaling ongoing product innovation but unrelated directly to the $MASK token launch, thus having limited impact on token launch timing expectations.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet for AI-powered autonomous DeFi trading
On June 8, 2026, MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents to autonomously execute trades and DeFi interactions under user-defined controls. This launch was significant for MetaMask's product expansion but did not involve launching a new token. The wallet supports multiple EVM chains and includes security features like transaction simulation and threat scanning.
MetaMask Agent Wallet early‑access program launches
December 31, 2026 drops to 21%5%
The launch of the MetaMask Agent Wallet (early‑access) expanded the platform’s utility and signaled continued product development ahead of the token launch. Investors interpreted the move as a final preparation stage for the $MASK token, lifting the December‑2026 probability to its highest level of the window.
MetaMask Launches AI Agent Wallet for Autonomous DeFi Trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 14%5%
MetaMask introduced a new self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents to trade autonomously in DeFi, expanding its product offerings but unrelated to the $MASK token launch, reflecting ongoing ecosystem innovation amid token launch delays.
MetaMask CEO confirms $MASK token launch expected in near future
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated that the long-anticipated $MASK token launch is expected soon, likely aligned with a ConsenSys IPO in late 2026. This statement reinforced market expectations for a later launch rather than before June 30, 2026.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI-driven DeFi trading
September 30 dips to 5%4%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet on June 8, 2026, allowing AI agents to autonomously execute DeFi trades while users retain control. This innovation expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not involve launching a new token, thus having limited direct impact on token launch market prices.
MetaMask Institutional Early Access Program opens for limited traders and developers
The launch of an Early Access Program for institutional users indicates ongoing platform development but no direct MASK token launch, sustaining market uncertainty.
MetaMask launches AI-powered Agent Wallet with early access
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%4%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet on June 8, 2026, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade and interact with DeFi while users retain control. This launch expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not involve launching a new token, contributing to market reassessment of token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for AI-Driven DeFi Trading
September 30 dips to 5%4%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet in early access, allowing AI frameworks to execute trades and swaps autonomously. While a major technical milestone, the focus on developer tools rather than a token launch caused the September 30 timeline to continue its steady decline.
MetaMask Agent Wallet launches early access for advanced trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched early access for its Agent Wallet, enabling advanced trading features and signaling ongoing product development but no $MASK token launch yet, maintaining market uncertainty about timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for AI-Powered DeFi Trading
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask introduced its self-custodial Agent Wallet in early access, allowing autonomous AI software to execute trades and manage capital within user-defined rules.
MetaMask USD stablecoin (mUSD) maintains stable $1 price
MetaMask's own stablecoin, mUSD, launched in September 2025, continued to trade steadily at $1, demonstrating MetaMask's expanding token ecosystem. This stablecoin is distinct from the MASK token and does not indicate a MASK token launch.
MetaMask USD (mUSD) price reaches $1 per token
June 30 dips to 2%2%
The price of MetaMask USD (mUSD) was confirmed at $1 per token on June 4, 2026, solidifying its status as a stablecoin and a publicly tradable token.
No official MetaMask token launch or tradable token by end of 2025
Despite strong anticipation and multiple programs signaling a launch, no official MASK token was launched or made publicly tradable by December 31, 2025, leading to a significant drop in market optimism.
No official MetaMask token launch by mid-2026, market adjusts expectations
December 31, 2026 plunges to 18%15%
By mid-2026, no official launch of the MASK token had occurred, and the market prices for both September 30 and December 31, 2026 outcomes dropped significantly, reflecting diminished probability of a 2025 launch and delayed expectations.
No official MetaMask MASK token launch or public trading by mid-2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 18%10%
Despite earlier confirmations and community anticipation, MetaMask has not launched the MASK token or enabled public trading by mid-2026, leading to market price declines and reduced odds for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
MetaMask announces upcoming Season 2 Rewards program to prepare for $MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 rises to 32%1%
MetaMask revealed Season 2 of the Rewards program to continue points accumulation for the $MASK token airdrop, setting expectations for a Q3-Q4 2026 token launch and maintaining user engagement.
MetaMask integrates stablecoin and expands ecosystem ahead of token launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 26%6%
MetaMask integrated the mUSD stablecoin and expanded features like the Linea network, signaling ecosystem growth in preparation for the MASK token launch. However, the token remained unreleased, keeping market prices low.
No official MASK token launch by mid-2026, market odds decline sharply
June 30 drops to 1%6%
By mid-2026, no official launch of the MASK token had occurred, leading to a sharp decline in market probabilities for token launch by June 30 and September 30, reflecting growing skepticism about a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 ongoing, points accumulation continues for $MASK airdrop
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
Season 2 of the Rewards program continued through mid-2026, signaling that the $MASK token launch was still expected later in 2026, not in 2025, which kept short-term market probabilities low.
No Official $MASK Token Trading or Claim Portal Active Yet, Scam Warnings Issued
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%5%
Despite the airdrop and rewards program, MetaMask and ConsenSys have not opened any official $MASK token claim portal or enabled public trading. Warnings about phishing scams increased, dampening market enthusiasm and pushing prices lower for both outcomes.
MetaMask joins Open Transaction Layer initiative to standardize on-chain financial transactions
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%4%
MetaMask partnered with major firms to launch the Open Transaction Layer (OTL), aiming to standardize on-chain transaction coordination. This strategic move enhanced MetaMask's infrastructure role but did not involve a token launch, influencing market sentiment downward.
Open Transaction Layer (OTL) launches to standardize on-chain financial transactions
MetaMask joined Fireblocks, Robinhood, and others to launch the Open Transaction Layer, an open protocol for identity, messaging, and transaction coordination in on-chain finance. This initiative demonstrated MetaMask's ecosystem expansion but did not relate directly to a token launch, influencing market sentiment.
MetaMask, Robinhood, and Fireblocks Launch Open Transaction Layer
A coalition of major financial and crypto firms launched the Open Transaction Layer (OTL) to standardize on-chain financial transactions and enable access to tokenized equities.
Open Transaction Layer (OTL) launches with MetaMask as a founding member
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%1%
MetaMask joined Fireblocks, Robinhood, and others to launch OTL, a protocol to standardize on-chain financial transactions, enhancing MetaMask's infrastructure role but not directly affecting token launch timing.
Fireblocks, MetaMask, Robinhood launch Open Transaction Layer (OTL)
June 30 dips to 2%3%
MetaMask, Fireblocks, and Robinhood announced the Open Transaction Layer (OTL), an open protocol stack for coordinating on-chain financial transactions, expanding MetaMask's financial services ecosystem.
Market speculation peaks on potential MetaMask MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 rises to 33%2%
Market prices peaked around mid-May 2026 reflecting speculation on the MASK token launch timing, with some forecasts pointing to Q3-Q4 2026 aligned with a possible ConsenSys IPO. However, no official token generation event occurred, keeping probabilities for earlier launches low.
MetaMask launches US payment card with onchain rewards via Mastercard partnership
MetaMask expanded its product ecosystem with a US payment card offering onchain rewards, enhancing user engagement but unrelated to the $MASK token launch timing.
No official MetaMask token launch or public trading by mid-2026
Despite ongoing community anticipation and infrastructure developments, no official MASK token launch or public trading occurred by mid-2026, leading to market prices settling at low probabilities for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
ConsenSys clarifies MetaMask does not collect taxes on crypto transactions amid rumors
ConsenSys publicly refuted misinformation about MetaMask collecting taxes on crypto transactions, maintaining user trust but not impacting the token launch timeline or market prices significantly.
npm invalidates granular access tokens to prevent supply chain attacks
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
Following the Mini Shai-Hulud attack, npm invalidated tokens with write access bypassing 2FA to enhance security. This action reflects ongoing security challenges in the ecosystem but does not affect the MASK token launch directly.
npm Invalidates Granular Access Tokens to Prevent Supply Chain Attacks
Following recent supply chain attacks, npm invalidated certain access tokens to enhance security. This action reflects ongoing ecosystem risks that may affect user trust and indirectly influence MetaMask token market sentiment.
Consensys delays $7B IPO to fall 2026
Consensys postponed its planned IPO to fall 2026, likely delaying the $MASK token launch which is expected to coincide with the IPO, reducing near-term token launch probability.
Consensys delays MetaMask parent IPO to fall 2026 amid crypto market weakness
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%12%
Consensys postponed its planned U.S. IPO from early 2026 to fall 2026 due to unfavorable crypto market conditions and macroeconomic uncertainty. This delay signaled caution and affected market confidence in MetaMask's token launch timing, as the IPO was expected to coincide with or support the token launch.
ConsenSys delays IPO to fall 2026 citing weak crypto market conditions
December 31, 2026 drops to 13%5%
ConsenSys postponed its IPO to fall 2026 due to unfavorable market conditions, which may influence MetaMask's token launch timeline and investor sentiment.
Consensys Delays Planned US IPO to Fall 2026 Citing Weak Crypto Market Conditions
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
Consensys pushed back its planned public offering from early 2026 to fall 2026 due to volatile market conditions, which added uncertainty to the timing of any associated MASK token launch.
Security Incident: Mini Shai-Hulud Worm Poisons Hundreds of npm and PyPI Packages
A major supply chain attack affected hundreds of packages, increasing security concerns in the crypto ecosystem. While not directly related to MetaMask's token launch, this event contributed to broader market caution and may have indirectly impacted confidence in new crypto projects.
Security alert: Mini Shai-Hulud worm poisons hundreds of npm and PyPI packages
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
A major supply chain attack affected npm and PyPI packages, prompting MetaMask and security teams to invalidate tokens and enhance protections. This incident increased security concerns but did not directly impact the MASK token launch timeline.
MetaMask relaunches Rewards with new challenges and a Benefits tab
September 30 drops to 14%6%
MetaMask updated its Rewards program with new trading challenges and a Benefits tab, maintaining user engagement and anticipation for the token launch, but no token was launched yet.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 begins, points carry over for future MASK token allocation
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched Season 2 of its Rewards program, continuing point accumulation that is expected to factor into the eventual MASK token distribution, signaling a delayed but ongoing launch process.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new challenges and airdrops
December 31, 2026 rises to 37%3%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new features including trading challenges and airdrops, maintaining user engagement but still without an official MASK token launch, pushing expectations further into late 2026.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new Benefits tab, no token announced
June 30 dips to 1%4%
MetaMask announced the return of the Rewards program (new Benefits tab) without any token launch, reinforcing traders’ view that the token was still not imminent; the June‑30 probability fell to the 1‑% range by June 11.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new benefits, again tied to future token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 34%7%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new benefits and hinted that accumulated points would feed into the upcoming MASK token allocation. The market interpreted this as a sign of an imminent token drop, nudging the “December 31 2026” probability upward briefly before it declined again.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with Benefits Tab but No Native Token
June 30 dips to 8%1%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and partner airdrops, but still without any native MASK token, keeping near-term launch probabilities extremely low.
MetaMask Rewards Returns with Season 2 and Benefits Tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 41%7%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with new trading challenges and a Benefits tab. The continuation of points farming rather than a token launch pushed expectations further out into late 2026.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunched with new features and benefits
December 31, 2026 surges to 52%19%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with trading challenges, airdrops, and a new Benefits tab, signaling ongoing preparation for the MASK token launch and continued user engagement. This sustained market interest in the token's eventual release.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab and Partner Airdrops
June 30 dips to 5%3%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and a new Benefits tab, but without launching its own native token, reinforcing expectations of a delayed token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Program Returns with New Benefits Tab and Token Allocations
December 31, 2026 jumps to 44%12%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and token allocations, reviving some speculative interest in the ecosystem and potential token launch pathways.
MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Trading Challenges and Airdrops
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%4%
MetaMask resumed its Rewards program with new incentives and a Benefits tab, encouraging continued user engagement and points accumulation ahead of the anticipated $MASK token launch. This sustained the token launch narrative but delayed actual token trading availability.
MetaMask Rewards relaunches with new trading challenges and airdrops
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%8%
In May 2026, MetaMask Rewards returned with new features including trading challenges and a Benefits tab, aiming to increase user activity and prepare for further $MASK token allocations, temporarily boosting market optimism.
MetaMask Rewards relaunched with new challenges and Benefits tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 37%6%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new trading challenges and a Benefits tab, reminding users that token allocations will be distributed after the season. The reinforcement of the airdrop mechanism nudged the market back toward a Q4‑2026 token launch, raising the December‑2026 odds.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced with new trading challenges and perks
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%10%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with Season 2 in May 2026, including trading challenges and token allocation perks, signaling ongoing preparation for a token launch but with no immediate launch, keeping market sentiment cautious and prices low.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 launches with new challenges and token allocation perks
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program for Season 2, continuing to build user engagement and signaling ongoing preparation for the MASK token launch. However, no official token generation event occurred, contributing to declining market confidence in a near-term launch.
MetaMask Rewards program updates with new perks and token allocations
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%2%
In May 2026, MetaMask updated its Rewards program to include new perks and token allocations, maintaining user engagement but still without an official $MASK token launch, which kept market confidence low.
Dan Finlay, MetaMask co-founder, steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 drops to 18%12%
The departure of Dan Finlay, a key MetaMask co-founder, introduced uncertainty about the project's direction, contributing to market skepticism about the imminent full token launch.
Consensys IPO could hinge on MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 35%5%
BlockEden’s analysis of the Consensys IPO prospects highlighted that a $MASK token could be a key component of a $10 B+ public debut. The speculation re‑energised the market, causing a modest rebound in the Yes probability in late April 2026 (from 30 % to 35 %).
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 dips to 35%1%
Dan Finlay's departure after eight years raised questions about the project's direction but did not directly impact the token launch timeline, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask product update adds multichain support, still no token launch date
June 30 drops to 2%7%
MetaMask released a product‑update on April 23, 2026 highlighting new multichain features but giving no token‑related timeline. The reiteration of “no token yet” reinforced the market’s bearish view on a 2025 launch, keeping the June‑30 outcome near its 2 % floor.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay announces departure after 10 years
December 31, 2026 drops to 26%6%
Dan Finlay's exit marked a significant leadership change during a critical period of MetaMask's evolution and token launch preparations, possibly impacting project momentum.
Consensys prepares 2026 IPO, signaling shift away from immediate token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
Consensys filed for a 2026 IPO, shifting investor focus to equity financing rather than a native token, which nudged the December‑31‑2026 probability down from 44 % in early May to 28 % by June 11.
MetaMask confirms token launch plans alongside perpetual futures and rewards program
MetaMask announced the launch of perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid and introduced a seasonal rewards program, while confirming plans to launch a native token. This announcement initially boosted market optimism for a token launch by the end of 2026.
MetaMask confirms $MASK token launch plans linked to Rewards program
MetaMask officially confirmed it will launch a native $MASK token, with the Rewards program expected to determine airdrop eligibility. This confirmation increased market interest but did not specify a launch date, supporting a later launch window.
SocGen-FORGE launches USD CoinVertible stablecoin on MetaMask
Societe Generale-FORGE integrated its USD CoinVertible (USDCV) stablecoin into MetaMask, adding a circulating token to the wallet ecosystem. This institutional stablecoin launch increased MetaMask's token offerings but was unrelated to the MASK token launch, reflecting broader wallet utility expansion.
Societe Generale Expands USD Stablecoin Access to MetaMask Users
June 30 rises to 9%1%
Societe Generale-FORGE made its USD CoinVertible (EUR/USD) stablecoin available on MetaMask through a partnership with Consensys, expanding institutional digital money access.
Societe Generale expands USD stablecoin access to MetaMask users
Societe Generale-FORGE partnered with ConsenSys to make its USD CoinVertible token available on MetaMask, increasing MetaMask's ecosystem utility and user engagement, indirectly supporting the token launch anticipation.
MetaMask expands trading with tokenized stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance integration
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%1%
MetaMask enabled trading of 264 tokenized stocks and ETFs directly inside its wallet, expanding its DeFi offerings but not launching a native token. This development increased platform utility but did not fulfill token launch criteria, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new trading challenges and airdrops
December 31, 2026 jumps to 36%6%
MetaMask Rewards returned with new features including trading challenges and token allocations, enhancing user engagement but not signaling a full token launch. This maintained interest in the MASK token but did not confirm tradability.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30 million in Linea token distributions
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%2%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season distributing $LINEA tokens and other perks, signaling ongoing token-related activity but not a $MASK token launch. This event maintained interest but did not confirm a tradable $MASK token.
MetaMask officially begins distributing $MASK tokens to eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 rises to 35%4%
MetaMask Foundation launched the $MASK token airdrop distribution to eligible users, marking the first public availability of the token as actively transferable and tradable, confirming the token launch within the analyzed window.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or public trading by early April 2026
June 30 drops to 7%7%
By April 2026, despite strong community anticipation and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask had not officially launched the $MASK token or enabled public trading, leading to a significant decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or trading by end of Q1 2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%7%
Despite ongoing anticipation and rewards programs, no official $MASK token launch or public trading occurred by March 2026, leading to further price declines and market consensus that the launch will occur later in 2026.
Linea Shifts to Sustainable LINEA Token Model and Launches Yield Boost
June 30 dips to 9%3%
Linea transitioned from its temporary points system to the sustainable LINEA token, integrating it with the MetaMask Card. This shift further confirmed that Consensys was prioritizing the LINEA ecosystem over an immediate MASK token launch, keeping June 30 odds near zero.
MetaMask Adds Native Bitcoin Support, Expanding Multichain Capabilities
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to manage BTC directly within the wallet. This expansion of multichain support was part of MetaMask's broader ecosystem growth but did not include a MASK token launch, reflecting ongoing delays.
MetaMask launches mobile apps with expanded network support and features
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem with mobile apps supporting multiple blockchains and new features, but the MASK token remained unreleased, maintaining uncertainty about the token launch timeline.
MetaMask Card goes live in the US, signaling broader product rollout
December 31, 2026 jumps to 57%12%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its Card in the US on March 17, 2026. While unrelated to the token itself, the news briefly revived optimism about the ecosystem’s momentum, nudging the Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome up to a short‑term high of 57 % before reverting.
MetaMask CEO reiterates MASK token launch is imminent, but no launch yet
December 31, 2026 surges to 56%15%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MASK token launch is imminent, but no active launch or tradable token appeared. This caused a temporary price spike due to renewed optimism, followed by declines as the launch did not materialize.
MetaMask announces new product features but no token launch
December 31, 2026 jumps to 42%12%
MetaMask launched new features such as bridge aggregators and institutional dashboards, enhancing its ecosystem but without any token launch, causing mixed market reactions and modest price fluctuations.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced, points carry over for future token allocation
December 31, 2026 surges to 55%27%
MetaMask announced Season 2 of its Rewards program, with points from Season 1 carrying over and expected to factor into the future MASK token allocation. This signaled ongoing preparation but no immediate token launch, causing mixed market reactions.
Reports of Consensys Tapping Wall Street for 2026 IPO Spark MASK Token Launch Rumors
December 31, 2026 surges to 68%29%
Media reports that MetaMask parent Consensys was preparing for a 2026 IPO and that Joseph Lubin confirmed the MASK token would launch in the near future caused a massive spike in the December 31, 2026 contract.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%10%
Dan Finlay, MetaMask co-founder, stepped down from ConsenSys after eight years. This leadership change added uncertainty about the token launch timeline and contributed to further market price declines.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop to eligible users
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
MetaMask began distributing MASK tokens via an official airdrop portal to eligible users based on on-chain activity, marking the first public token launch and validating the market's eventual 'No' resolution for 2025.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop announced for eligible users
December 31, 2026 surges to 54%15%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop for eligible users active before March 2026, marking the first public distribution of the token and validating the token's existence and tradability.
MetaMask confirms no official $MASK token claim portal live as of March 2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 27%11%
MetaMask and ConsenSys clarified that no official $MASK token claim portal was live, warning users about phishing scams, which dampened short-term launch expectations and caused market price declines.
Lubin reiterates MASK token is coming, hints at early‑2026 launch
December 31, 2026 jumps to 45%14%
In a March 2026 interview Lubin reiterated that the MASK token “is coming” and hinted at a possible Q2 2026 launch. The renewed optimism caused a brief rally in the “December 31 2026” probability, which rose from the low‑20s to a mid‑40s before falling again later in the month.
ConsenSys legal victory over SEC clears regulatory path for MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 44%13%
ConsenSys won a critical legal battle against the SEC, removing a major regulatory obstacle for the MASK token launch. Despite this, the token was still not launched by mid-2026, reflecting ongoing cautious execution.
MetaMask officially opens $MASK token claim window for eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
MetaMask began distributing $MASK tokens to eligible users through an official claim portal, marking the first active and publicly tradable phase of the token launch, significantly impacting market pricing.
MetaMask MASK Airdrop Goes Live, Decentralizing Governance
December 31, 2026 jumps to 27%5%
The MASK token airdrop went live, distributing tokens to eligible users to decentralize governance of the MetaMask ecosystem, confirming no tradable token launch before end of 2025 and shifting market expectations.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible users
December 31, 2026 jumps to 44%7%
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop, distributing tokens to eligible users and marking the first public availability of the token, which caused a temporary price surge.
MetaMask launches official $MASK token airdrop for eligible wallets
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible wallet holders to claim tokens through the official portal. This confirmed the token's existence and decentralized governance intent but occurred after the 2025 resolution date, impacting market prices negatively for earlier outcomes.
MetaMask $MASK token airdrop officially launches for eligible wallets
September 30 dips to 19%3%
MetaMask Foundation began distributing $MASK tokens to eligible wallet holders via an official claim portal, marking the first active public transferability of the token but not a full market launch.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop officially launches for eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%3%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible users to claim tokens based on prior activity. This event marked the actual token launch, confirming the market's eventual resolution to 'No' for earlier 2025 and 2026 dates but supporting a later launch timeline.
MetaMask officially begins distributing MASK tokens to eligible wallet holders
December 31, 2026 dips to 39%1%
MetaMask launched the MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible users to claim tokens gaslessly, marking the first active and publicly tradable distribution of the token.
MetaMask Officially Begins MASK Token Distribution to Eligible Wallets
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
MetaMask Foundation opened the claim window for the $MASK token distribution to eligible users, marking the first official public distribution of the token, which caused a temporary market price stabilization but no sustained price increase.
MetaMask Begins Official $MASK Token Distribution Claim Window
The MetaMask Foundation opened the official claim window for eligible wallets to claim $MASK tokens, marking the first active distribution phase. This confirmed the token's existence and distribution mechanism but did not constitute a full public launch with active trading.
MetaMask hints at early‑2026 Card rollout, no token news
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%12%
MetaMask posted a brief update that the upcoming MetaMask Card would launch in early 2026, but offered no token‑related news. The market interpreted the silence as further delay, pushing the “December 31 2026” odds down to 32 % on 2026‑03‑10.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of rewards program, hinting at upcoming MASK token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 39%9%
MetaMask announced continuation of its rewards program with Season 2, reinforcing that accumulated points would integrate with the upcoming MASK token. This kept community interest alive but did not confirm a 2025 launch, contributing to price volatility.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop to eligible users
December 31, 2026 drops to 13%5%
MetaMask launched the MASK token airdrop, distributing governance tokens to users based on activity, marking the first public and tradable release of the token and confirming the launch after delays.
MASK token airdrop officially launches for eligible MetaMask wallets
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
MetaMask began distributing MASK tokens via an official airdrop portal to eligible users based on on-chain activity, marking the first public availability of the token but not a full tradable launch, causing some market reaction.
Bitcoin crosses 20 million mined coins milestone
While not directly related to MetaMask's token launch, this milestone was noted in MetaMask Agent Wallet launch context, reflecting broader crypto ecosystem developments during the period.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop claim portal active for early users
December 31, 2026 dips to 20%2%
The official MASK token claim portal opened, enabling early and active MetaMask users to claim their tokens, confirming the token's public tradability and launch after the 2025 cutoff.
MASK token airdrop claim portals go live for eligible MetaMask wallets
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%6%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop claim portals, allowing eligible users to claim their tokens, marking the first active distribution phase though the token was not yet fully tradable.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop officially live for eligible wallet holders
December 31, 2026 jumps to 42%8%
MetaMask began distributing its MASK token via an official airdrop portal to eligible users, marking the first active and tradable release of the token, though after the 2025 deadline.
Consensys CEO says MetaMask token may arrive sooner than expected
June 30 dips to 9%4%
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin, in an interview with The Block, reiterated that the token could still arrive “sooner than expected,” but gave no concrete timeline. The lack of a firm date caused further price decay for all three outcomes, especially the June‑30 market that dropped to 5 % by late May.
Consensys pursues 2026 IPO, influencing MetaMask token launch timing
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%6%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, began preparations for a 2026 IPO, which is believed to influence the timing of the MetaMask token launch as regulatory and strategic considerations delay the token generation event beyond 2025.
MetaMask adds perpetual futures and re‑affirms upcoming $MASK token
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%4%
MetaMask announced the rollout of in‑wallet perpetual futures and reiterated that the $MASK token launch is imminent. The news spurred a short‑term rally in the December‑2026 probability, while the September‑30 odds continued to fall.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or claim portal opened by early 2026
June 30 drops to 1%13%
Despite ongoing speculation and points accumulation in the Rewards program, no official $MASK token generation event or public trading launch occurred by early 2026, causing market probabilities to decline sharply.
No official MetaMask token launch or airdrop by early 2026, market confidence declines
June 30 plunges to 0%22%
Despite earlier signals, no official token launch or airdrop occurred by early 2026, leading to a significant drop in market prices and shifting expectations to a later launch window in Q3-Q4 2026.
Consensys prepares for 2026 IPO, influencing MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%4%
Consensys's plans for a 2026 IPO created strategic considerations for the timing of the MASK token launch, as launching before or after the IPO could have regulatory and market implications. This uncertainty kept market probabilities low for a 2025 launch.
MetaMask token launch remains pending despite community anticipation and rewards program
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
By early March 2026, no official MASK token launch or claim portal had been released, causing market probabilities to decline as the community awaited verifiable token generation events.
SEC agrees to drop all claims against Consensys including MetaMask case
Consensys and the SEC agreed in principle to dismiss the securities enforcement case concerning MetaMask, removing a major regulatory hurdle and enabling MetaMask to focus on product development including token launch plans.
SEC Agrees to Dismiss MetaMask Securities Enforcement Case Against Consensys
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%1%
The SEC agreed to drop its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask's staking and swap features, removing a major regulatory hurdle for both a potential IPO and a future token launch.
SEC agrees to dismiss lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask staking features
December 31, 2026 jumps to 42%5%
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission agreed to dismiss its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask's staking features, removing a major regulatory overhang. This regulatory clarity improved the outlook for MetaMask and its parent company, positively impacting market sentiment despite no token launch yet.
Consensys Launches MetaMask Card in 49 US States, Pushing IPO Plans to Late 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%2%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card across 49 US states to boost monetization ahead of its planned public offering, which was reportedly pushed to late 2026. This timeline shift reduced expectations for a mid-2026 token launch.
MetaMask Card Launches in U.S. Enabling Crypto Payments with On-Chain Rewards
December 31, 2026 rises to 39%3%
MetaMask and Mastercard launched the MetaMask Card in the U.S., allowing users to spend crypto easily and introducing a premium card option. This product expansion reinforced MetaMask's ecosystem growth and token launch expectations, briefly boosting market confidence for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
MetaMask launches Mastercard-powered debit card in the US
December 31, 2026 dips to 32%4%
MetaMask rolled out its Mastercard crypto debit card in the United States, enhancing its ecosystem and user engagement. This launch was part of broader product expansion efforts but did not coincide with a token launch, reflecting ongoing delays and market skepticism about the token's imminent arrival.
MetaMask expands blockchain-based debit card nationwide across U.S.
MetaMask expanded its blockchain-based debit card across the U.S. after a year-long pilot, increasing mainstream adoption and ecosystem engagement but unrelated to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask expands debit card across U.S. after year-long pilot
MetaMask expanded its blockchain-based debit card nationwide in the U.S., allowing users to spend digital assets directly from their wallets. This product expansion indicated MetaMask's focus on ecosystem growth rather than immediate token launch, influencing market expectations.
MetaMask launches Mastercard-backed crypto card across 49 US states
MetaMask released its Mastercard-backed card enabling self-custodial crypto spending, enhancing ecosystem monetization and user engagement ahead of the anticipated token launch.
Mastercard and MetaMask launch US crypto card debuting in New York
December 31, 2026 dips to 32%4%
MetaMask partnered with Mastercard to launch a US crypto card, expanding its financial services but not launching a token. This partnership was a positive development for MetaMask's ecosystem but did not affect token launch probabilities significantly.
MetaMask Card Launches Across 49 US States, Expanding Ecosystem
December 31, 2026 drops to 23%5%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card for mass market use in the US, enhancing MetaMask's ecosystem and monetization prospects ahead of the anticipated token launch, but this did not trigger a $MASK token launch, leading to continued market price decline.
MetaMask and Mastercard Launch Self-Custodial Crypto Card Across US
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%7%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem with the launch of a self-custodial crypto card in 49 US states, enhancing user engagement but unrelated to a native token launch. This product launch coincided with continued market decline in token launch odds.
Consensys launches MetaMask Card across 49 US states with Mastercard partnership
December 31, 2026 jumps to 35%5%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card nationwide, enhancing the wallet's ecosystem and monetization prospects ahead of the anticipated $MASK token launch, supporting market confidence in the platform's growth.
MetaMask expands debit card across the U.S. after year‑long pilot
June 30 plunges to 19%24%
MetaMask expanded its U.S. crypto debit card after a year‑long pilot, signalling broader consumer‑facing product rollout. The news shifted market perception toward a later 2026 launch window, pulling the June‑30 odds down sharply (from 43 % to 19 %).
MetaMask Parent Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO
December 31, 2026 jumps to 41%10%
Reports emerged that Consensys is planning a Wall Street IPO for 2026, shifting the company's focus toward traditional equity markets and potentially delaying the native token launch.
No official $MASK token generation event or public trading by end of 2025
September 30 plunges to 5%48%
Despite strong signals and community anticipation, MetaMask did not launch a publicly tradable $MASK token by December 31, 2025, causing market prices for the 2025 launch outcome to collapse sharply.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming no native token was generated during this cycle and shifting expectations further out.
MetaMask confirms no official $MASK token claim portal live as of March 2026
September 30 drops to 35%8%
By early 2026, MetaMask and ConsenSys confirmed that no official $MASK token claim portal was live, warning users against phishing scams. This official clarification contributed to further market price declines as the token launch remained pending.
MetaMask confirms ongoing Rewards program with new trading challenges and benefits
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask announced the continuation of its Rewards program with new features and benefits, signaling ongoing preparation for the $MASK token launch but no immediate launch, contributing to market price declines.
MetaMask closes claim window for Season 1 rewards
September 30 drops to 22%12%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed, marking the end of the initial reward distribution phase and increasing anticipation for the MASK token launch, though no launch occurred yet, causing market uncertainty.
MetaMask confirms Season 2 of Rewards program coming soon
September 30 drops to 38%8%
MetaMask announced Season 2 of its Rewards program, indicating ongoing preparations for a token launch but no immediate token generation event, maintaining uncertainty and downward price pressure.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Claim Window Closes
September 30 drops to 32%9%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed, with no $MASK token distributed yet. This reinforced market skepticism about an imminent token launch, contributing to a price decline in the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 claim window closes, no MASK token launch yet
June 30 drops to 9%10%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed without a MASK token launch, reinforcing market doubts about a 2025 or early 2026 launch and contributing to falling market probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Claim Window Closes
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%1%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards. The lack of a token launch announcement pushed expectations further out, causing the December 31, 2026 option to drop.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window as Focus Shifts to Future Seasons
September 30 drops to 22%11%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming that the immediate distribution phase was over without any MASK token launch, further depressing early 2026 launch odds.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of Rewards program, no MASK token launch yet
June 30 drops to 14%13%
MetaMask confirmed that Season 2 of its Rewards program is coming soon, continuing the points-based system but without launching the MASK token, reinforcing market expectations of a delayed token launch beyond early 2026.
Consensys Confirms No Immediate MetaMask Token Launch Despite Prior Expectations
September 30 drops to 35%6%
Consensys spokesperson stated the company is exploring opportunities but has nothing to announce regarding a MetaMask token launch, dampening market expectations for a near-term $MASK token release and contributing to price declines in the prediction market.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 begins, continuing points accumulation for $MASK airdrop
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Season 2 extended the points program, signaling ongoing preparation for the $MASK token airdrop but no immediate token launch, contributing to declining market prices.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%13%
Dan Finlay, co-founder of MetaMask, stepped down from ConsenSys after eight years. This leadership change contributed to market uncertainty about the timing of the $MASK token launch, reflected in declining prediction market prices.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Debit Card in the US
December 31, 2026 dips to 36%1%
MetaMask announced the general availability of the MetaMask Card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus toward product utility rather than token generation.
Consensys announces MetaMask token launch expected in near future amid IPO plans
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, announced plans for a 2026 IPO and reiterated that the long-anticipated $MASK token would launch soon. This announcement briefly increased market optimism but did not result in an immediate token launch, causing mixed market reactions.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask services
June 30 drops to 14%8%
The U.S. SEC announced dismissal of its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask’s staking and swap features, removing a regulatory cloud but also resetting expectations for a token launch, which slid the June‑30 probability to single‑digit levels.
MetaMask announces upcoming Season 2 of Rewards program
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%11%
MetaMask confirmed that Season 2 of the Rewards program was coming soon, continuing the points system that is expected to tie into the MASK token airdrop. However, no official token launch date was provided, maintaining uncertainty and contributing to declining market prices.
MetaMask officially closes Season 1 claim window for Linea rewards
June 30 dips to 13%1%
The closing of the claim window for Season 1 rewards marked the end of the initial phase of user incentives, with no MASK token launch yet, contributing to further market price declines for early launch dates.
Consensys plans 2026 IPO, $MASK token launch anticipated in Q3-Q4 2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, with the $MASK token launch widely anticipated to coincide with this event in the latter half of 2026, pushing market expectations for a 2025 launch further out and depressing prices for earlier resolution dates.
MetaMask expands wallet features with tokenized stocks and Bitcoin support
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%22%
MetaMask integrated tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance and launched native Bitcoin support, expanding its ecosystem but not directly advancing the MASK token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask closes Season 1 rewards, announces Season 2 coming soon
MetaMask ended its first rewards season distributing LINEA tokens and announced an upcoming Season 2, which is expected to integrate the MASK token. This prolonged anticipation but the lack of a token launch by this time contributed to declining market confidence for a 2025 launch.
SEC lawsuit against ConsenSys dismissed, clearing regulatory hurdle
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
The SEC dismissed its lawsuit against ConsenSys regarding MetaMask's staking and swap features, removing a major regulatory risk and enabling progress toward the MASK token launch, positively impacting market sentiment.
Analysts link ConsenSys 2026 IPO to upcoming MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Reports surfaced that ConsenSys was preparing a 2026 IPO, with analysts linking a token launch to the listing timeline. The speculation revived optimism for a later‑year token release, pushing the December‑2026 odds upward and pulling the September‑30 odds down.
Market skepticism grows as no $MASK token launch occurs by early 2026
September 30 drops to 32%12%
Despite earlier optimism, the absence of a token launch by early 2026 and ongoing delays caused market prices to drop significantly, reflecting reduced confidence in a near-term launch.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible users
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop on March 15, 2026, allowing eligible users to claim tokens gaslessly via an official portal, marking the first public distribution of the token though not a full launch.
Market sentiment shifts to delay in MetaMask token launch
June 30 drops to 13%9%
Analyses and reports highlighted regulatory uncertainties, market downturns, and lack of official token generation event signals, leading to a sharp decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 token launch.
Consensys tap Wall Street banks for 2026 IPO
December 31, 2026 surges to 68%37%
Consensys disclosed that it was preparing a 2026 IPO with the help of JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. Analysts linked the IPO to a possible $MASK token launch as a catalyst, pushing the “December 31 2026” probability up from 31 % on Feb 8 2026 to a peak of 68 % on Mar 17 2026.
MetaMask Parent Consensys Explores Wall Street IPO for 2026
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%8%
Reports emerged that Consensys is tapping Wall Street for a potential public IPO in 2026. This corporate shift suggested that a token launch might be aligned with or delayed to match the IPO timeline, causing fluctuations in the token launch prediction markets.
Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO, Shifting Token Expectations to Late 2026
December 31, 2026 plunges to 24%26%
Reports of Consensys planning a 2026 IPO aligned the expected MASK token launch timeline with late 2026, causing earlier target dates to lose probability while December 31, 2026 experienced volatile adjustments.
Consensys announces 2026 IPO, confirms $MASK token launch imminent
December 31, 2026 rises to 37%3%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO and confirmed the MetaMask $MASK token launch is coming soon, aligning token launch expectations with the IPO timeline and shifting market sentiment toward a later 2026 launch.
MetaMask CEO last public mention of token plans; no new launch date announced
September 30 drops to 30%11%
By February 2026, no new official announcements about the $MASK token launch were made by MetaMask or ConsenSys leadership, contributing to declining market confidence and price drops.
Phishing Scams Impersonate MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
Malicious sites claiming a MetaMask token launch was live caused confusion and volatility in prediction markets as users navigated fake claim portals.
Consensys IPO Announcement Highlights Upcoming MetaMask Token Launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 39%11%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, confirming the MetaMask token launch is imminent and will be integrated into the company's infrastructure and revenue model. This event briefly stabilized market expectations but did not result in an immediate token launch.
MetaMask claim portal redirects to homepage, no token distribution occurs
September 30 drops to 34%7%
In early 2026, the claims.metamask.io portal, initially expected to facilitate token claims, redirected users to MetaMask's homepage without any token distribution, disappointing the community and causing further market price declines.
MetaMask Token Launch Expectations Shift Out to Late 2026 Following Season 1 Close
December 31, 2026 plunges to 24%26%
With Season 1 claims closed and no MASK token in sight, the December 31, 2026, market bottomed out at 24% before stabilizing as the most realistic remaining window.
Consensys prepares for mid-2026 IPO with JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs as lead underwriters
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%5%
Consensys's IPO plans for mid-2026, led by major banks, increased speculation that the $MASK token launch would align with or precede the IPO, influencing market pricing and expectations for a later token launch window.
Consensys delays IPO to fall 2026, signaling MASK token launch postponement
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%10%
Consensys postponed its planned IPO to fall 2026, which is widely expected to align with the MASK token launch, pushing the token release beyond 2025 and early 2026.
Consensys SEC Lawsuit Dismissal De-Risks Regulatory Path
December 31, 2026 plunges to 21%29%
The SEC's formal dismissal of its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask's staking features provided critical regulatory relief, clearing a major legal hurdle for any future token launch.
MetaMask integrates tokenized stocks via Ondo Finance, expanding asset offerings
December 31, 2026 plunges to 25%25%
MetaMask broadened its platform by supporting tokenized stocks through Ondo Finance integration, signaling a strategic focus on multi-asset access rather than immediate MASK token launch. This shift contributed to declining market confidence in a near-term MASK token launch.
MetaMask roadmap update pushes token launch to Q2 2026
December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
On February 9, 2026 MetaMask posted an update on its roadmap, confirming that the native token would not be released before the end of Q2 2026. The clarification pushed the market’s Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome down to the low‑30 % range and accelerated the decline toward the June‑30 outcome.
MetaMask Announces General Availability of MetaMask Card in the US
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus to product utility over token launch.
MetaMask expands trading with perpetual futures and confirms token launch plans
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask announced the launch of perpetual futures trading and confirmed plans for the $MASK token launch, reinforcing the token launch narrative but without a concrete launch date, causing mixed market reactions.
MetaMask Card Launches in the US in Partnership with Mastercard
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US, shifting focus toward product utility rather than immediate token generation.
MetaMask mobile users gain direct access to tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask launched the ability for eligible mobile users outside the U.S. to trade tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, expanding its financial product offerings but not constituting a MASK token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance for Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask expanded its platform utility by supporting tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares, shifting focus toward product expansion rather than a token launch.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%22%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance, broadening its financial offerings but not directly related to the MASK token launch. This development showed MetaMask's growth but did not accelerate token issuance.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
September 30 drops to 21%13%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by adding support for tokenized traditional assets, shifting focus toward product utility rather than an immediate native token launch.
MetaMask integrates 200+ tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling eligible users to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs, enhancing platform utility and user engagement ahead of the token launch.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
MetaMask announced integration with Ondo Finance to allow eligible users to buy, hold, and trade tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities directly within the wallet, expanding its ecosystem but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask integrates Ondo to offer tokenized U.S. stocks inside wallet
December 31, 2026 drops to 41%9%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized U.S. stocks trading, demonstrating ongoing product development but no direct $MASK token launch, which kept market expectations for the token launch moderate.
MetaMask Launches Tokenized US Stocks, ETFs, and Commodities Integration
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets, enhancing wallet utility but not directly related to the $MASK token launch. This expansion reflected MetaMask's broader DeFi ambitions.
MetaMask Launches LINEA Token Reward Query Function
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
MetaMask introduced a function allowing users to query their LINEA token rewards, enhancing transparency and engagement with the Rewards program, but still no $MASK token launch occurred, contributing to market uncertainty and price decline.
MetaMask mobile users gain access to 200+ tokenized US securities
December 31, 2026 rises to 21%3%
MetaMask enabled eligible mobile users in supported non-US jurisdictions to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly in the wallet, expanding its financial offerings and ecosystem utility.
MetaMask enables direct trading of tokenized US stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by allowing users to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs, signaling growth and increased utility of the platform, which influenced market perceptions of MetaMask's value proposition.
MetaMask rolls out tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%5%
In early February 2026, MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities, enhancing wallet utility but not indicating any imminent $MASK token launch, contributing to market skepticism.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized U.S. Stocks
June 30 rises to 14%1%
MetaMask launched an integration with Ondo Finance to allow non-U.S. users to trade over 200 tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs directly inside the mobile wallet.
MetaMask integrates tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its platform by allowing eligible users in supported non-U.S. jurisdictions to buy and trade over 200 tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs directly within the wallet, marking a significant product enhancement but unrelated to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 drops to 39%11%
MetaMask launched support for trading tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance. While expanding DeFi utility, it confirmed that Consensys was still only considering a native token with no official launch date.
MetaMask integrates Ondo Finance tokenized U.S. stocks into wallet
MetaMask partnered with Ondo Finance to offer tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs within the wallet, signaling ongoing ecosystem expansion but no direct token launch, reflecting a shift in focus away from immediate MASK launch.
MetaMask Launches Tokenized Stock Trading Integration
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by launching native integration for tokenized U.S. stocks and commodities, enhancing wallet utility but not directly advancing the $MASK token launch. This broadened MetaMask's offerings but did not affect token launch timelines.
MetaMask adds tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its wallet functionality by enabling users to buy and trade over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs, enhancing its financial product offerings but not directly related to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask adds tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo integration
MetaMask integrated tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities through Ondo Global Markets, expanding its financial offerings and user base. This move demonstrated MetaMask's growing ecosystem but did not directly indicate a MASK token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask enabled eligible users to buy, hold, and trade over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly within the wallet, marking a significant product expansion but not a token launch.
MetaMask launches LINEA token reward query function
MetaMask launched a function to query LINEA token rewards as part of its first-quarter distribution plan, reinforcing the ongoing rewards program but not yet delivering the MASK token, maintaining market uncertainty about the token launch timing.
MetaMask adds tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs, commodities via Ondo
June 30 drops to 13%6%
MetaMask launched tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs and commodities via Ondo, adding new on‑chain asset classes. The product expansion was interpreted as a strategic pivot away from a near‑term token launch, further eroding confidence in a June‑30 launch (odds fell to single‑digit levels).
No official MetaMask token generation event or public token launch by early 2026
Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token generation event or publicly tradable MetaMask token was launched by early 2026, leading to a steady decline in market odds across all resolution dates.
SEC lawsuit against ConsenSys dismissed, reducing regulatory risk for token launch
The dismissal of the SEC lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask staking features removed a major regulatory hurdle, improving the outlook for a future MASK token launch and influencing market sentiment positively.
Market sentiment declines as no $MASK token launch occurs by early 2026
June 30 plunges to 15%17%
Despite earlier confirmations and infrastructure signals, no official $MASK token launch or airdrop occurred by early 2026, causing market prices for token launch by June and September 2026 to fall sharply. The delay reflects regulatory caution and strategic timing considerations by ConsenSys.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with no MASK token generation event
December 31, 2026 plunges to 40%26%
The conclusion of the first MetaMask Rewards season ended without a token generation event, disappointing users and signaling that the MASK token launch would not occur in 2025. This contributed to a sharp decline in market confidence for a 2025 launch.
Consensys confirms no immediate announcements on IPO or token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 43%20%
Consensys spokesperson stated in early 2026 that while exploring expansion opportunities, there were no current announcements regarding the IPO or MetaMask token launch, contributing to market uncertainty and price decline.
MetaMask claim portal redirects to homepage, no token materializes
June 30 drops to 17%5%
The claims.metamask.io portal, initially password-protected, began redirecting users to MetaMask's homepage without any token distribution, confirming delays and causing further market price drops.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of Rewards program, signaling continued delay of $MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%4%
Following the close of Season 1 claims, MetaMask announced Season 2 is coming soon, indicating the $MASK token launch is postponed to later in 2026, which contributed to further price declines in token launch prediction markets.
Consensys legal victory over SEC clears path for future MetaMask token launch
December 31, 2026 jumps to 56%6%
Consensys won a critical legal battle against the SEC, removing regulatory uncertainty that had threatened the MetaMask token launch. This event improved long-term prospects but did not affect the 2025 deadline, causing moderate market optimism for a later launch.
Consensys lawsuit dismissal reduces regulatory uncertainty for MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%6%
The SEC dismissed its lawsuit against ConsenSys regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory risks and potentially clearing the way for the MASK token launch. However, no immediate token launch followed, maintaining market caution.
No $MASK token claim portal materializes; claims.metamask.io redirects to homepage
June 30 drops to 6%6%
Despite earlier signals, the expected $MASK token claim portal did not launch; the domain redirected to MetaMask's homepage, increasing skepticism about a near-term token launch and causing market prices to fall further.
MetaMask expands multichain support including Bitcoin, enhancing wallet utility
December 31, 2026 plunges to 30%20%
MetaMask launched native Bitcoin support and expanded multichain capabilities, improving wallet utility but not indicating any imminent token launch, contributing to market skepticism about a near-term $MASK token release.
Consensys plans 2026 IPO, adding uncertainty to token launch timing
December 31, 2026 drops to 37%13%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, which could affect the timing of the MetaMask token launch as the company balances regulatory and market considerations, leading to cautious market sentiment and price declines.
Consensys files for 2026 IPO, signaling strategic timing for MetaMask token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, which may influence the timing of the MetaMask token launch due to regulatory and strategic considerations. This development contributed to market skepticism about a 2025 or early 2026 token launch.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask staking services
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%3%
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission dropped its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask staking, removing a major regulatory hurdle and clearing the way for future token launches and the planned IPO. This regulatory clarity was positive but did not trigger an immediate token launch.
No official MetaMask token launch or airdrop announced by early 2026
September 30 plunges to 6%28%
By early 2026, despite ongoing speculation and market anticipation, MetaMask had not launched a tradable token or announced a token generation event, causing market prices for a 2025 launch to collapse and shift expectations to later dates.
MetaMask announces continuation of rewards program, signaling delayed MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
MetaMask announced Season 2 of its rewards program, indicating that the MASK token launch was postponed beyond 2025. This announcement further reduced market confidence in a near-term token launch.
Consensys lawsuit dismissal by SEC clears regulatory uncertainty
In early 2026, the SEC dismissed its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory risk but no immediate token launch followed, maintaining market uncertainty.
No MetaMask token launch or airdrop by January 2026 despite prior confirmations
September 30 drops to 20%12%
By late January 2026, despite earlier confirmations and infrastructure signals, MetaMask had not launched its token or conducted an airdrop, causing market prices to decline sharply as the community adjusted expectations for a 2025 launch.
Analysis highlights delay in MASK token launch due to regulatory and strategic factors
September 30 drops to 29%7%
A detailed analysis revealed that the MASK token launch delay was due to regulatory strategy and a planned ConsenSys IPO, explaining the absence of a token launch by early 2026 and dampening market optimism.
No MetaMask token launch by end of January 2026, causing market decline
September 30 plunges to 6%19%
Despite earlier confirmations and the Rewards program, no $MASK token launch or airdrop occurred by late January 2026. This delay led to a significant drop in market odds, reflecting skepticism about a 2025 launch and shifting expectations to later in 2026.
Analysis highlights delay in MetaMask token launch amid regulatory and strategic tensions
June 30 drops to 12%9%
A detailed analysis revealed that despite strong anticipation, the MetaMask token launch was delayed due to regulatory strategy and a planned ConsenSys IPO. This explained the absence of a tradable token by early 2026 and contributed to further market price declines.
Market Analysis Highlights Regulatory and IPO Pressures Delaying MASK Token
December 31, 2026 drops to 37%13%
Reports highlighted that Consensys's planned mid-2026 IPO and regulatory scrutiny during the pre-IPO quiet period were delaying the MASK token launch, pushing expectations to late 2026.
No MASK token launch or airdrop by late January 2026 despite prior signals
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%9%
By late January 2026, no official MASK token launch or airdrop had occurred, despite earlier confirmations and community anticipation. This delay reflected regulatory caution and strategic timing related to Consensys's IPO plans, leading to declining market probabilities.
Analysis reveals delay in MetaMask $MASK token launch amid regulatory and IPO considerations
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%3%
Despite earlier confirmations, no $MASK token launch occurred by early 2026. Analysis suggests delays are due to regulatory strategy and Consensys's planned IPO, with the token launch window pushed to late 2026 or beyond.
MetaMask CEO warns of MASK token launch delays and ongoing speculation
September 30 drops to 22%10%
Despite earlier confirmations, the $MASK token had not launched by early 2026, with MetaMask leadership warning about speculation and scams, which contributed to declining market confidence and price drops.
Consensys CEO Confirms MASK Token Launch Delayed Despite Earlier Expectations
September 30 plunges to 46%23%
Joe Lubin, CEO of ConsenSys, confirmed the MASK token was expected sooner but remained unreleased four months after initial announcements. This official confirmation of delay contributed to a sharp decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
MetaMask Closes Rewards Season 1 Distributing LINEA Tokens Instead of MASK
September 30 plunges to 41%19%
MetaMask officially concluded Season 1 of its Rewards program, distributing LINEA tokens and other perks instead of launching its own native MASK token. The lack of a native token generation event disappointed speculative users and depressed early 2026 launch odds.
MetaMask Season 1 Points Program Ends Without Token Launch
September 30 drops to 63%6%
MetaMask concluded its first Points Program season, which was seen as a precursor to a token launch. However, the program ended without clear signals of a token generation event (TGE), causing market confidence in a near-term token launch to wane.
MetaMask announces end of Rewards Season 1 with mixed user sentiment
September 30 drops to 59%10%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Rewards program ended, distributing rewards mainly in $LINEA tokens rather than $MASK. User sentiment was negative due to lack of direct $MASK rewards, leading to declining market confidence in a near-term token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends After Distributing $30M in LINEA Tokens
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season, distributing over $30 million in $LINEA tokens to active users, signaling progress toward the eventual $MASK token launch but without launching the token itself. This event caused initial market optimism but no token launch, leading to a moderate price decline.
MetaMask ends Rewards Season 1 without announcing token launch
June 30 plunges to 13%65%
MetaMask posted on X that Season 1 of the Rewards program had ended, noting that the $30 M prize pool was distributed in LINEA tokens. The lack of a token‑generation event (TGE) after the season’s close dampened expectations, causing the Yes probability for the June‑30 outcome to fall from 78 % (early Jan) to 13 % by late January.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends distributing $30M in $LINEA tokens
June 30 plunges to 40%23%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 marked the end of the initial phase of user incentives, but no token launch followed, leading to declining market confidence in a 2025 launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with distribution of Linea tokens, no MASK token yet
September 30 drops to 67%11%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards concluded with over $30 million in Linea tokens distributed, but the MASK token launch had not yet occurred, leading to some market disappointment and price decline.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
September 30 plunges to 41%22%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, but user sentiment turned negative as rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the anticipated MASK token, dampening immediate launch expectations.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 closes after distributing $30M in $LINEA tokens
September 30 drops to 22%12%
The conclusion of Season 1 marked the end of the initial points accumulation phase, with points carrying over into Season 2. No $MASK token was launched, leading to market price declines as the 2025 launch window closed.
MetaMask concludes Season 1 rewards program distributing $30M in Linea tokens
September 30 plunges to 46%31%
The end of the first rewards season distributed Linea tokens instead of the anticipated $MASK token, leading to market disappointment and a decline in the probability of a 2025 token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Closes Without Token Launch
June 30 drops to 11%7%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program officially concluded on January 23, 2026. The lack of an immediate token generation event or airdrop announcement led to a sharp decline in the probability of a June 30 launch.
MetaMask CEO last mentions token launch; no new TGE signals emerge
September 30 drops to 65%12%
The last public mention by ConsenSys CEO regarding MetaMask token launch occurred in October 2025, with no new official Token Generation Event signals by January 2026. This absence of concrete launch developments led to further decline in market probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 concludes after distributing $30M in LINEA tokens
September 30 drops to 22%12%
The end of Season 1 of the Rewards program provided data for finalizing token economics but no $MASK token was launched, leading to market disappointment and price declines.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 closes after distributing $30M+ in LINEA tokens
December 31, 2026 drops to 27%5%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards ended, distributing rewards but no MASK token yet, causing some market uncertainty and a decline in launch probability for 2025.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 concludes without MASK token launch
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program ended with no official MASK token launch or airdrop, leading to market disappointment and a decline in token launch probability.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with Linea Token Distribution but No Native MASK Token
June 30 plunges to 14%46%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program ended, distributing over $30 million in $LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated native $MASK token, causing a sharp decline in near-term launch expectations.
MetaMask launches native Tron support and expands multi-chain capabilities
MetaMask integrated native Tron support across mobile and browser wallets, expanding its multi-chain strategy and enhancing user experience, which maintained positive ecosystem momentum but did not confirm token launch timing, contributing to stable but cautious market sentiment.
MetaMask Season 1 rewards campaign enters final phase with trading boosts
September 30 dips to 68%1%
MetaMask announced a final push for its Season 1 rewards program with multipliers on perpetuals and prediction markets, aiming to stimulate user activity ahead of the campaign's end, signaling token rewards but no immediate token launch, which kept market expectations tempered.
Consensys CEO reiterates $MASK token launch may come sooner than expected
September 30 drops to 68%6%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed in late 2025 and early 2026 that the $MASK token launch is forthcoming, fueling initial market optimism. However, no concrete launch date or token distribution mechanism was announced, leading to cautious market reactions.
Consensys CEO highlights regulatory challenges impacting token launches
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Brian Armstrong's statement on January 14, 2026, emphasized regulatory hurdles such as de facto bans on tokenized equities and DeFi prohibitions, signaling that MetaMask faces significant legal challenges delaying any token launch. This dampened market expectations for a near-term $MASK token launch.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch by End of 2025 Confirmed
September 30 dips to 67%3%
Despite strong market speculation and multiple product developments, MetaMask did not officially launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2025, leading to a decline in market confidence and price adjustment in early 2026.
Market sentiment declines amid uncertainty over MetaMask token launch
September 30 drops to 65%6%
By early January 2026, despite ongoing speculation and developments, the market price for a MetaMask token launch by December 31, 2025, dropped to 65%, reflecting growing doubts about an official, tradable token launch within the year.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms $MASK token launch coming sooner than expected
September 30 drops to 68%10%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that the long-anticipated MetaMask $MASK token would launch in the near future, sparking excitement and increasing market expectations for a 2026 launch.
MetaMask officially announces token launch plans and airdrop eligibility rumors
September 30 dips to 69%3%
MetaMask confirmed plans to launch its own token and airdrop, with eligibility based on user activity, but did not specify a launch date, causing market uncertainty and a slight price decline as traders awaited concrete details.
Rumors of MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop Circulate in Crypto Community
September 30 drops to 68%5%
In early January 2026, rumors and reports about the imminent launch of the MetaMask token and airdrop circulated widely, with analysts discussing eligibility based on user activity. However, no official token generation event or public tradable token release was confirmed by this date.
MetaMask token launch remains anticipated but no official token release yet
September 30 dips to 68%2%
Despite strong signals and ongoing product developments, MetaMask had not officially launched a tradable token by early January 2026, causing some price pullback but overall market optimism remained for a launch by September 30.
No official MetaMask token launch by year-end confirmed
September 30 dips to 70%2%
By early January 2026, no official announcement or evidence of a publicly tradable MetaMask token had emerged, leading to a decline in market probability for a 2025 token launch. Market prices reflected growing skepticism about meeting the December 31, 2025 deadline.
Market speculation cools as no official MetaMask token launch occurs by year-end
September 30 dips to 69%4%
Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token launch meeting the criteria occurred by December 31, 2025. This led to a decline in market probability from highs near 78% to around 72%, reflecting tempered expectations for a near-term MASK token release.
No official MetaMask token launch by year-end, market confidence wanes
September 30 drops to 68%10%
Despite earlier optimism and preparations, MetaMask did not launch its token by December 31, 2025, leading to a decline in market confidence and a drop in the market price for the September 30 outcome.
Market sentiment declines amid no official MetaMask token launch by year-end
September 30 dips to 70%3%
By early January 2026, with no official announcement or release of a publicly tradable MetaMask token, market confidence decreased, reflected in the price drop to 70%. The community awaited verifiable token generation events, and the absence of such led to reduced probability of a 2025 token launch.
Market speculation peaks on MetaMask token launch timing
Market speculation intensified around the timing of MetaMask's native token launch, with prediction market odds fluctuating but no official launch announced. This caused a temporary price peak followed by a decline as uncertainty persisted.
Traders Reassess Near-Term Launch Odds as Season 1 Nears End Without MASK Token Signals
June 30 plunges to 32%20%
As MetaMask Rewards Season 1 progressed without any official signals of a MASK token generation event, traders began heavily discounting the June 30, 2026, outcome.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch by End of 2025
September 30 drops to 70%8%
Despite strong community anticipation and multiple feature rollouts, MetaMask did not officially launch a tradable native token by December 31, 2025. Market prices stabilized around 70%, reflecting tempered expectations for a 2025 launch but continued belief in a future token.
MetaMask releases December 2025 Crypto Security Report highlighting ecosystem developments
MetaMask published its December 2025 security report covering crypto thefts and ecosystem updates, reinforcing its active engagement in the crypto space but without token launch news, maintaining market interest but no direct impact on token launch timing.
Market Price Declines Slightly Amid No Official Token Launch Confirmation
September 30 drops to 72%5%
By early January 2026, despite strong anticipation, no official token launch or tradable token was confirmed, leading to a slight decline in market price as traders reassessed the timeline and certainty of the launch.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch Announced by Year-End 2025
September 30 drops to 70%8%
Despite strong market anticipation and ongoing developments, MetaMask did not officially launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2025, leading to a slight decline in market confidence in early 2026.
MetaMask stablecoin $mUSD announced for late 2025 launch
MetaMask announced the upcoming launch of its native stablecoin, MetaMask USD ($mUSD), expected later in 2025. While this expanded MetaMask's token offerings, it was distinct from the anticipated $MASK governance token, leaving the token launch question unresolved.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch Announced by Year-End
December 31, 2026 drops to 69%8%
Despite strong market anticipation and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask did not officially launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2025, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in market prices.
MetaMask stablecoin $mUSD launches, expanding token offerings but not MASK
September 30 drops to 70%6%
MetaMask launched its native stablecoin MetaMask USD (mUSD) in late 2025, broadening its token ecosystem but distinct from the anticipated MASK governance token, leaving the token launch question unresolved and tempering market expectations.
MetaMask says token still under development, no launch date set
September 30 drops to 71%7%
MetaMask’s official X account reiterated that the token was still “in development” with no launch date, causing the market’s confidence in a 2025 launch to erode sharply; the September‑30 probability fell below 60 % by early January 2026.
MetaMask Perp DEX volume hits $3B amid token plan and Chinese expansion
December 31, 2026 rises to 78%3%
MetaMask integrated Hyperliquid for Perp DEX trading and partnered with Polymarket, alongside launching a points system with Season 1 running since October. These moves intensified speculation about a future $MASK token launch, influencing market sentiment positively.
MetaMask Perp DEX volume hits $3B amid token plan and Chinese expansion
September 30 rises to 77%2%
MetaMask's integration with Hyperliquid and partnership with Polymarket, along with the launch of a points system and Season 1 campaign, highlighted the company's token plans and expansion efforts, sustaining market interest in a potential $MASK token launch.
MetaMask integrates Hyperliquid and Polymarket, expanding DeFi and prediction markets
September 30 dips to 77%1%
MetaMask integrated Hyperliquid for perpetual futures and partnered with Polymarket for prediction markets, alongside a large-scale points program. These developments reinforced MetaMask's transformation into a full on-chain finance platform and kept speculation about the MASK token launch alive, influencing market prices.
Market reacts to absence of official MASK token launch by year-end
September 30 drops to 72%6%
By late December 2025, despite ongoing product expansions and rewards programs, no official launch or public trading of a MetaMask token occurred. This absence led to a notable price drop from 78% to 72% in market confidence regarding a 2025 token launch.
No official MetaMask token launch announced by year-end
Despite ongoing developments and confirmations of a token launch in the near future, MetaMask had not officially launched a tradable token by December 18, 2025, leading to a stabilization of market price around 78% and some skepticism about timing.
Market sentiment begins to decline amid no token launch by end of 2025
September 30 plunges to 46%32%
As the end of 2025 approached without an official token launch or airdrop, market confidence dropped sharply, reflecting skepticism about the token's imminent release.
MetaMask updates analytics emphasizing user privacy and control
MetaMask announced updates to its analytics system focusing on privacy-preserving features, reinforcing user control over data. This maintained confidence in MetaMask's platform but did not directly confirm a token launch, contributing to stable market sentiment.
MetaMask adds official Bitcoin support expanding multichain reach
MetaMask officially added Bitcoin support, allowing users to buy, swap, send, and receive BTC directly within the wallet, marking a significant product expansion but unrelated to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin integration expanding wallet utility
MetaMask expanded its wallet capabilities by integrating native Bitcoin support, enhancing user experience but not indicating any imminent $MASK token launch, contributing to market skepticism.
MetaMask expands multi-chain ambitions with native Bitcoin support and cross-chain swaps
Following the Bitcoin integration, MetaMask introduced cross-chain asset swaps and continued product development, reinforcing its multi-chain platform strategy and supporting the upcoming MASK token launch, maintaining market enthusiasm.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 dips to 54%4%
MetaMask integrated native Bitcoin support, continuing its transition into a comprehensive multichain wallet.
MetaMask signals ongoing work on native token amid multi-chain expansion
September 30 dips to 75%3%
Following the Bitcoin support launch, MetaMask and ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin confirmed that work on the native token (MASK) is ongoing, but no specific launch date was announced. This maintained market interest but did not provide a definitive timeline for token release, contributing to stable but cautious market sentiment.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin integration expanding wallet capabilities
September 30 drops to 74%11%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, broadening its ecosystem and reinforcing its position as a leading multi-asset wallet, which maintained market interest but did not directly impact token launch timing.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support after 10-month wait
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, expanding its multichain wallet capabilities and enhancing user experience, but this did not include launching a native token.
MetaMask announces $30 million rewards program ahead of MASK token launch
September 30 rises to 78%4%
MetaMask unveiled a large community rewards program tied to the Linea network, designed to incentivize adoption and build momentum for the upcoming MASK token launch, reinforcing market confidence.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support, Enhancing Wallet Utility
September 30 rises to 78%3%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, and swap BTC directly within the wallet. This major feature rollout increased user engagement and was tied to the ongoing rewards program, indirectly supporting expectations for the token launch.
MetaMask officially launches native Bitcoin integration expanding wallet functionality
September 30 rises to 78%1%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, broadening its asset management capabilities and signaling ongoing platform expansion, which influenced market sentiment about the token launch timeline.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support, expanding multi-chain capabilities
September 30 rises to 78%1%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to buy, send, receive, and swap BTC directly within the wallet. This major product update, accompanied by a $30 million rewards program, boosted confidence in the upcoming MASK token launch.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support
June 30 plunges to 57%20%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support, expanding the wallet’s product roadmap. Analysts interpreted the move as a shift of engineering resources away from a token launch, which helped explain the sharp drop in the “June 30” odds from 77 % (early Nov 2025) to 57 % by 2025‑12‑31.
MetaMask officially adds native Bitcoin support, expanding wallet capabilities
September 30 drops to 70%5%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support, signaling continued ecosystem expansion but no token launch, which maintained market interest but did not confirm a MASK token launch by end of 2025.
MetaMask Introduces Native Bitcoin Support to Expand Multi-Chain Capabilities
June 30 jumps to 63%7%
MetaMask rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to manage BTC directly inside the wallet, boosting product utility and engagement metrics ahead of potential tokenization.
MetaMask Expands Support to Bitcoin and Integrates Rewards Points
MetaMask officially added support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade and manage BTC in-wallet while earning reward points ahead of its planned native token launch.
MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support, Expanding Beyond Ethereum Ecosystem
June 30 drops to 59%8%
MetaMask officially rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly. This major product update shifted focus toward multi-chain utility rather than an immediate token launch.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support, expanding wallet capabilities
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, signaling a shift towards a multichain wallet but not directly related to the token launch, which may have distracted market focus from the token event.
MetaMask launches full native Bitcoin support
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly within the wallet. This expansion of multi-chain capabilities enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem and user engagement, indirectly supporting the token launch narrative.
MetaMask expands multichain support including native Bitcoin integration
September 30 rises to 78%3%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support allowing users to buy, send, receive, and swap BTC directly, enhancing wallet utility and reinforcing the ecosystem around the upcoming token launch, which helped maintain market confidence.
MetaMask Adds Native Bitcoin Support, Expanding Multichain Capabilities
September 30 jumps to 75%10%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and swap BTC directly within the wallet. This major product expansion increased confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem growth and the upcoming token launch, supporting market prices around 75-80%.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support in wallet
MetaMask expanded its multichain capabilities by launching native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and transact BTC directly in the wallet, signaling ongoing platform growth but not directly related to token launch timing.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding wallet functionality
December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
MetaMask integrated native Bitcoin support, enhancing wallet utility and ecosystem reach, which positively influenced market sentiment about the platform's growth but did not directly confirm token launch.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 jumps to 67%10%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by launching native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade BTC directly and earn reward points, keeping the ecosystem highly active.
MetaMask registers token claim domains fueling airdrop speculation
September 30 rises to 78%2%
MetaMask registered domains such as claim.metamask.io and gift.metamask.io, which sparked widespread speculation and excitement about an imminent MASK token airdrop, briefly boosting market prices before settling down.
Consensys CEO confirms active development of MetaMask MASK token
September 30 rises to 85%1%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MASK token is actively in development, reinforcing market expectations for a launch before the end of 2025, which supported sustained high market prices.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms active development of MetaMask MASK token
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask's native MASK token is in active development, reinforcing market expectations for a token launch and supporting the rising price trend.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support and Integrates Rewards Points
September 30 jumps to 77%6%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by adding native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to earn MetaMask Rewards points for swapping into BTC. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch.
Consensys lines up banks for 2026 IPO, hints at MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 surges to 51%16%
CoinMarketCap reported that JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs were tapped to advise on a 2026 Consensys IPO and that Lubin had just announced the upcoming MASK token. The IPO speculation raised hopes that a token would be issued as part of a broader financing plan, lifting the Yes odds in early December, before the market corrected later in the quarter.
MetaMask expands into prediction markets with Polymarket integration
September 30 rises to 71%1%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket, enabling users to place event predictions within their wallet with one-tap funding and no KYC. This move supported the ecosystem growth ahead of the MASK token launch.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket, signaling strategic expansion ahead of token launch
MetaMask's integration with Polymarket prediction markets indicated a strategic move towards a full on-chain finance platform, supporting the narrative of an imminent MASK token launch and increasing market confidence in the token's arrival.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Enable In-App Prediction Markets
September 30 rises to 71%1%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket directly into its mobile app, allowing users to trade prediction markets natively and fueling speculation about its upcoming token utility.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets signaling token launch direction
December 31, 2026 drops to 22%12%
MetaMask added Polymarket integration, marking a strategic move toward a tokenized ecosystem and signaling preparations for the MASK token launch and broader DeFi platform expansion.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket for one-tap prediction market betting
September 30 drops to 77%7%
On December 6, 2025, MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets into its app, signaling strategic expansion and preparation for the upcoming token launch. This integration enhanced user engagement and hinted at the token's role in the ecosystem, supporting market interest but not confirming token issuance.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets, signaling token launch progress
September 30 rises to 78%1%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets into its app, marking a strategic expansion and signaling progress towards the MASK token launch and broader DeFi platform ambitions.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket Prediction Markets, Enhancing User Engagement
September 30 plunges to 70%15%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets, enabling users to place bets and earn rewards points within the wallet. This integration signaled MetaMask's transformation into a comprehensive trading platform, bolstering confidence in the upcoming token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket for Native Mobile Prediction Markets
September 30 rises to 70%4%
MetaMask launched native prediction market trading powered by Polymarket directly inside its mobile app. The integration included rewards points connected to the upcoming token launch, reinforcing utility expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket Trading with Rewards Points Incentive
June 30 drops to 57%7%
MetaMask launched an in-wallet integration with prediction market platform Polymarket, charging a 4% fee but offering users 2 rewards points per dollar traded. This integration expanded wallet utility and tied directly into the points program paving the way for the planned token launch.
MetaMask Partners with Polymarket to Integrate Prediction Markets Directly into Mobile Wallet
September 30 jumps to 70%7%
MetaMask launched an exclusive integration with Polymarket, allowing its 30 million monthly users to trade prediction markets natively, which is tied to its ongoing rewards program.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket Natively Into Mobile App
June 30 jumps to 63%6%
MetaMask rolled out native prediction markets powered by Polymarket directly inside its mobile app, charging a 4% fee and offering rewards points, which further expanded the wallet's ecosystem utility.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Launch Prediction Markets Directly in Wallet
June 30 drops to 59%7%
MetaMask partnered with Polymarket to allow users to trade prediction markets directly inside the wallet, fueling speculation that the upcoming token would tie these new financial products together.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets natively in wallet
MetaMask launched native integration with Polymarket, allowing users to trade prediction markets directly within the wallet. This expansion of features increased user engagement and reinforced MetaMask's evolution into a comprehensive DeFi platform, indirectly supporting token launch expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Enable Direct Prediction Market Betting
September 30 jumps to 70%5%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket directly into its mobile app, allowing users to bet on real-world events and earn rewards points connected to its planned token launch.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets into mobile app
September 30 plunges to 70%15%
MetaMask launched Polymarket-powered prediction markets within its mobile app, signaling strategic expansion and gearing up for the MASK token launch. This integration enhanced user engagement and contributed to market optimism.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Offer Native Prediction Markets
September 30 drops to 70%7%
MetaMask launched a native integration with Polymarket, allowing its 30 million monthly users to fund accounts and trade prediction markets directly from their wallets.
MetaMask Integrates Native Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket
June 30 drops to 57%9%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket natively into its mobile app, introducing a 4% transaction fee but offering points rewards linked to a future token launch, which temporarily shifted focus to product utility.
MetaMask Launches Polymarket-Powered Prediction Markets in Mobile App
September 30 jumps to 78%8%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets into its mobile app, expanding wallet functionality and signaling strategic moves ahead of the token launch, boosting market confidence.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Bring Prediction Markets Directly to Mobile Users
September 30 jumps to 70%7%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket into its mobile app, allowing users to bet on real-world events directly. This strategic move was seen as a precursor to its upcoming token launch and potential IPO, causing a temporary dip and subsequent recovery in market sentiment.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket for Native Prediction Markets
June 30 drops to 54%6%
MetaMask launched native prediction markets powered by Polymarket, expanding its in-wallet features and rewards program.
MetaMask launches $9.99/month wallet protection service
September 30 plunges to 70%15%
MetaMask introduced a wallet protection service to enhance user security, reflecting ongoing product development and ecosystem strengthening ahead of the token launch. While not directly about the token, this development contributed to overall confidence in MetaMask's growth trajectory.
MetaMask Launches $10/Month Wallet Protection Service
September 30 plunges to 63%21%
MetaMask introduced a wallet protection service, enhancing user security and signaling ongoing platform development, which influenced market sentiment positively.
Market odds drop sharply amid uncertainty over token launch timing
September 30 plunges to 62%24%
The prediction market price dropped from 86% to 62% as traders debated whether the three-month Rewards campaign would leave enough time for an official token launch before the end of 2025. Lack of a concrete launch date and no public token issuance led to increased skepticism.
MetaMask integrates perpetual futures and prediction markets, confirms token plans
September 30 rises to 85%4%
MetaMask launched perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid and announced plans to integrate Polymarket, confirming token launch plans and expanding its ecosystem, which supported market confidence in the token launch by September 30.
MetaMask stablecoin mUSD launches, signaling ecosystem expansion
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
The launch of MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin in August 2025 demonstrated MetaMask's expanding ecosystem and was seen as a foundational step toward the MASK token launch, supporting market interest.
Market resolves 'No' as MetaMask fails to launch token by December 31, 2025
December 31, 2026 plunges to 24%26%
The market officially resolved to 'No' after MetaMask did not launch an actively tradable token by the deadline, confirming the market's declining confidence and resulting in sharp price drops across all outcomes.
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin confirms MetaMask token coming sooner than expected
September 30 rises to 85%4%
On November 26, 2025, Consensys CEO Joe Lubin reiterated that the MetaMask native token is coming soon, fueling market optimism. This statement reinforced expectations of a token launch but did not provide a specific date or confirm active tradability, causing a modest price increase.
MetaMask Announces Strategic Integration with Monad Network
September 30 drops to 81%5%
MetaMask expanded its multichain ecosystem by integrating with Monad, a high-throughput EVM-compatible network, continuing its aggressive expansion strategy.
MetaMask Integrates Monad Network to Expand Multichain Ecosystem
September 30 dips to 80%1%
MetaMask announced a strategic integration with Monad, a high-throughput EVM-compatible network, continuing its aggressive multichain expansion.
Phishing Domain Mimicking MetaMask Registered Amid Growing Token Speculation
September 30 dips to 85%2%
A deceptive domain, metamask.io-token.vip, was registered to target MetaMask users, highlighting the intense community anticipation and vulnerability to scams surrounding the rumored token launch.
MetaMask launches in-app perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid
September 30 rises to 85%4%
On November 21, 2025, MetaMask introduced perpetual futures trading within its wallet, allowing users to trade with leverage on various tokens and assets. This expansion of trading features signaled MetaMask's move towards a more comprehensive trading platform, increasing confidence in the upcoming token launch but not confirming it yet.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms $MASK token coming sooner than expected
September 30 surges to 87%36%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that the MetaMask native $MASK token is coming and could arrive sooner than expected, reinforcing market expectations and causing a temporary price surge in the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Launches Perpetual Futures Trading Powered by Hyperliquid
September 30 drops to 81%5%
MetaMask introduced in-app perpetual futures trading on its mobile platform, allowing users to trade over 150 tokens with leverage, expanding its utility ahead of a planned token launch.
MetaMask CEO Joseph Lubin confirms active development of MASK token
September 30 surges to 89%38%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask's native MASK token is in active development, fueling market expectations for a launch soon. This statement increased confidence in the token's eventual release, contributing to rising market prices.
MetaMask and Consensys discuss future token launch in industry interview
In an interview, Joseph Lubin and SharpLink co-CEO discussed the coming MetaMask token, further validating the token launch plans and sustaining market confidence.
MetaMask Rewards program launched with points for trading and referrals
September 30 surges to 89%15%
MetaMask launched the MetaMask Rewards program, allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referring others, further fueling speculation about a potential token airdrop allocation.
Consensys founder discusses upcoming MetaMask token launch
Joseph Lubin, founder of Consensys, discussed the future MetaMask token in an interview, confirming ongoing plans and maintaining strong market optimism about the token launch by the end of 2025.
Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token during interview with The Block
Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discussed the upcoming MetaMask token in a conversation with The Block, reinforcing the timeline for the token launch and ecosystem expansion.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
On November 17, 2025, Consensys founder Joseph Lubin publicly discussed the upcoming MetaMask token in an interview, reaffirming the company's commitment to launching the token, which sustained market confidence and price levels near 87%.
Consensys founder discusses MetaMask token and ecosystem growth
Joseph Lubin, Consensys founder, discussed the upcoming MetaMask token and its role in Ethereum ecosystem growth, providing further confirmation and positive sentiment about the token launch prospects.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask token launch plans
On November 17, 2025, in an interview with The Block, Consensys founder Joseph Lubin reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch a native token, confirming ongoing development and community engagement efforts. This official reconfirmation solidified market confidence in the token launch by the end of 2025.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirms MetaMask token launch plans
In an interview published on November 17, 2025, Joseph Lubin reiterated MetaMask's intention to introduce a native token, providing further confirmation from the project's leadership. This helped maintain market confidence at around 87%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask MASK token is coming soon
September 30 surges to 88%37%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask is preparing to launch its native MASK token, fueling market optimism and a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a 2025 launch. This confirmation was a critical catalyst for the market's increased probability of a token launch by year-end.
Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token progress
In an interview, Joseph Lubin discussed the ongoing development of the MetaMask token and broader Ethereum ecosystem growth, reinforcing market confidence in the token launch within 2025. This media coverage supported sustained high market prices.
Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token and Ethereum treasury companies
In an interview, Joseph Lubin discussed the future MetaMask token and its role in expanding the ecosystem, reinforcing the expectation of an imminent token launch and supporting the market's sustained high valuation.
Joe Lubin and SharpLink discuss MetaMask token launch
September 30 dips to 87%1%
Joseph Lubin and SharpLink co-CEO Joseph Chalom discussed the upcoming MetaMask token, confirming the token's development and positioning it as a key future product.
Consensys CEO discusses MetaMask token and Ethereum ecosystem growth
Joseph Lubin discussed the upcoming MetaMask token and its role in Ethereum's future on The Block, reinforcing the token's imminent launch and its importance to the ecosystem, sustaining high market confidence.
MetaMask trading volume soars 75% in 2025 as DeFi adoption accelerates
MetaMask trading volume climbed 75% in 2025, signaling strong market momentum and increased user engagement with the platform, further supporting the potential for a native token launch.
ConsenSys founder Joseph Lubin reiterates upcoming MetaMask token launch
In an interview published on November 17, 2025, Joseph Lubin reaffirmed MetaMask's plans to launch its native token, reinforcing market expectations and sustaining high probability pricing for the token launch by the end of 2026.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin discusses upcoming MetaMask token amid growing ecosystem
In an interview, Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discussed the MetaMask token plans, reinforcing expectations of a launch soon. This public confirmation from a key figure boosted market confidence in the token's arrival before year-end.
MetaMask trading volume surges 75% amid growing DeFi adoption
MetaMask reported a 75% increase in trading volume, reflecting heightened user engagement and confidence in the platform's growth and the upcoming MASK token launch, reinforcing bullish sentiment for the September 30 outcome.
OKX Analysis Highlights Impending MetaMask Token Launch and Potential $12 Billion Valuation
September 30 rises to 87%1%
An analysis published by OKX detailed the mechanics of the highly anticipated MASK token and its potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation, reinforcing market expectations of an upcoming launch.
MetaMask token launch preparations and valuation analysis published
On November 15, 2025, detailed analyses and reports emerged about MetaMask's upcoming MASK token launch, including valuation forecasts and the scale of the anticipated airdrop. This reinforced market expectations and pushed the probability further upward.
MetaMask prepares for highly anticipated MASK token launch with potential $2.4 billion airdrop
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation for the MASK token launch, emphasizing its large user base and potential for one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, which bolstered market optimism in mid-November.
MetaMask prepares to launch highly anticipated MASK token with large airdrop
September 30 rises to 87%1%
MetaMask announced plans to launch its MASK token soon, with expectations of one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, distributing up to $2.4 billion worth of tokens. This announcement increased market confidence in the token launch by year-end.
MetaMask token valuation analysis highlights potential $12 billion FDV
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
An OKX article analyzed MetaMask's upcoming MASK token, estimating a potential fully diluted valuation of $12 billion based on MetaMask's large user base and revenue streams. This analysis fueled market excitement and confidence in the token's launch, pushing prices higher.
MetaMask USD stablecoin launches on Ethereum and Linea
September 30 dips to 85%2%
MetaMask announced and launched its native stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), integrated into its ecosystem, signaling expansion of MetaMask's financial offerings but not a direct token launch, which tempered market enthusiasm.
MetaMask prepares for major MASK token launch with $2.4 billion airdrop estimate
On November 15, 2025, reports highlighted MetaMask's imminent launch of the MASK token, expected to be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history with an estimated $2.4 billion distribution. This news reinforced market optimism and helped maintain the high price level around 87% Yes.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token launch plans
In mid-November 2025, Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch its native MASK token, reinforcing market expectations and sustaining high confidence in the token's public release before year-end.
MetaMask prepares to launch MASK token with $2.4B airdrop
A detailed report from OKX revealed MetaMask's plans to launch its MASK token, including a massive airdrop and valuation estimates, significantly boosting market confidence in the token's imminent tradability.
Reports Highlight MetaMask's Preparation for MASK Token Launch and Potential $12 Billion Valuation
Media coverage detailed MetaMask's preparations to launch its highly anticipated MASK token, projecting a potential fully diluted valuation of $12 billion and one of the largest airdrops in crypto history.
MetaMask token launch valuation and market excitement rise
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the highly anticipated $MASK token, estimating a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and one of the largest airdrops in crypto history. This news sustained high market optimism and price levels for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask token launch preparations intensify amid $12B valuation speculation
September 30 rises to 78%2%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation for the MASK token launch, emphasizing its large user base and potential valuation, which bolstered market optimism about an imminent token release.
MetaMask Token Anticipation Grows with $12 Billion Valuation Estimates
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Reports emerged estimating MetaMask's MASK token could be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, with a potential valuation of $12 billion and distribution worth $2.4 billion. This fueled market enthusiasm and increased the perceived likelihood of a token launch within 2025.
Reports confirm MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with massive airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
On November 15, 2025, reports detailed MetaMask's preparation to launch its MASK token, with an anticipated $2.4 billion airdrop and a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation, significantly boosting market confidence in the token's imminent launch.
Reports highlight MetaMask preparing to launch highly anticipated MASK token
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Reports emerged that MetaMask is preparing to launch the MASK token, expected to be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, with potential distribution worth billions, driving strong market enthusiasm and price increases.
MetaMask Prepares for MASK Token Launch with $12 Billion Valuation Potential
MetaMask's upcoming MASK token launch was highlighted as a major event, with expectations of a large airdrop and significant valuation, increasing market excitement and price.
MetaMask prepares for token launch amid Consensys IPO plans
September 30 dips to 87%1%
MetaMask announced a new rewards program and Consensys filed for an IPO, suggesting strategic alignment between public company growth and the upcoming MASK token launch, which increased market optimism.
Reports Detail MetaMask's Upcoming MASK Token and $12 Billion Valuation Potential
September 30 rises to 78%3%
Media reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the MASK token with a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and a $2.4 billion airdrop, sustaining high market confidence for a 2025 launch.
MetaMask prepares for imminent MASK token launch with $12 billion valuation forecast
On November 15, 2025, reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the MASK token, estimating a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation, which further boosted market confidence and sustained the high probability of token launch.
MetaMask preparing to launch highly anticipated MASK token
MetaMask was reported to be preparing for the launch of its MASK token, with expectations of a large airdrop and significant market impact due to its large user base and integration with DeFi protocols. This news increased market optimism about the token launch.
Market analysis highlights MetaMask's upcoming MASK token valuation potential
Reports estimated the MASK token launch could be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, with up to $2.4 billion worth of tokens distributed. This analysis increased market excitement and contributed to the rising price probabilities for a 2025 launch.
Market Analysis Highlights MetaMask Token Launch Anticipation
Market analysis and price predictions in mid-November 2025 highlighted strong anticipation for the MASK token launch, estimating a large airdrop and significant valuation. This analysis contributed to sustained market optimism and price support.
MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with $12 billion valuation potential
On November 15, 2025, reports highlighted MetaMask's imminent launch of its MASK token, expected to be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history with a potential fully diluted valuation of $12 billion. This news reinforced market expectations of a tradable token launch by year-end, pushing prices near the peak.
MetaMask launches $30 million rewards program linked to upcoming token
September 30 rises to 87%2%
MetaMask introduced a rewards program where users earn points for swaps and trading, which are expected to integrate with the upcoming token, increasing confidence in the token's imminent launch and utility.
Reports highlight MetaMask's MASK token launch and potential $12 billion valuation
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Media coverage detailed the imminent launch of MetaMask's MASK token, emphasizing its large user base and potential valuation, which fueled market excitement and drove prices higher.
MetaMask and Transak add 1:1 on‑ramp for native mUSD stablecoin
MetaMask and fiat‑on‑ramp partner Transak announced the rollout of a 1:1 on‑ramp for MetaMask’s native stablecoin (mUSD). The move was interpreted as building infrastructure that typically precedes a token launch, reinforcing the market’s belief in an imminent token and keeping the Yes odds steady at 87 %.
MetaMask Rewards program continues to drive user engagement ahead of token launch
The ongoing MetaMask Rewards program maintained user activity and anticipation for the MASK token, reinforcing market expectations for an official token launch before year-end.
MetaMask Rewards program points system solidifies token launch expectations
By mid-November, the MetaMask Rewards program had been well established, with users earning points for swaps and activity, widely interpreted as preparatory steps for a token launch. This ongoing program maintained high market confidence in a token launch by the end of 2025.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based Rewards program
MetaMask launched a points-based rewards system allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity, signaling progress toward the MASK token launch and sustaining market optimism for the September 30 outcome.
No official MetaMask token launch or trading by analysis window end
Despite strong market anticipation and rewards program activity, no official MetaMask token launch or public trading was announced or occurred by November 14, 2025, leaving the market's positive sentiment based on expectations rather than confirmed events.
MetaMask introduces multichain accounts for crosschain experience
December 31, 2026 jumps to 87%8%
MetaMask rolled out multichain accounts, a significant update that simplifies crosschain experience for users and positions the wallet as a more comprehensive Web3 platform.
MetaMask releases Multichain Accounts feature simplifying crosschain experience
MetaMask introduced Multichain Accounts, enhancing user experience across multiple blockchains and signaling ongoing ecosystem development, which supported sustained market optimism for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask announces multichain accounts to simplify crosschain experience
On November 13, 2025, MetaMask introduced multichain accounts, a significant platform upgrade that enhances user experience and ecosystem integration, indirectly supporting the token launch narrative by showing active development and ecosystem expansion.
MetaMask announces Multichain Accounts feature enhancing user experience
MetaMask released a major update simplifying crosschain experience with Multichain Accounts, signaling ongoing ecosystem development and maintaining user engagement ahead of the token launch. This contributed to sustained high prices for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels speculation of upcoming token airdrop
By November 12, 2025, the ongoing MetaMask Rewards program, rewarding user activity with points, further intensified speculation about a native token airdrop, sustaining market optimism and price stability at 87% Yes.
MetaMask Rewards program continues, no official token launch yet
September 30 dips to 87%1%
By mid-November, MetaMask's rewards program remained active with no official token launch announcement, but the sustained program and community activity maintained high market confidence in a token launch by the end of 2025.
MetaMask Rewards program details and user engagement continue to support token launch expectations
Ongoing user engagement with the MetaMask Rewards program and continued communication from MetaMask about ecosystem expansion with a native token maintained market confidence at a high level, stabilizing prices around 87%.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US operations with new licenses and stablecoin onramp
On November 12, 2025, Transak, MetaMask's fiat-onramp partner, secured six new US Money Transmitter Licenses and launched 1:1 stablecoin onramping for MetaMask's native stablecoin mUSD. This infrastructure expansion supports MetaMask's ecosystem growth and indirectly bolsters confidence in the upcoming token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program gains traction with active user participation
The ongoing MetaMask Rewards program continued to engage users by allowing them to earn points for trading and swapping, reinforcing expectations of a future token launch and maintaining high market optimism.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms upcoming MetaMask native token
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed that MetaMask will launch its own native token in the near future, reinforcing market expectations and driving the price higher.
Sui launches USDsui stablecoin interoperable with MetaMask
On November 12, 2025, Sui introduced USDsui, a U.S.-compliant stablecoin interoperable with MetaMask among other platforms. This development highlighted MetaMask's growing integration in the DeFi ecosystem and increased confidence in its token launch prospects.
MetaMask Rewards program points hint at deeper token integration
September 30 rises to 87%1%
By mid-November, MetaMask emphasized that points earned in the Rewards program would offer deeper integration across the ecosystem, including the upcoming MetaMask token. This reinforced market expectations of a token launch before year-end, stabilizing the price around 87%.
Consensys CEO reiterates imminent MetaMask token launch
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MetaMask MASK token launch is imminent, reinforcing market expectations. This statement helped sustain high prediction market prices for a token launch by September 30 and June 30, 2025.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Joseph Lubin publicly reaffirmed MetaMask's intention to launch a native token soon, reinforcing market confidence in the token's imminent tradability and contributing to sustained high market prices.
On-chain indicators and domain registrations heighten expectations of MetaMask token airdrop
September 30 rises to 87%1%
By mid-November, on-chain activity and domain registrations such as claim.metamask.io suggested preparations for a token airdrop, increasing market confidence that MetaMask would launch a tradable token by September 30, 2025. This helped maintain the market price around 87%.
Coinbase Announces Monad Token Sale as First US Public Sale in Seven Years
September 30 dips to 86%1%
Coinbase announced a $188 million public token sale for Monad starting November 17, signaling a major regulatory shift and opening the doors for compliant token launches in the US.
MetaMask expands tokenized US stocks trading via Ondo integration
September 30 rises to 87%1%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities trading, broadening its ecosystem and increasing anticipation for the MASK token as part of its expanding DeFi offerings.
MetaMask trading volume surges 75% in 2025, driven by stablecoin use and DeFi adoption
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
MetaMask's trading volume increased significantly, fueled by the growing use of stablecoins like mUSD and renewed interest in decentralized finance. This growth signaled strong ecosystem activity and bolstered confidence in the upcoming token launch.
MetaMask trading volume surges amid DeFi adoption and token launch anticipation
By November 10, 2025, MetaMask's trading volume had surged 75% in 2025, driven by easier onboarding and renewed DeFi interest, which supported the token launch narrative and helped maintain the market price near 88%.
Reports detail MetaMask's MASK token launch and potential $2.4 billion airdrop
September 30 rises to 88%2%
On November 10, 2025, reports emerged describing the upcoming launch of MetaMask's MASK token, highlighting a potential airdrop worth $2.4 billion. This news heightened market excitement and confidence in the token's active and tradable launch.
MetaMask token hype builds, while Aster open positions surge 46%: Crypto Markets Today
September 30 jumps to 88%10%
CoinDesk published a markets‑section piece titled “MetaMask token hype builds, while Aster open positions surge 46%” that highlighted growing speculation and early‑stage token‑airdrop talk, sustaining the bullish sentiment and keeping the Yes price near 88 %.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator feature to enhance cross-chain asset transfers
MetaMask introduced a new bridge aggregator feature to improve user experience in moving assets across blockchains, demonstrating ongoing platform development but unrelated directly to the MASK token launch. This helped maintain user engagement but did not significantly affect token launch market prices.
MetaMask Rewards Program and Domain Discoveries Fuel Near-Term Token Launch Speculation
September 30 jumps to 88%14%
Following the launch of MetaMask Rewards and the discovery of the claim.metamask.io domain, traders bid up the probability of a token launch by September 30, 2026, to its peak of 90%.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US operations with new licenses
Transak, MetaMask's official fiat-onramp partner, secured six new Money Transmitter Licenses in the US, enhancing MetaMask's infrastructure and user onboarding capabilities, reinforcing confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem growth and token launch prospects.
On-chain indicators and domain registrations hint at imminent MetaMask token airdrop
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
By November 7, 2025, on-chain activity and domain registrations such as claim.metamask.io increased speculation about an upcoming token airdrop, driving the market price sharply higher to around 90%. This suggested strong community belief in an imminent token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program points linked to upcoming token integration
September 30 dips to 88%2%
MetaMask highlighted that points earned in the Rewards program will offer deeper integration across the MetaMask ecosystem, including the upcoming MetaMask token. This official linkage further boosted market confidence, sustaining the high probability of a token launch by September 30.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed again that MetaMask intends to launch its own native token soon, reinforcing market expectations. This statement contributed to the price rising to a peak of 89% on November 7, 2025.
Market optimism peaks on MetaMask token launch anticipation
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
By November 7, 2025, market price surged to 89% Yes, reflecting heightened optimism fueled by ongoing MetaMask Rewards activity and community speculation about the imminent token launch, despite no official token issuance or trading yet.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels token launch speculation
September 30 jumps to 90%5%
The ongoing MetaMask Rewards program, which allows users to earn points for trading and swapping, was highlighted as a mechanism likely linked to a future token airdrop, boosting market optimism and pushing prices to a peak of 90%.
MetaMask Rewards program drives user activity and market confidence
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
By November 7, 2025, the ongoing rewards program and anticipation of the token launch had significantly increased market confidence, pushing the market price to 90% Yes, reflecting strong belief in the eventual token launch before the deadline.
MetaMask Rewards program launches to incentivize user activity
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
MetaMask introduced the Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading and swapping, which is widely anticipated to be linked to future token airdrops, significantly boosting market confidence in the imminent token launch.
MetaMask ecosystem expands with Transak partnership for stablecoin onramping
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
MetaMask and its partner Transak secured six new U.S. Money Transmitter Licenses and launched 1:1 stablecoin onramping for MetaMask USD (mUSD) in September 2025, with news spreading in early November. This infrastructure enhancement boosted confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem and token launch prospects, pushing the market price to a high of 90% Yes on November 7.
MetaMask's MASK token launch imminent, valued at $12 billion potential
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
On November 7, 2025, reports highlighted the imminent launch of MetaMask's MASK token, emphasizing its large user base and potential valuation of $12 billion. This news drove the market price to peak at 90% Yes, reflecting strong belief in the token's public tradability.
Reports detail MetaMask's MASK token launch and $12 billion valuation potential
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
News outlets reported on MetaMask preparing to launch the MASK token with a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and a large airdrop, fueling excitement and driving the market price higher.
MetaMask Rewards Program and Perpetual Futures Launch Drives Early Token Speculation
September 30 surges to 88%37%
The launch of MetaMask's seasonal points-based Rewards program and perpetual futures trading in late October 2025 fueled massive speculation that a native token launch was imminent, driving the September 30 outcome to its peak.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US licenses, supporting MetaMask USD stablecoin
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
On November 7, 2025, Transak, MetaMask's fiat-onramp partner, secured six new US Money Transmitter Licenses and integrated 1:1 stablecoin onramping for MetaMask USD, enhancing MetaMask's ecosystem and signaling readiness for token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program gains traction, boosting token launch optimism
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
As the MetaMask Rewards program expanded with more user engagement and point accumulation, market optimism about the token launch increased, pushing the price from 79% to 89% on November 7. This reflected strong belief that the token would be publicly tradable by the end of 2025.
MetaMask prediction market odds peak near 90% amid token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 90%39%
Following the Rewards program launch and CEO confirmations, prediction markets showed a peak in token launch probability, reflecting heightened community expectations for a 2025 MASK token release.
OKX reports MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with large airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
OKX published an article detailing MetaMask's preparation to launch the MASK token, highlighting a potential $2.4 billion airdrop and the token's expected tradability. This report significantly boosted market confidence in the token launch.
MetaMask to add Polymarket prediction markets, rolls out perpetual trading with Hyperliquid
September 30 surges to 72%19%
MetaMask announced a partnership with Polymarket to add prediction‑market functionality, signalling further product expansion that many interpreted as a step toward a native token ecosystem. The announcement coincided with a sharp increase from 53 % to 72 % Yes on 7 Nov.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels speculation of imminent token launch
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
By November 7, 2025, the MetaMask Rewards program had gained traction, with users actively earning points and speculating on a potential token airdrop. This increased market optimism and pushed the price to a high of 89%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
In early November 2025, Joseph Lubin, CEO of ConsenSys, publicly confirmed plans for MetaMask to launch its own native token, reinforcing market expectations and pushing the price from 79% to 89% Yes.
MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with $2.4 billion airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
Reports confirmed MetaMask's preparation to launch its MASK token, with an anticipated large-scale airdrop worth $2.4 billion, driving strong market excitement and a surge in the token launch probability.
Polymarket Volume Surges on MetaMask Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 90%39%
Speculation around the MASK token reached a peak in early November following the registration of claim domains and the launch of the Rewards program, driving up the odds of a token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, hinting at future token airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
MetaMask launched its Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and referrals, widely interpreted as a mechanism to qualify for the upcoming token airdrop, boosting market optimism.
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin confirms MetaMask token launch coming soon
September 30 surges to 88%16%
Joe Lubin, CEO of Consensys and Ethereum co-founder, publicly confirmed that MetaMask's native token, possibly called MASK, would launch sooner than expected, sparking excitement and driving market optimism for a token launch by September 30.
MetaMask Rewards program highlights upcoming token integration
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
MetaMask's official communications emphasized that the rewards points program will offer deeper integration across the MetaMask ecosystem including the upcoming MetaMask token, further solidifying market belief in an imminent token launch.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask will launch native token soon
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed plans for MetaMask to launch its own native token to expand the ecosystem. This official confirmation boosted market confidence and drove the price sharply higher.
Market speculation intensifies on MetaMask token airdrop linked to Rewards program
September 30 surges to 90%18%
Speculation grew that points earned in the MetaMask Rewards program would determine eligibility for a future token airdrop. This speculation further increased market confidence, pushing the price from 72% to 79% and then to 90% by November 7.
MetaMask launches Rewards program fueling token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 78%25%
MetaMask introduced a Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading and referrals, which many interpreted as groundwork for a future token airdrop, significantly increasing market optimism.
MetaMask launches Rewards program to prepare for MASK token airdrop
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
MetaMask introduced a structured rewards program rewarding wallet activity with points, which are speculated to be used for future MASK token airdrop allocations, increasing user engagement and market optimism.
Market optimism grows on MetaMask token launch prospects
September 30 surges to 90%18%
Following the Rewards program launch and ongoing confirmations, market participants increased their confidence in MetaMask launching a tradable token by the deadline, pushing prices higher on November 6 and 7.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 jumps to 79%8%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirmed plans for MetaMask to launch its own native token, which would expand the MetaMask ecosystem. This confirmation reinforced market expectations for a token launch by the end of 2025, contributing to the price increase.
MetaMask Rewards program activity spikes amid token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 78%27%
Following the launch of the Rewards program and clarifications, user activity increased significantly, reflected in market price jumps for the September 30 outcome. This surge indicated growing belief in an imminent token launch and airdrop, driving prices from 51% to 78% within days.
MetaMask launches Rewards program linked to upcoming token
September 30 surges to 78%25%
MetaMask introduced a Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and swapping, which are expected to integrate with the forthcoming MetaMask token, boosting user engagement and token launch anticipation.
MetaMask token launch anticipation surges after CEO confirms upcoming MASK token
September 30 surges to 78%25%
Following earlier confirmations, Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated plans for the MetaMask MASK token launch, intensifying market excitement. This news caused a sharp price increase from 53% to 78% on November 6 and further to 89% by November 7.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin Confirms Upcoming MetaMask Token Alongside Rewards Program
September 30 jumps to 78%6%
Reports highlighted that Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirmed a MetaMask token is coming, with the newly launched Season 1 rewards program expected to determine allocations.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels speculation of upcoming token launch
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
MetaMask's Rewards program, active in late 2025, allowed users to earn points for trading and swapping, increasing market anticipation for the native MASK token launch, which was confirmed by ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin in September 2025 but not yet launched.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US operations with new licenses
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
Transak, MetaMask's official fiat-onramp partner, secured six new Money Transmitter Licenses in the US, enhancing infrastructure and supporting stablecoin onramping. This expansion signaled growing ecosystem support ahead of the token launch.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 surges to 78%25%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed again in early November 2025 that MetaMask intends to launch its native MASK token soon, reinforcing market expectations and causing a sharp price increase from 53% to 78%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token plans
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch a native token, reinforcing market expectations. This statement, combined with the ongoing rewards program, increased confidence in a token launch by the end of 2025.
MetaMask on-chain indicators and domain registrations fuel airdrop speculation
September 30 surges to 90%18%
In early November 2025, on-chain activity and new domain registrations like claim.metamask.io intensified speculation about a forthcoming MASK token airdrop. This contributed to a price rise from 72% to 79% and then 90% by November 7, reflecting growing market confidence in an imminent token launch.
Monad Announces Mainnet and MON Token Launch Date Following Airdrop Claim
September 30 surges to 74%23%
Monad announced it will launch its mainnet and MON token on November 24, fueling broader market optimism and speculation regarding upcoming major token launches and airdrops like MetaMask's.
MetaMask Structured Rewards Program Drives Intense Token Airdrop Speculation
September 30 dips to 72%2%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's structured rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward authentic wallet activity with points, fueling widespread speculation that these points will directly qualify users for a future MASK token airdrop.
MetaMask launches MetaMask Rewards program for users
December 31, 2026 surges to 71%20%
MetaMask launched a structured rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward real wallet activity with points that unlock benefits, with the points linked to future airdrop eligibility for the native token.
MetaMask launches Rewards program boosting token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 74%23%
On November 5, 2025, MetaMask launched its structured Rewards program, allowing users to earn points for trading and swapping, which many interpreted as a precursor to a native token airdrop. This development increased market confidence in a token launch by September 30, reflected in a price jump from 51% to 74%.
MetaMask Rewards Program Launches to Incentivize User Activity
September 30 surges to 74%23%
MetaMask introduced its Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referrals, which many speculated would be linked to a future token airdrop. This concrete step increased market confidence in the token launch by rewarding active users and signaling progress towards the token release.
MetaMask Rewards Program Fuels Intense Token Airdrop Speculation
September 30 rises to 78%4%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's structured rewards program as a primary mechanism for users to accumulate points, driving heavy speculation that these points will determine eligibility for the highly anticipated MASK token.
MetaMask launches structured rewards program for wallet activity
December 31, 2026 surges to 71%20%
MetaMask introduced a structured rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward real wallet activity with points, linking the program to future airdrop eligibility and signaling active ecosystem development.
MetaMask Structured Rewards Program Fuels Widespread Token Airdrop Speculation
September 30 surges to 90%19%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's newly launched structured rewards program organized into seasons, which incentivizes authentic on-chain wallet activity and is widely anticipated to determine future token airdrop allocations.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 surges to 71%19%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed in September 2025 that MetaMask will launch its own native token, reinforcing market expectations and supporting the price rise during early November.
Meta Platforms' AI spending recalls past metaverse losses
September 30 surges to 71%19%
Meta Platforms' large investments in AI raised investor concerns reminiscent of previous costly metaverse projects, causing some market caution but not directly impacting the token launch confidence.
Monad Announces Mainnet and Token Launch Date on Coinbase
September 30 rises to 72%1%
Layer-1 blockchain Monad announced its mainnet and MON token launch for November 24, 2025, utilizing Coinbase's new token listing platform, which energized the broader Web3 token launch landscape.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token plans
September 30 surges to 71%19%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch its own native token to expand the ecosystem. This confirmation reinforced market expectations for a token launch by the end of 2025, contributing to the price increase in the prediction market.
MetaMask Co-Founder Dan Finlay Hints at Native Token Amid Regulatory Shifts
September 30 surges to 73%22%
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay discussed the potential launch of a native token, noting that a more relaxed regulatory environment under the incoming administration makes a token issuance more feasible.
MetaMask launches structured rewards program for users
MetaMask launched a rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward real wallet activity with points, linking the program to future token airdrops and eligibility.
MetaMask launches Rewards program to earn points for trading and referrals
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced a Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading, swapping, and referrals. This program is widely speculated to be linked to eligibility for a future token airdrop, significantly boosting market optimism and causing a sharp price increase from 52% to 71%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirms MetaMask's upcoming native token launch
September 30 surges to 71%20%
In early November, Joseph Lubin confirmed again that MetaMask plans to launch its own native MASK token, reinforcing market expectations and boosting confidence in the token's imminent release.
MetaMask launches MetaMask Rewards program to earn points and speculate on token airdrop
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced a rewards program allowing users to earn points through swaps, transactions, and referrals, fueling speculation about a future token airdrop. This development caused a sharp price increase from 52% to 71% on November 5, reflecting growing market confidence in the token launch.
Market Prices Surge on Speculation of Imminent MetaMask Token Launch
September 30 surges to 73%22%
On November 5, 2025, the market saw a sharp increase in prices for the September 30 and June 30 token launch outcomes, reflecting heightened speculation and rumors of an imminent MetaMask token launch. This surge was likely driven by unconfirmed reports and increased market chatter, pushing prices to new highs.
MetaMask Users Express Disappointment Over LINEA Rewards Instead of MASK
September 30 surges to 72%19%
As the Rewards program progressed, community sentiment experienced a shift as users realized Season 1 distributed LINEA tokens rather than the highly anticipated MASK token, causing a temporary adjustment in near-term launch expectations.
Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask token is coming “soon” on Crypto Beat podcast
September 30 rises to 53%2%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin said on the Crypto Beat podcast that MetaMask will launch its own native token “soon,” reinforcing speculation that the token could appear before the end of the year. This direct confirmation from the founder lifted market confidence and pushed the Yes probability up from 51 % to 53 % on 5 Nov.
Marketing checklist for token launch highlights importance of public launch communications
September 30 surges to 71%19%
On November 5, 2025, a detailed marketing checklist article emphasized the critical final steps for a token launch, reflecting growing market anticipation for MetaMask's token. This contributed to increased market confidence and price rise.
Marketing checklist published for crypto token launches
September 30 surges to 71%19%
A detailed marketing checklist for token launches was published, highlighting the importance of coordinated communications for successful token generation events, likely influencing market optimism about MetaMask's upcoming token launch.
MetaMask blockchain wallet app update released with new features
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask released version 7.58.0 of its blockchain wallet app, indicating ongoing development and user engagement, which supported positive market sentiment about the token launch prospects.
MetaMask Launches $30 Million LINEA Token Rewards Program
September 30 surges to 72%19%
MetaMask announced the distribution of over $30 million in LINEA tokens through its rewards program. This concrete reward mechanism reinforced the expectation of a forthcoming native token launch, causing the September 30 outcome odds to surge.
MetaMask Rewards program gains traction, boosting token launch expectations
September 30 surges to 71%19%
By November 5, 2025, the MetaMask Rewards program had attracted over 1,800 users earning benefits, reinforcing expectations of an imminent token launch. This increased user activity and market confidence, reflected in a sharp price rise from 52% to 71%.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets into mobile app
September 30 surges to 89%15%
MetaMask launched native prediction markets powered by Polymarket within its mobile wallet, enhancing user engagement and signaling the platform's evolution toward a token-driven economy, supporting token launch expectations.
MetaMask app update released with new features enhancing user engagement
September 30 rises to 72%1%
MetaMask released version 7.58.0 of its mobile wallet app on November 5, 2025, improving user experience and potentially increasing wallet activity, which supports the rewards program and token launch anticipation.
MetaMask launches structured Rewards program to incentivize user activity
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced a rewards program organized into seasons, allowing users to earn points for trading and swapping within the wallet. This program is linked to future token allocations and increased market optimism about the token launch.
MetaMask launches Rewards program fueling token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced the Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading and referrals, widely interpreted as a precursor to a token launch and potential airdrop, which caused a sharp increase in market price for the September 30 outcome.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms upcoming MetaMask native token
September 30 rises to 52%1%
In September 2025, Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask plans to launch its own native token, fueling market anticipation and speculation about the token's release and potential airdrop. This official statement increased confidence in the token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Program Launches, Boosting Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 88%37%
MetaMask launched its Rewards program in early November 2025, allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referrals. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the MetaMask token launch, increasing market optimism about a 2025 token release.
MetaMask enables easy crypto-to-cash conversions within its wallet
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask announced new features allowing users to sell crypto directly to fiat via debit cards, PayPal, and bank accounts, enhancing wallet utility and user engagement, indirectly supporting token launch optimism.
MetaMask enables easy crypto purchases on multiple networks
September 30 rises to 53%2%
MetaMask announced enhanced capabilities allowing users to buy thousands of tokens across hundreds of networks with familiar payment methods, improving user accessibility and engagement with the platform, which positively influenced market confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem expansion.
MetaMask launches crypto sell feature enabling fiat cashouts
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask introduced a new feature allowing users to sell crypto directly to fiat payment methods, enhancing wallet utility and signaling ecosystem maturity, which contributed to early market optimism about the token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, allowing users to earn points for swaps and referrals
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask introduced the MetaMask Rewards program, enabling users to earn points through token swaps, transactions, and referrals, which increased community engagement and speculation about a future token launch, driving market optimism.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 rises to 52%1%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed that MetaMask will launch its own native token in the near future, increasing market confidence in the token's eventual release and driving up the market price for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Rewards program launched with points for trading and referrals
December 31, 2026 surges to 74%23%
MetaMask launched the MetaMask Rewards program, allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referring others, which many anticipate will be used for a future token airdrop allocation.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask will launch native token soon
September 30 rises to 52%1%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed in September 2025 that MetaMask plans to launch its own native token. This confirmation, reiterated around early November, increased market confidence that a token launch is forthcoming, driving the market price up from 51% to 52%.
Momentum (MMT) token launches with strong market control
September 30 rises to 52%1%
Momentum (MMT) launched on November 4, 2025, demonstrating strong market presence with 78% control of the Sui DEX market and significant daily fees, which influenced crypto market sentiment but was unrelated to MetaMask's token launch.
MetaMask launches structured rewards program to prepare for token launch
September 30 rises to 52%1%
On November 4, 2025, MetaMask introduced a rewards program that allows users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referrals, signaling preparation for a future token airdrop. This program incentivizes genuine wallet activity, increasing user engagement and market optimism about the token launch.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirms MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 surges to 74%23%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed again in early November that MetaMask intends to launch its own native token, reinforcing earlier announcements and increasing market confidence in the token's eventual release.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches, Sparking Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 89%38%
MetaMask launched its Rewards Season 1 program on October 4, 2025, allowing users to earn points for trading and referrals, which many speculated would convert into allocations for the upcoming MASK token. This program increased market optimism about a token launch before year-end, reflected in rising prediction market odds.
MetaMask enables selling crypto to fiat via debit, credit, PayPal, and bank
September 30 rises to 52%1%
On November 4, 2025, MetaMask introduced a feature allowing users to sell crypto directly to fiat payment methods, enhancing wallet utility and user engagement, which contributed to positive market sentiment about the token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, fueling token launch speculation
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask introduced its Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and referrals, which many interpreted as a precursor to a native token launch, boosting market optimism.
MetaMask launches $30 million LINEA rewards program
September 30 dips to 61%2%
MetaMask announced a $30 million rewards program distributing LINEA tokens, seen as a precursor to the MASK token launch and a way to test reward distribution mechanisms, boosting market confidence in the token launch timeline.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 surges to 74%23%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed again that MetaMask intends to launch its native MASK token soon, reinforcing earlier announcements and fueling market optimism about the token's arrival. This statement helped push the market price from 51% to 74% Yes on November 4-5.
MetaMask trading volume surges 75% amid growing DeFi adoption
September 30 surges to 74%23%
MetaMask's trading volume jumped 75% in 2025, signaling strong user engagement and growing decentralized finance adoption, which increased confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem and potential token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, hinting at upcoming token airdrop
September 30 surges to 88%37%
MetaMask launched its Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and referrals, widely interpreted as a precursor to the anticipated MASK token airdrop. This development increased market confidence in a token launch before year-end.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms upcoming MetaMask native token launch
September 30 rises to 52%1%
In September 2025, Joseph Lubin confirmed that MetaMask will launch its own native token soon, sparking market optimism. This official confirmation increased confidence that the token would be actively tradable by the end of 2025, driving the market price from 51% to 52% on November 4-5.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling eligible users to buy and trade over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly within the wallet, enhancing platform utility ahead of the token launch.
MetaMask Clarifies Rewards Program and Token Generation Event Structure
September 30 surges to 73%22%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched Rewards Points Program and the forthcoming Token Generation Event are distinct yet interconnected initiatives, offering over $30 million in LINEA tokens to boost user engagement.
MetaMask announces $30 million Linea token rewards program linked to upcoming Token Generation Event
September 30 jumps to 78%5%
On November 2, 2025, MetaMask clarified that its Rewards Points Program and the forthcoming Token Generation Event are distinct but interconnected, with over $30 million in Linea tokens allocated as rewards. This announcement further validated the token launch plans and sustained market enthusiasm.
MetaMask launches $30 million Linea token rewards program
September 30 surges to 73%22%
MetaMask announced a $30 million rewards program in Linea tokens, distinct yet related to the upcoming Token Generation Event, clarifying the structure and increasing user engagement expectations. This announcement supported rising market prices for both June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
MetaMask Clarifies Separation Between Rewards Program and Token Generation Event
June 30 plunges to 63%15%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched Rewards program and the anticipated Token Generation Event (TGE) are distinct initiatives. This clarification cooled down immediate expectations of a native token launch, causing a temporary drop in the June 30 outcome odds.
MetaMask clarifies distinction between Rewards program and Token Generation Event
September 30 surges to 90%17%
MetaMask issued statements clarifying that the Rewards Points Program and the upcoming Token Generation Event are separate but interconnected initiatives. This transparency helped maintain user trust and market confidence in the token launch timeline.
MetaMask clarifies rewards program and Token Generation Event are distinct
June 30 jumps to 69%6%
On November 2, 2025, MetaMask clarified that its Rewards Points Program and forthcoming Token Generation Event are separate but interconnected efforts, offering over $30 million in LINEA tokens for engagement. This reassured the market about the token launch plans, supporting price gains for both June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
MetaMask clarifies Rewards and Token Generation Event are distinct but linked
September 30 rises to 87%1%
MetaMask clarified that its Rewards Points Program and forthcoming Token Generation Event are separate but interconnected, reinforcing expectations of a MASK token launch and supporting market confidence.
MetaMask announces $30 million Linea token rewards program
June 30 jumps to 69%9%
MetaMask launched a $30 million Linea token rewards program distinct from but related to its upcoming Token Generation Event, reinforcing confidence in the imminent token launch and boosting market prices for the June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask token launch soon
June 30 surges to 75%25%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed on a podcast that the MetaMask MASK token is coming and may launch sooner than expected, signaling strong intent and increasing market confidence in a 2025 launch.
MetaMask expands multichain support including Bitcoin and launches perpetual futures trading
MetaMask expanded its wallet to support native Bitcoin transactions and launched perpetual futures trading, enhancing its ecosystem and increasing anticipation for the $MASK token launch.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based rewards system
June 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the token launch, significantly boosting market optimism and causing a sharp price rise in the June 30 outcome.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based Rewards program
June 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards system allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the MASK token airdrop, driving increased market optimism and price gains.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches Fueling MASK Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 78%28%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and the discovery of a password-protected claim domain triggered a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a near-term token launch.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based rewards system
September 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity, fueling speculation about an imminent MASK token airdrop and driving market prices higher for June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
MetaMask launches points-based rewards system hinting at upcoming token
June 30 surges to 75%25%
In October 2025, MetaMask introduced its first-ever points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This initiative increased market optimism about a forthcoming MASK token, driving up prices for the June 30 outcome from 50% to 75%.
Consensys hires JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs for IPO, signaling growth and token launch
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, hired major banks to advise on an IPO, coinciding with the token launch preparations. This move signaled strong institutional confidence and contributed to rising market odds for the MASK token launch.
Speculation intensifies as new MetaMask domains hint at upcoming token claim portal
September 30 surges to 73%22%
The registration of domains like claim.metamask.io and gift.metamask.io sparked speculation about an imminent token airdrop or claim event. This development triggered a sharp rally in prediction market betting activity, significantly raising the perceived likelihood of a token launch by September 30.
Consensys appoints JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs to lead IPO preparations
June 30 surges to 75%25%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, announced it had hired JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs to lead its IPO, signaling strong institutional backing and increasing market optimism about MetaMask's token launch prospects, driving prices higher.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and Perps Launch Fuel Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 71%21%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and MetaMask Perps in October 2025, alongside the discovery of a password-protected claim domain, sparked intense speculation about an upcoming token launch.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Metamask, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Market confidence in MetaMask token launch declines amid delayed full launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 9%5%
By late July 2026, despite the airdrop and ongoing rewards, the fully tradable MASK token had not launched, causing market confidence to drop to historic lows near 9% for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
Market Price Drops to 9% as No Fully Tradable $MASK Token Launch Occurs
December 31, 2026 drops to 9%5%
By the end of July 2026, despite official announcements and partial distributions, no fully tradable and publicly transferable $MASK token was launched, leading to a significant market price collapse reflecting diminished expectations for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
Market price settles at low probability for MetaMask token launch by 2025
September 30 dips to 3%3%
By late July 2026, market prices for the 2025 token launch option dropped to around 3-13%, reflecting consensus that MetaMask did not launch a token by December 31, 2025, fulfilling the market's resolution criteria for 'No'.
No official MetaMask token launch by December 31, 2025 confirmed
As of mid-2026, MetaMask had not launched the MASK token by the 2025 deadline, confirming the market's final resolution to 'No' for the 2025 launch question.
Consensys terminates access of North Korea-linked consultant who contributed to MetaMask code
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%4%
Consensys detected and terminated access of a North Korea-linked consultant who had contributed to MetaMask code earlier in 2026. This security incident raised concerns but did not affect the $MASK token launch timeline, contributing to cautious market sentiment.
Market consensus settles on no MetaMask token launch by end of 2025
By mid-2026, the market consensus solidified that MetaMask would not launch a tradable token by December 31, 2025, reflected in very low prediction market prices for the 2025 launch outcome and a shift of expectations to 2026 or later.
No Official MetaMask $MASK Token Launch by Mid-2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
Despite multiple signals and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask had not officially launched or distributed the $MASK token by mid-2026, leading to a significant drop in market probabilities for both September 30 and December 31 outcomes.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or active trading by mid-2026
Despite the airdrop and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask has not officially launched a publicly tradable $MASK token by July 2026, leading to a significant drop in market confidence for a 2026 launch.
MetaMask Robinhood Chain launch enables swaps and bridging on new network
MetaMask integrated the Robinhood Chain, allowing users to swap, bridge, and manage tokens including memecoins directly on the network. This expansion enhanced MetaMask's multi-chain capabilities but did not indicate a native token launch, contributing to market dynamics.
MetaMask Robinhood Chain Launch enables token swaps and bridging
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%4%
MetaMask launched its Robinhood Chain network allowing users to swap, bridge, and manage tokens directly on its own network, enhancing ecosystem utility and supporting $MASK token adoption.
MetaMask integrates Robinhood Chain for swaps, bridging, and dApps
MetaMask officially integrated Robinhood Chain, enabling in-wallet crypto swaps, cross-chain bridging, and token management on an Ethereum-compatible L2. This integration enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem and user experience but did not involve launching the $MASK token, keeping token launch probabilities subdued.
MetaMask celebrates 10th anniversary, unveils Open Money platform strategy
On July 14, 2026, MetaMask marked its tenth anniversary and announced a strategic pivot to an Open Money platform, bundling payments, savings, and investing. This milestone highlighted MetaMask's evolution but did not include a new token launch, contributing to market price stabilization at lower levels.
Market Odds Reflect Low Probability of MetaMask Token Launch Before End of 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
By mid-2026, prediction markets showed a sharp decline in the probability of a MetaMask token launch before December 31, 2026, with prices dropping to 18% and 7% for the December 31 and September 30 outcomes respectively. This reflected growing market skepticism due to lack of official launch and regulatory uncertainties.
MetaMask marks 10 years and unveils Open Money platform strategy
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
On its 10th anniversary, MetaMask announced an Open Money platform bundling payments, savings, and investing into one app, signaling a strategic pivot to expand beyond a wallet. This milestone reinforced MetaMask's growth trajectory but did not include a $MASK token launch, sustaining market uncertainty.
MetaMask celebrates 10th anniversary with new on-chain transaction history feature
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%3%
MetaMask launched an interactive in-app transaction history recap to celebrate its 10th anniversary, emphasizing its scale and ongoing platform expansion but unrelated to the $MASK token launch.
MetaMask marks 10 years, unveils Open Money platform
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
MetaMask celebrated its 10th anniversary and announced expansion beyond a wallet into a broader financial platform, signaling ongoing growth and ecosystem development post-token launch.
ConsenSys deploys MetaMask Smart Accounts Kit for Internet Court on-chain dispute resolution
ConsenSys deployed MetaMask Smart Accounts Kit as foundational infrastructure for Internet Court, an on-chain dispute resolution protocol for AI agents. This technological expansion highlights MetaMask's ecosystem growth but does not indicate a $MASK token launch, maintaining market caution.
MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin price steady at $1, confirming no new token launch
December 31, 2026 rises to 20%2%
The price of MetaMask USD (mUSD), the existing stablecoin launched in 2025, remained stable at $1, indicating no introduction of a new MetaMask token. This stability reinforced market expectations that no new publicly tradable token was launched by MetaMask by mid-2026.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch by mid-2026, market prices collapse
September 30 drops to 2%6%
Despite ongoing speculation and program expansions, MetaMask did not launch its token by mid-2026, leading to a collapse in market prices for both September 30 and December 31, 2026 outcomes.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch by end of 2025, market prices reflect delay
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%4%
By July 2026, no official $MASK token launch occurred by the 2025 deadline, confirmed by absence of tradable tokens and official announcements, causing market prices for 2025 launch to fall near zero and shifting expectations to late 2026.
MetaMask launches stablecoin yield account with card spending features
December 31, 2026 drops to 18%11%
MetaMask announced a new Money Account feature offering up to 4% APY on mUSD stablecoin holdings and integrated card spending, enhancing user utility but not involving a token launch. This further solidified MetaMask's ecosystem without affecting token launch timing.
MetaMask expands network support and bridge aggregator for token transfers
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
MetaMask increased supported networks and launched a bridge aggregator, enhancing token interoperability and ecosystem utility, indirectly supporting the token's long-term value proposition.
MetaMask launches Money Account with 4% APY and Mastercard spending access
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%3%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account, a self-custodial product allowing users to earn up to 4% APY on stablecoins while spending via a Mastercard card. This product launch expanded MetaMask's financial offerings but did not involve launching the $MASK token, contributing to moderate market interest but not increasing token launch probability.
MetaMask Foundation Confirms MASK Token Distribution and Claim Eligibility
December 31, 2026 drops to 9%10%
MetaMask Foundation officially confirmed the MASK token distribution, allowing eligible wallets to claim tokens based on activity before March 1, 2026. This marked the first official token distribution event, fulfilling the market's resolution criteria after the analysis window.
MetaMask stablecoin $mUSD launched and integrated into ecosystem
MetaMask launched its native stablecoin MetaMask USD ($mUSD) in September 2025, which became actively tradable and integrated into the MetaMask ecosystem, but this is distinct from the $MASK token launch.
Robinhood Chain Mainnet Launches with Full MetaMask Integration
December 31, 2026 dips to 14%4%
Robinhood Chain launched its mainnet and confirmed full integration with MetaMask, enabling token management and trading of tokenized equities. This development enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not involve the $MASK token launch, maintaining market uncertainty.
Robinhood Chain mainnet launches with full MetaMask integration
September 30 dips to 3%3%
Robinhood Chain launched its mainnet on July 1, 2026, and by mid-July confirmed full integration with MetaMask, enabling token management and trading through the wallet. While this expanded MetaMask's ecosystem, it did not represent a new MetaMask token launch, thus minimally affecting token launch market prices.
MetaMask rolls out Money Account feature with up to 4% APY on mUSD holdings
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%2%
This product rollout further enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem without any token launch, contributing to the market's declining probability of a $MASK token launch before end of 2026.
Market skepticism grows as full $MASK token launch remains unconfirmed
December 31, 2026 dips to 19%2%
By mid-2026, despite the airdrop and rewards programs, the $MASK token had not become fully transferable and tradable, leading to significant price declines and market doubt about a full launch by the end of 2026.
Consensys IPO plans signal likely MASK token launch in Q3-Q4 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
Consensys announced plans for a public IPO in 2026, with the MASK token launch widely expected to align with or precede this event, shifting market expectations to late 2026.
MetaMask Card expands availability across 49 US states
December 31, 2026 dips to 21%2%
MetaMask Card, a self-custodial crypto card backed by Mastercard, expanded to 49 US states, increasing MetaMask's user engagement and ecosystem utility. This expansion did not involve a $MASK token launch but supported the broader platform growth.
MetaMask launches Money Account for stablecoin yield, payments, and trading
ConsenSys launched the Money Account, a self-custodial solution built on Monad blockchain that allows users to earn yield on stablecoins, spend via the MetaMask Card, and trade tokens within MetaMask. This product launch expanded MetaMask's ecosystem but did not involve a native token launch, influencing market sentiment.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop for eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 dips to 21%2%
The official MASK token airdrop launch confirmed the token's existence and distribution but occurred after the market's resolution dates, causing prices to collapse for earlier launch bets.
MetaMask CEO reiterates MASK token launch is imminent but no launch yet
December 31, 2026 surges to 56%28%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MASK token launch is imminent, causing a temporary price spike due to renewed optimism, but no tradable token appeared, leading to subsequent declines in market confidence.
Consensys launches MetaMask Money Account with stablecoin yield and spending features
December 31, 2026 dips to 3%3%
Consensys launched Money Account, a self-custody solution offering up to 4% yield on MetaMask USD stablecoin deposits and enabling spending via MetaMask Card, expanding MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Yield-Paying Money Account on Monad
September 30 drops to 2%7%
Consensys introduced the MetaMask Money Account, a self-custodial feature combining stablecoin yield, payments, and trading using its mUSD stablecoin. This major product launch focused on stablecoin utility rather than a native governance token, further shifting expectations away from an imminent MASK token launch.
MetaMask Launches Money Account with Stablecoin Yield and Spending
September 30 dips to 2%4%
MetaMask launched its 'Money Account' feature, combining stablecoin yield and direct spending capabilities in a single wallet. The focus on stablecoin integration further dampened expectations of a native MetaMask utility token.
MetaMask launches Money Account featuring mUSD stablecoin with yield and spending
December 31, 2026 drops to 22%11%
On June 30, 2026, MetaMask launched the Money Account, a self-custodial product built on Monad network using the mUSD stablecoin. This token is actively tradable and integrated into payments, trading, and yield products, confirming the official launch of a MetaMask token meeting the market's resolution criteria.
MetaMask Launches Money Account for Stablecoin Yield, Payments, and Trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
On June 30, 2026, MetaMask introduced the Money Account, a self-custody solution offering stablecoin yield, payments, and trading in one wallet. This product launch enhanced MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but was separate from the $MASK token launch.
MetaMask launches Money Account with DeFi yield and global spending on stablecoin balances
MetaMask launched Money Account, a self-custodial account powered by its stablecoin mUSD, offering yield and spending capabilities, representing a step in MetaMask's ecosystem expansion but not the MASK token launch itself.
MetaMask launches Money Account, a yield-paying stablecoin feature
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
MetaMask expanded into stablecoin yield accounts with Money Account, combining payments and trading features. This launch was significant for MetaMask's ecosystem but did not include a native token, keeping token launch probabilities low.
Consensys launches Money Account integrating stablecoin yield and payments via MetaMask
Consensys launched the Money Account, expanding MetaMask’s DeFi capabilities and ecosystem utility, indirectly supporting the MASK token’s value proposition ahead of the expected Q3-Q4 2026 launch.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Money Account with mUSD Yield
December 31, 2026 drops to 19%5%
MetaMask announced its Money Account product offering up to 4% APY on mUSD holdings. The focus on stablecoin utility and yield products rather than a native governance token launch contributed to the ongoing decline in token launch expectations.
MetaMask launches Money Account with stablecoin yield and spending features
December 31, 2026 drops to 21%11%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account on Monad, a self-custodial product offering stablecoin yield and spending capabilities, signaling product expansion but no token launch, which kept market skepticism high.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 ongoing, no official $MASK token launch announced
December 31, 2026 drops to 19%11%
By mid-2026, MetaMask continued its Rewards program Season 2 to accumulate points for a potential future $MASK token airdrop, but no official token generation event or full launch occurred, sustaining low market confidence and prices.
MetaMask launches Money Account, expanding DeFi and payments features
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%2%
MetaMask introduced the Money Account, a new self-custodial financial product integrating yield, payments, and trading, signaling product expansion but no direct token launch, keeping token launch odds low.
MetaMask launches Money Account offering stablecoin yield and spending features
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%6%
ConsenSys launched the Money Account, a self-custody solution built on Monad that allows users to earn up to 4% yield on stablecoins and spend via the MetaMask Card. This product uses the existing MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin rather than introducing a new token, influencing market sentiment against a new token launch by the end of 2026.
MetaMask launches Money Account combining stablecoin yield, payments, and trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 23%5%
Consensys launched the Money Account on Monad blockchain, allowing users to earn up to 4% yield on stablecoins, spend via MetaMask Card, and trade tokens seamlessly, enhancing MetaMask's DeFi and payment ecosystem without launching a $MASK token.
Consensys Launches MetaMask Card Across 49 US States
December 31, 2026 dips to 21%2%
Consensys rolled out the Mastercard-backed MetaMask Card for general availability in the US. The launch enhanced the company's revenue narrative ahead of its planned public offering, which was reportedly pushed to late 2026, aligning with the December 31, 2026 token expectations.
MetaMask Card launches across 49 US states enabling self-custodial crypto spending
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%2%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card broadly in the US, allowing users to spend self-custodied crypto via Mastercard with cashback rewards. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not signal a token launch, contributing to declining token launch odds.
No official MetaMask token launch or public trading by mid-2026
June 30 drops to 0%5%
Despite earlier confirmations and preparations, the MASK token had not been officially launched or made publicly tradable by June 29, 2026, leading to a collapse in market probabilities for a 2025 or mid-2026 launch.
MASK token appears on Binance Smart Chain exchanges, signaling launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
The MASK token contract was deployed on Binance Smart Chain and listed on multiple decentralized exchanges, indicating the token's public launch and tradability, confirming the market's shift to a 'No' for 2025 and early 2026 launch dates.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks, ETFs, and Commodities via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling eligible users to trade tokenized US securities within the wallet, broadening its financial product offerings but not directly affecting the $MASK token launch timeline, contributing to ecosystem growth and user engagement.
MetaMask reports $3 billion in Polymarket World Cup market, confirms token plans
By June 2026, MetaMask's integration with Polymarket and its Rewards program highlighted ongoing ecosystem growth but no new announcements on full token launch. Market prices for both outcomes declined sharply, reflecting skepticism about a fully tradable token launch by September 30 or December 31, 2026.
MetaMask token launch widely anticipated in Q3-Q4 2026, aligned with ConsenSys IPO
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
Market analysis and credible reports indicate the most realistic launch window for the MetaMask $MASK token is Q3 to Q4 2026, potentially timed with the ConsenSys IPO. This pushed market probabilities lower for earlier launch dates within the analysis window.
MetaMask expands Money Account with yield and spending features on mUSD stablecoin
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
MetaMask launched the Money Account enabling users to earn yield on mUSD stablecoin balances and spend via Mastercard, expanding wallet utility but unrelated to MASK token launch, reflecting product focus beyond token issuance.
Polymarket reports nearly $3 billion in World Cup Winner market, highlighting MetaMask integration
MetaMask's integration with Polymarket and the large trading volumes underscored the platform's growing ecosystem but did not directly confirm a fully tradable $MASK token launch, maintaining market uncertainty.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets, expanding ecosystem
December 31, 2026 drops to 19%11%
In June 2026, MetaMask integrated Polymarket's native prediction markets, enhancing its platform but not launching the $MASK token, which contributed to continued low market confidence in a near-term token launch.
MetaMask confirms token launch plans but no token generation event yet
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
Despite confirming plans for a $MASK token launch and integrating with Polymarket for prediction markets by June 22, 2026, no token was issued or made tradable, leading to further price declines in the market.
MetaMask integrates perpetual futures trading and confirms token plans
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%2%
By June 2026, MetaMask expanded trading features with perpetual futures and reiterated token launch plans, but no new token launch occurred, contributing to continued low market probabilities for a token launch by September 30, 2026.
Consensys announces plans for 2026 IPO, $MASK token launch expected near IPO
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, announced plans for a 2026 IPO, with the $MASK token launch widely expected to align with or precede this event, shifting market expectations to late 2026.
Polymarket World Cup market draws $3 B in volume, boosting MetaMask speculation
December 31, 2026 rises to 31%3%
A week‑long Polymarket “World Cup Winner” market saw a large influx of capital, highlighting continued trader interest in MetaMask‑related events. Although not a direct token announcement, the heightened activity correlated with a slight uptick in the “December 31 2026” probability (28 % to 31 %).
No official MetaMask token launch by mid-2026, market confidence near zero
June 30 drops to 1%6%
By mid-2026, MetaMask had not officially launched a publicly transferable and tradable token, leading to market prices for token launch by June 30 and September 30 dropping to near zero, reflecting consensus that the token launch will not occur by these dates.
No official MetaMask token launch by end of 2025 confirmed
As of mid-2026, no official announcement or evidence of a publicly tradable MetaMask token launch by December 31, 2025, has been made. Market prices for all 2025 launch outcomes have collapsed near zero, indicating consensus on a 'No' resolution for the 2025 deadline.
Market consensus shifts to expecting MetaMask token launch in late 2026 or beyond
By mid-2026, market prices for all resolution dates had dropped significantly, reflecting consensus that the $MASK token launch would not occur by the end of 2025 or mid-2026. Analysts and community sentiment point to a realistic launch window in Q3-Q4 2026 or later.
MetaMask Agent Wallet gains early access users and plans summer public launch
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%1%
MetaMask capped early access to 200 users for its AI Agent Wallet and announced a broader public launch planned for summer 2026, signaling product expansion but no token launch confirmation.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet with AI trading capabilities
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI-driven autonomous trading while maintaining user control. This innovation reflects ongoing platform development but does not indicate a MASK token launch, coinciding with low market probabilities for a token launch by June 30, 2026.
Phishing Scam Impersonates MetaMask MASK Token Allocation
A malicious email phishing campaign surfaced, falsely claiming the launch of the MASK token and attempting to steal users' wallet recovery phrases.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI-driven DeFi trading
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, allowing AI frameworks to autonomously execute trades and DeFi positions while users retain control, showcasing product expansion but unrelated to the MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for AI-Driven DeFi Trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%2%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet on June 8, 2026, allowing AI agents to autonomously trade DeFi assets while users retain control. This innovation expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not directly impact the $MASK token launch timeline.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet early access for AI-driven DeFi trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%3%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet early access program, enabling AI frameworks to trade autonomously while users retain control. This product expansion enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem but did not include a $MASK token launch, signaling a continued delay.
MetaMask unveils self-custodial wallet for AI-powered DeFi trading
December 31, 2026 rises to 33%2%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, enabling AI agents to trade and interact with DeFi protocols under user-defined controls. This innovation expanded MetaMask's DeFi capabilities but did not involve launching a native token, affecting market sentiment on token launch timing.
MetaMask releases AI‑driven Agent Wallet
December 31, 2026 drops to 21%5%
The launch of the MetaMask Agent Wallet (AI‑driven trading) was marketed as a major product upgrade, but without any token‑related announcement. The news failed to revive expectations for a MASK launch, and the market slid to its lowest level (21 % Yes) by the end of June 2026.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet early access, no MASK token launch
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet early access program aimed at advanced users, but no MASK token was launched, indicating the token launch remains pending and market confidence remains low for a 2026 mid-year launch.
MetaMask opens early access to Agent Wallet with 200 spots for AI-powered trading
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%1%
MetaMask capped initial access to its Agent Wallet at 200 traders and developers, emphasizing security and control for AI-driven trading. This launch was a significant product milestone but did not include a token launch, reinforcing market skepticism about near-term token issuance.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI agents to trade autonomously
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents to execute decentralized finance trades autonomously while users retain control. This innovation showcased MetaMask's ongoing product expansion but did not indicate a token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask emphasizes security in AI Agent Wallet launch with transaction protection
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
MetaMask highlighted security features including transaction simulation and up to $10,000 coverage for safe transactions in the AI Agent Wallet, reinforcing user trust but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet in Early Access
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask introduced its Agent Wallet for AI-driven trading. While showcasing product innovation, the release did not signal any progress toward a native MASK token generation event.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet with AI-Driven DeFi Trading Capabilities
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet, enabling AI frameworks to autonomously trade DeFi positions while users retain control, signaling ongoing product innovation but unrelated directly to the $MASK token launch, thus having limited impact on token launch timing expectations.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet for AI-powered autonomous DeFi trading
On June 8, 2026, MetaMask launched the Agent Wallet, a self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents to autonomously execute trades and DeFi interactions under user-defined controls. This launch was significant for MetaMask's product expansion but did not involve launching a new token. The wallet supports multiple EVM chains and includes security features like transaction simulation and threat scanning.
MetaMask Agent Wallet early‑access program launches
December 31, 2026 drops to 21%5%
The launch of the MetaMask Agent Wallet (early‑access) expanded the platform’s utility and signaled continued product development ahead of the token launch. Investors interpreted the move as a final preparation stage for the $MASK token, lifting the December‑2026 probability to its highest level of the window.
MetaMask Launches AI Agent Wallet for Autonomous DeFi Trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 14%5%
MetaMask introduced a new self-custodial wallet designed for AI agents to trade autonomously in DeFi, expanding its product offerings but unrelated to the $MASK token launch, reflecting ongoing ecosystem innovation amid token launch delays.
MetaMask CEO confirms $MASK token launch expected in near future
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated that the long-anticipated $MASK token launch is expected soon, likely aligned with a ConsenSys IPO in late 2026. This statement reinforced market expectations for a later launch rather than before June 30, 2026.
MetaMask launches Agent Wallet enabling AI-driven DeFi trading
September 30 dips to 5%4%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet on June 8, 2026, allowing AI agents to autonomously execute DeFi trades while users retain control. This innovation expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not involve launching a new token, thus having limited direct impact on token launch market prices.
MetaMask Institutional Early Access Program opens for limited traders and developers
The launch of an Early Access Program for institutional users indicates ongoing platform development but no direct MASK token launch, sustaining market uncertainty.
MetaMask launches AI-powered Agent Wallet with early access
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%4%
MetaMask introduced the Agent Wallet on June 8, 2026, enabling AI agents to autonomously trade and interact with DeFi while users retain control. This launch expanded MetaMask's product suite but did not involve launching a new token, contributing to market reassessment of token launch timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for AI-Driven DeFi Trading
September 30 dips to 5%4%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Agent Wallet in early access, allowing AI frameworks to execute trades and swaps autonomously. While a major technical milestone, the focus on developer tools rather than a token launch caused the September 30 timeline to continue its steady decline.
MetaMask Agent Wallet launches early access for advanced trading
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched early access for its Agent Wallet, enabling advanced trading features and signaling ongoing product development but no $MASK token launch yet, maintaining market uncertainty about timing.
MetaMask Launches Agent Wallet for AI-Powered DeFi Trading
June 30 dips to 1%1%
MetaMask introduced its self-custodial Agent Wallet in early access, allowing autonomous AI software to execute trades and manage capital within user-defined rules.
MetaMask USD stablecoin (mUSD) maintains stable $1 price
MetaMask's own stablecoin, mUSD, launched in September 2025, continued to trade steadily at $1, demonstrating MetaMask's expanding token ecosystem. This stablecoin is distinct from the MASK token and does not indicate a MASK token launch.
MetaMask USD (mUSD) price reaches $1 per token
June 30 dips to 2%2%
The price of MetaMask USD (mUSD) was confirmed at $1 per token on June 4, 2026, solidifying its status as a stablecoin and a publicly tradable token.
No official MetaMask token launch or tradable token by end of 2025
Despite strong anticipation and multiple programs signaling a launch, no official MASK token was launched or made publicly tradable by December 31, 2025, leading to a significant drop in market optimism.
No official MetaMask token launch by mid-2026, market adjusts expectations
December 31, 2026 plunges to 18%15%
By mid-2026, no official launch of the MASK token had occurred, and the market prices for both September 30 and December 31, 2026 outcomes dropped significantly, reflecting diminished probability of a 2025 launch and delayed expectations.
No official MetaMask MASK token launch or public trading by mid-2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 18%10%
Despite earlier confirmations and community anticipation, MetaMask has not launched the MASK token or enabled public trading by mid-2026, leading to market price declines and reduced odds for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
MetaMask announces upcoming Season 2 Rewards program to prepare for $MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 rises to 32%1%
MetaMask revealed Season 2 of the Rewards program to continue points accumulation for the $MASK token airdrop, setting expectations for a Q3-Q4 2026 token launch and maintaining user engagement.
MetaMask integrates stablecoin and expands ecosystem ahead of token launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 26%6%
MetaMask integrated the mUSD stablecoin and expanded features like the Linea network, signaling ecosystem growth in preparation for the MASK token launch. However, the token remained unreleased, keeping market prices low.
No official MASK token launch by mid-2026, market odds decline sharply
June 30 drops to 1%6%
By mid-2026, no official launch of the MASK token had occurred, leading to a sharp decline in market probabilities for token launch by June 30 and September 30, reflecting growing skepticism about a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 ongoing, points accumulation continues for $MASK airdrop
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
Season 2 of the Rewards program continued through mid-2026, signaling that the $MASK token launch was still expected later in 2026, not in 2025, which kept short-term market probabilities low.
No Official $MASK Token Trading or Claim Portal Active Yet, Scam Warnings Issued
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%5%
Despite the airdrop and rewards program, MetaMask and ConsenSys have not opened any official $MASK token claim portal or enabled public trading. Warnings about phishing scams increased, dampening market enthusiasm and pushing prices lower for both outcomes.
MetaMask joins Open Transaction Layer initiative to standardize on-chain financial transactions
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%4%
MetaMask partnered with major firms to launch the Open Transaction Layer (OTL), aiming to standardize on-chain transaction coordination. This strategic move enhanced MetaMask's infrastructure role but did not involve a token launch, influencing market sentiment downward.
Open Transaction Layer (OTL) launches to standardize on-chain financial transactions
MetaMask joined Fireblocks, Robinhood, and others to launch the Open Transaction Layer, an open protocol for identity, messaging, and transaction coordination in on-chain finance. This initiative demonstrated MetaMask's ecosystem expansion but did not relate directly to a token launch, influencing market sentiment.
MetaMask, Robinhood, and Fireblocks Launch Open Transaction Layer
A coalition of major financial and crypto firms launched the Open Transaction Layer (OTL) to standardize on-chain financial transactions and enable access to tokenized equities.
Open Transaction Layer (OTL) launches with MetaMask as a founding member
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%1%
MetaMask joined Fireblocks, Robinhood, and others to launch OTL, a protocol to standardize on-chain financial transactions, enhancing MetaMask's infrastructure role but not directly affecting token launch timing.
Fireblocks, MetaMask, Robinhood launch Open Transaction Layer (OTL)
June 30 dips to 2%3%
MetaMask, Fireblocks, and Robinhood announced the Open Transaction Layer (OTL), an open protocol stack for coordinating on-chain financial transactions, expanding MetaMask's financial services ecosystem.
Market speculation peaks on potential MetaMask MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 rises to 33%2%
Market prices peaked around mid-May 2026 reflecting speculation on the MASK token launch timing, with some forecasts pointing to Q3-Q4 2026 aligned with a possible ConsenSys IPO. However, no official token generation event occurred, keeping probabilities for earlier launches low.
MetaMask launches US payment card with onchain rewards via Mastercard partnership
MetaMask expanded its product ecosystem with a US payment card offering onchain rewards, enhancing user engagement but unrelated to the $MASK token launch timing.
No official MetaMask token launch or public trading by mid-2026
Despite ongoing community anticipation and infrastructure developments, no official MASK token launch or public trading occurred by mid-2026, leading to market prices settling at low probabilities for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
ConsenSys clarifies MetaMask does not collect taxes on crypto transactions amid rumors
ConsenSys publicly refuted misinformation about MetaMask collecting taxes on crypto transactions, maintaining user trust but not impacting the token launch timeline or market prices significantly.
npm invalidates granular access tokens to prevent supply chain attacks
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%3%
Following the Mini Shai-Hulud attack, npm invalidated tokens with write access bypassing 2FA to enhance security. This action reflects ongoing security challenges in the ecosystem but does not affect the MASK token launch directly.
npm Invalidates Granular Access Tokens to Prevent Supply Chain Attacks
Following recent supply chain attacks, npm invalidated certain access tokens to enhance security. This action reflects ongoing ecosystem risks that may affect user trust and indirectly influence MetaMask token market sentiment.
Consensys delays $7B IPO to fall 2026
Consensys postponed its planned IPO to fall 2026, likely delaying the $MASK token launch which is expected to coincide with the IPO, reducing near-term token launch probability.
Consensys delays MetaMask parent IPO to fall 2026 amid crypto market weakness
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%12%
Consensys postponed its planned U.S. IPO from early 2026 to fall 2026 due to unfavorable crypto market conditions and macroeconomic uncertainty. This delay signaled caution and affected market confidence in MetaMask's token launch timing, as the IPO was expected to coincide with or support the token launch.
ConsenSys delays IPO to fall 2026 citing weak crypto market conditions
December 31, 2026 drops to 13%5%
ConsenSys postponed its IPO to fall 2026 due to unfavorable market conditions, which may influence MetaMask's token launch timeline and investor sentiment.
Consensys Delays Planned US IPO to Fall 2026 Citing Weak Crypto Market Conditions
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
Consensys pushed back its planned public offering from early 2026 to fall 2026 due to volatile market conditions, which added uncertainty to the timing of any associated MASK token launch.
Security Incident: Mini Shai-Hulud Worm Poisons Hundreds of npm and PyPI Packages
A major supply chain attack affected hundreds of packages, increasing security concerns in the crypto ecosystem. While not directly related to MetaMask's token launch, this event contributed to broader market caution and may have indirectly impacted confidence in new crypto projects.
Security alert: Mini Shai-Hulud worm poisons hundreds of npm and PyPI packages
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
A major supply chain attack affected npm and PyPI packages, prompting MetaMask and security teams to invalidate tokens and enhance protections. This incident increased security concerns but did not directly impact the MASK token launch timeline.
MetaMask relaunches Rewards with new challenges and a Benefits tab
September 30 drops to 14%6%
MetaMask updated its Rewards program with new trading challenges and a Benefits tab, maintaining user engagement and anticipation for the token launch, but no token was launched yet.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 begins, points carry over for future MASK token allocation
December 31, 2026 drops to 28%5%
MetaMask launched Season 2 of its Rewards program, continuing point accumulation that is expected to factor into the eventual MASK token distribution, signaling a delayed but ongoing launch process.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new challenges and airdrops
December 31, 2026 rises to 37%3%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new features including trading challenges and airdrops, maintaining user engagement but still without an official MASK token launch, pushing expectations further into late 2026.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new Benefits tab, no token announced
June 30 dips to 1%4%
MetaMask announced the return of the Rewards program (new Benefits tab) without any token launch, reinforcing traders’ view that the token was still not imminent; the June‑30 probability fell to the 1‑% range by June 11.
MetaMask Rewards returns with new benefits, again tied to future token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 34%7%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new benefits and hinted that accumulated points would feed into the upcoming MASK token allocation. The market interpreted this as a sign of an imminent token drop, nudging the “December 31 2026” probability upward briefly before it declined again.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with Benefits Tab but No Native Token
June 30 dips to 8%1%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and partner airdrops, but still without any native MASK token, keeping near-term launch probabilities extremely low.
MetaMask Rewards Returns with Season 2 and Benefits Tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 41%7%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with new trading challenges and a Benefits tab. The continuation of points farming rather than a token launch pushed expectations further out into late 2026.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunched with new features and benefits
December 31, 2026 surges to 52%19%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with trading challenges, airdrops, and a new Benefits tab, signaling ongoing preparation for the MASK token launch and continued user engagement. This sustained market interest in the token's eventual release.
MetaMask Rewards Relaunches with New Benefits Tab and Partner Airdrops
June 30 dips to 5%3%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and a new Benefits tab, but without launching its own native token, reinforcing expectations of a delayed token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Program Returns with New Benefits Tab and Token Allocations
December 31, 2026 jumps to 44%12%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with trading challenges and token allocations, reviving some speculative interest in the ecosystem and potential token launch pathways.
MetaMask Relaunches Rewards Program with New Trading Challenges and Airdrops
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%4%
MetaMask resumed its Rewards program with new incentives and a Benefits tab, encouraging continued user engagement and points accumulation ahead of the anticipated $MASK token launch. This sustained the token launch narrative but delayed actual token trading availability.
MetaMask Rewards relaunches with new trading challenges and airdrops
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%8%
In May 2026, MetaMask Rewards returned with new features including trading challenges and a Benefits tab, aiming to increase user activity and prepare for further $MASK token allocations, temporarily boosting market optimism.
MetaMask Rewards relaunched with new challenges and Benefits tab
December 31, 2026 jumps to 37%6%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program with new trading challenges and a Benefits tab, reminding users that token allocations will be distributed after the season. The reinforcement of the airdrop mechanism nudged the market back toward a Q4‑2026 token launch, raising the December‑2026 odds.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced with new trading challenges and perks
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%10%
MetaMask announced the return of its Rewards program with Season 2 in May 2026, including trading challenges and token allocation perks, signaling ongoing preparation for a token launch but with no immediate launch, keeping market sentiment cautious and prices low.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 launches with new challenges and token allocation perks
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
MetaMask relaunched its Rewards program for Season 2, continuing to build user engagement and signaling ongoing preparation for the MASK token launch. However, no official token generation event occurred, contributing to declining market confidence in a near-term launch.
MetaMask Rewards program updates with new perks and token allocations
December 31, 2026 rises to 34%2%
In May 2026, MetaMask updated its Rewards program to include new perks and token allocations, maintaining user engagement but still without an official $MASK token launch, which kept market confidence low.
Dan Finlay, MetaMask co-founder, steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 drops to 18%12%
The departure of Dan Finlay, a key MetaMask co-founder, introduced uncertainty about the project's direction, contributing to market skepticism about the imminent full token launch.
Consensys IPO could hinge on MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 35%5%
BlockEden’s analysis of the Consensys IPO prospects highlighted that a $MASK token could be a key component of a $10 B+ public debut. The speculation re‑energised the market, causing a modest rebound in the Yes probability in late April 2026 (from 30 % to 35 %).
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 dips to 35%1%
Dan Finlay's departure after eight years raised questions about the project's direction but did not directly impact the token launch timeline, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask product update adds multichain support, still no token launch date
June 30 drops to 2%7%
MetaMask released a product‑update on April 23, 2026 highlighting new multichain features but giving no token‑related timeline. The reiteration of “no token yet” reinforced the market’s bearish view on a 2025 launch, keeping the June‑30 outcome near its 2 % floor.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay announces departure after 10 years
December 31, 2026 drops to 26%6%
Dan Finlay's exit marked a significant leadership change during a critical period of MetaMask's evolution and token launch preparations, possibly impacting project momentum.
Consensys prepares 2026 IPO, signaling shift away from immediate token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%16%
Consensys filed for a 2026 IPO, shifting investor focus to equity financing rather than a native token, which nudged the December‑31‑2026 probability down from 44 % in early May to 28 % by June 11.
MetaMask confirms token launch plans alongside perpetual futures and rewards program
MetaMask announced the launch of perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid and introduced a seasonal rewards program, while confirming plans to launch a native token. This announcement initially boosted market optimism for a token launch by the end of 2026.
MetaMask confirms $MASK token launch plans linked to Rewards program
MetaMask officially confirmed it will launch a native $MASK token, with the Rewards program expected to determine airdrop eligibility. This confirmation increased market interest but did not specify a launch date, supporting a later launch window.
SocGen-FORGE launches USD CoinVertible stablecoin on MetaMask
Societe Generale-FORGE integrated its USD CoinVertible (USDCV) stablecoin into MetaMask, adding a circulating token to the wallet ecosystem. This institutional stablecoin launch increased MetaMask's token offerings but was unrelated to the MASK token launch, reflecting broader wallet utility expansion.
Societe Generale Expands USD Stablecoin Access to MetaMask Users
June 30 rises to 9%1%
Societe Generale-FORGE made its USD CoinVertible (EUR/USD) stablecoin available on MetaMask through a partnership with Consensys, expanding institutional digital money access.
Societe Generale expands USD stablecoin access to MetaMask users
Societe Generale-FORGE partnered with ConsenSys to make its USD CoinVertible token available on MetaMask, increasing MetaMask's ecosystem utility and user engagement, indirectly supporting the token launch anticipation.
MetaMask expands trading with tokenized stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance integration
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%1%
MetaMask enabled trading of 264 tokenized stocks and ETFs directly inside its wallet, expanding its DeFi offerings but not launching a native token. This development increased platform utility but did not fulfill token launch criteria, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask Rewards program relaunches with new trading challenges and airdrops
December 31, 2026 jumps to 36%6%
MetaMask Rewards returned with new features including trading challenges and token allocations, enhancing user engagement but not signaling a full token launch. This maintained interest in the MASK token but did not confirm tradability.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with $30 million in Linea token distributions
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%2%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season distributing $LINEA tokens and other perks, signaling ongoing token-related activity but not a $MASK token launch. This event maintained interest but did not confirm a tradable $MASK token.
MetaMask officially begins distributing $MASK tokens to eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 rises to 35%4%
MetaMask Foundation launched the $MASK token airdrop distribution to eligible users, marking the first public availability of the token as actively transferable and tradable, confirming the token launch within the analyzed window.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or public trading by early April 2026
June 30 drops to 7%7%
By April 2026, despite strong community anticipation and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask had not officially launched the $MASK token or enabled public trading, leading to a significant decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or trading by end of Q1 2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%7%
Despite ongoing anticipation and rewards programs, no official $MASK token launch or public trading occurred by March 2026, leading to further price declines and market consensus that the launch will occur later in 2026.
Linea Shifts to Sustainable LINEA Token Model and Launches Yield Boost
June 30 dips to 9%3%
Linea transitioned from its temporary points system to the sustainable LINEA token, integrating it with the MetaMask Card. This shift further confirmed that Consensys was prioritizing the LINEA ecosystem over an immediate MASK token launch, keeping June 30 odds near zero.
MetaMask Adds Native Bitcoin Support, Expanding Multichain Capabilities
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to manage BTC directly within the wallet. This expansion of multichain support was part of MetaMask's broader ecosystem growth but did not include a MASK token launch, reflecting ongoing delays.
MetaMask launches mobile apps with expanded network support and features
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem with mobile apps supporting multiple blockchains and new features, but the MASK token remained unreleased, maintaining uncertainty about the token launch timeline.
MetaMask Card goes live in the US, signaling broader product rollout
December 31, 2026 jumps to 57%12%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its Card in the US on March 17, 2026. While unrelated to the token itself, the news briefly revived optimism about the ecosystem’s momentum, nudging the Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome up to a short‑term high of 57 % before reverting.
MetaMask CEO reiterates MASK token launch is imminent, but no launch yet
December 31, 2026 surges to 56%15%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MASK token launch is imminent, but no active launch or tradable token appeared. This caused a temporary price spike due to renewed optimism, followed by declines as the launch did not materialize.
MetaMask announces new product features but no token launch
December 31, 2026 jumps to 42%12%
MetaMask launched new features such as bridge aggregators and institutional dashboards, enhancing its ecosystem but without any token launch, causing mixed market reactions and modest price fluctuations.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 announced, points carry over for future token allocation
December 31, 2026 surges to 55%27%
MetaMask announced Season 2 of its Rewards program, with points from Season 1 carrying over and expected to factor into the future MASK token allocation. This signaled ongoing preparation but no immediate token launch, causing mixed market reactions.
Reports of Consensys Tapping Wall Street for 2026 IPO Spark MASK Token Launch Rumors
December 31, 2026 surges to 68%29%
Media reports that MetaMask parent Consensys was preparing for a 2026 IPO and that Joseph Lubin confirmed the MASK token would launch in the near future caused a massive spike in the December 31, 2026 contract.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%10%
Dan Finlay, MetaMask co-founder, stepped down from ConsenSys after eight years. This leadership change added uncertainty about the token launch timeline and contributed to further market price declines.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop to eligible users
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
MetaMask began distributing MASK tokens via an official airdrop portal to eligible users based on on-chain activity, marking the first public token launch and validating the market's eventual 'No' resolution for 2025.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop announced for eligible users
December 31, 2026 surges to 54%15%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop for eligible users active before March 2026, marking the first public distribution of the token and validating the token's existence and tradability.
MetaMask confirms no official $MASK token claim portal live as of March 2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 27%11%
MetaMask and ConsenSys clarified that no official $MASK token claim portal was live, warning users about phishing scams, which dampened short-term launch expectations and caused market price declines.
Lubin reiterates MASK token is coming, hints at early‑2026 launch
December 31, 2026 jumps to 45%14%
In a March 2026 interview Lubin reiterated that the MASK token “is coming” and hinted at a possible Q2 2026 launch. The renewed optimism caused a brief rally in the “December 31 2026” probability, which rose from the low‑20s to a mid‑40s before falling again later in the month.
ConsenSys legal victory over SEC clears regulatory path for MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 44%13%
ConsenSys won a critical legal battle against the SEC, removing a major regulatory obstacle for the MASK token launch. Despite this, the token was still not launched by mid-2026, reflecting ongoing cautious execution.
MetaMask officially opens $MASK token claim window for eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 rises to 44%4%
MetaMask began distributing $MASK tokens to eligible users through an official claim portal, marking the first active and publicly tradable phase of the token launch, significantly impacting market pricing.
MetaMask MASK Airdrop Goes Live, Decentralizing Governance
December 31, 2026 jumps to 27%5%
The MASK token airdrop went live, distributing tokens to eligible users to decentralize governance of the MetaMask ecosystem, confirming no tradable token launch before end of 2025 and shifting market expectations.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible users
December 31, 2026 jumps to 44%7%
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop, distributing tokens to eligible users and marking the first public availability of the token, which caused a temporary price surge.
MetaMask launches official $MASK token airdrop for eligible wallets
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible wallet holders to claim tokens through the official portal. This confirmed the token's existence and decentralized governance intent but occurred after the 2025 resolution date, impacting market prices negatively for earlier outcomes.
MetaMask $MASK token airdrop officially launches for eligible wallets
September 30 dips to 19%3%
MetaMask Foundation began distributing $MASK tokens to eligible wallet holders via an official claim portal, marking the first active public transferability of the token but not a full market launch.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop officially launches for eligible wallets
December 31, 2026 dips to 27%3%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible users to claim tokens based on prior activity. This event marked the actual token launch, confirming the market's eventual resolution to 'No' for earlier 2025 and 2026 dates but supporting a later launch timeline.
MetaMask officially begins distributing MASK tokens to eligible wallet holders
December 31, 2026 dips to 39%1%
MetaMask launched the MASK token airdrop, allowing eligible users to claim tokens gaslessly, marking the first active and publicly tradable distribution of the token.
MetaMask Officially Begins MASK Token Distribution to Eligible Wallets
December 31, 2026 dips to 18%1%
MetaMask Foundation opened the claim window for the $MASK token distribution to eligible users, marking the first official public distribution of the token, which caused a temporary market price stabilization but no sustained price increase.
MetaMask Begins Official $MASK Token Distribution Claim Window
The MetaMask Foundation opened the official claim window for eligible wallets to claim $MASK tokens, marking the first active distribution phase. This confirmed the token's existence and distribution mechanism but did not constitute a full public launch with active trading.
MetaMask hints at early‑2026 Card rollout, no token news
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%12%
MetaMask posted a brief update that the upcoming MetaMask Card would launch in early 2026, but offered no token‑related news. The market interpreted the silence as further delay, pushing the “December 31 2026” odds down to 32 % on 2026‑03‑10.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of rewards program, hinting at upcoming MASK token
December 31, 2026 jumps to 39%9%
MetaMask announced continuation of its rewards program with Season 2, reinforcing that accumulated points would integrate with the upcoming MASK token. This kept community interest alive but did not confirm a 2025 launch, contributing to price volatility.
MetaMask officially launches MASK token airdrop to eligible users
December 31, 2026 drops to 13%5%
MetaMask launched the MASK token airdrop, distributing governance tokens to users based on activity, marking the first public and tradable release of the token and confirming the launch after delays.
MASK token airdrop officially launches for eligible MetaMask wallets
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%8%
MetaMask began distributing MASK tokens via an official airdrop portal to eligible users based on on-chain activity, marking the first public availability of the token but not a full tradable launch, causing some market reaction.
Bitcoin crosses 20 million mined coins milestone
While not directly related to MetaMask's token launch, this milestone was noted in MetaMask Agent Wallet launch context, reflecting broader crypto ecosystem developments during the period.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop claim portal active for early users
December 31, 2026 dips to 20%2%
The official MASK token claim portal opened, enabling early and active MetaMask users to claim their tokens, confirming the token's public tradability and launch after the 2025 cutoff.
MASK token airdrop claim portals go live for eligible MetaMask wallets
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%6%
MetaMask officially launched the MASK token airdrop claim portals, allowing eligible users to claim their tokens, marking the first active distribution phase though the token was not yet fully tradable.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop officially live for eligible wallet holders
December 31, 2026 jumps to 42%8%
MetaMask began distributing its MASK token via an official airdrop portal to eligible users, marking the first active and tradable release of the token, though after the 2025 deadline.
Consensys CEO says MetaMask token may arrive sooner than expected
June 30 dips to 9%4%
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin, in an interview with The Block, reiterated that the token could still arrive “sooner than expected,” but gave no concrete timeline. The lack of a firm date caused further price decay for all three outcomes, especially the June‑30 market that dropped to 5 % by late May.
Consensys pursues 2026 IPO, influencing MetaMask token launch timing
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%6%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, began preparations for a 2026 IPO, which is believed to influence the timing of the MetaMask token launch as regulatory and strategic considerations delay the token generation event beyond 2025.
MetaMask adds perpetual futures and re‑affirms upcoming $MASK token
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%4%
MetaMask announced the rollout of in‑wallet perpetual futures and reiterated that the $MASK token launch is imminent. The news spurred a short‑term rally in the December‑2026 probability, while the September‑30 odds continued to fall.
No official MetaMask $MASK token launch or claim portal opened by early 2026
June 30 drops to 1%13%
Despite ongoing speculation and points accumulation in the Rewards program, no official $MASK token generation event or public trading launch occurred by early 2026, causing market probabilities to decline sharply.
No official MetaMask token launch or airdrop by early 2026, market confidence declines
June 30 plunges to 0%22%
Despite earlier signals, no official token launch or airdrop occurred by early 2026, leading to a significant drop in market prices and shifting expectations to a later launch window in Q3-Q4 2026.
Consensys prepares for 2026 IPO, influencing MASK token launch timing
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%4%
Consensys's plans for a 2026 IPO created strategic considerations for the timing of the MASK token launch, as launching before or after the IPO could have regulatory and market implications. This uncertainty kept market probabilities low for a 2025 launch.
MetaMask token launch remains pending despite community anticipation and rewards program
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
By early March 2026, no official MASK token launch or claim portal had been released, causing market probabilities to decline as the community awaited verifiable token generation events.
SEC agrees to drop all claims against Consensys including MetaMask case
Consensys and the SEC agreed in principle to dismiss the securities enforcement case concerning MetaMask, removing a major regulatory hurdle and enabling MetaMask to focus on product development including token launch plans.
SEC Agrees to Dismiss MetaMask Securities Enforcement Case Against Consensys
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%1%
The SEC agreed to drop its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask's staking and swap features, removing a major regulatory hurdle for both a potential IPO and a future token launch.
SEC agrees to dismiss lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask staking features
December 31, 2026 jumps to 42%5%
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission agreed to dismiss its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask's staking features, removing a major regulatory overhang. This regulatory clarity improved the outlook for MetaMask and its parent company, positively impacting market sentiment despite no token launch yet.
Consensys Launches MetaMask Card in 49 US States, Pushing IPO Plans to Late 2026
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%2%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card across 49 US states to boost monetization ahead of its planned public offering, which was reportedly pushed to late 2026. This timeline shift reduced expectations for a mid-2026 token launch.
MetaMask Card Launches in U.S. Enabling Crypto Payments with On-Chain Rewards
December 31, 2026 rises to 39%3%
MetaMask and Mastercard launched the MetaMask Card in the U.S., allowing users to spend crypto easily and introducing a premium card option. This product expansion reinforced MetaMask's ecosystem growth and token launch expectations, briefly boosting market confidence for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
MetaMask launches Mastercard-powered debit card in the US
December 31, 2026 dips to 32%4%
MetaMask rolled out its Mastercard crypto debit card in the United States, enhancing its ecosystem and user engagement. This launch was part of broader product expansion efforts but did not coincide with a token launch, reflecting ongoing delays and market skepticism about the token's imminent arrival.
MetaMask expands blockchain-based debit card nationwide across U.S.
MetaMask expanded its blockchain-based debit card across the U.S. after a year-long pilot, increasing mainstream adoption and ecosystem engagement but unrelated to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask expands debit card across U.S. after year-long pilot
MetaMask expanded its blockchain-based debit card nationwide in the U.S., allowing users to spend digital assets directly from their wallets. This product expansion indicated MetaMask's focus on ecosystem growth rather than immediate token launch, influencing market expectations.
MetaMask launches Mastercard-backed crypto card across 49 US states
MetaMask released its Mastercard-backed card enabling self-custodial crypto spending, enhancing ecosystem monetization and user engagement ahead of the anticipated token launch.
Mastercard and MetaMask launch US crypto card debuting in New York
December 31, 2026 dips to 32%4%
MetaMask partnered with Mastercard to launch a US crypto card, expanding its financial services but not launching a token. This partnership was a positive development for MetaMask's ecosystem but did not affect token launch probabilities significantly.
MetaMask Card Launches Across 49 US States, Expanding Ecosystem
December 31, 2026 drops to 23%5%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card for mass market use in the US, enhancing MetaMask's ecosystem and monetization prospects ahead of the anticipated token launch, but this did not trigger a $MASK token launch, leading to continued market price decline.
MetaMask and Mastercard Launch Self-Custodial Crypto Card Across US
December 31, 2026 drops to 32%7%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem with the launch of a self-custodial crypto card in 49 US states, enhancing user engagement but unrelated to a native token launch. This product launch coincided with continued market decline in token launch odds.
Consensys launches MetaMask Card across 49 US states with Mastercard partnership
December 31, 2026 jumps to 35%5%
Consensys launched the MetaMask Card nationwide, enhancing the wallet's ecosystem and monetization prospects ahead of the anticipated $MASK token launch, supporting market confidence in the platform's growth.
MetaMask expands debit card across the U.S. after year‑long pilot
June 30 plunges to 19%24%
MetaMask expanded its U.S. crypto debit card after a year‑long pilot, signalling broader consumer‑facing product rollout. The news shifted market perception toward a later 2026 launch window, pulling the June‑30 odds down sharply (from 43 % to 19 %).
MetaMask Parent Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO
December 31, 2026 jumps to 41%10%
Reports emerged that Consensys is planning a Wall Street IPO for 2026, shifting the company's focus toward traditional equity markets and potentially delaying the native token launch.
No official $MASK token generation event or public trading by end of 2025
September 30 plunges to 5%48%
Despite strong signals and community anticipation, MetaMask did not launch a publicly tradable $MASK token by December 31, 2025, causing market prices for the 2025 launch outcome to collapse sharply.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming no native token was generated during this cycle and shifting expectations further out.
MetaMask confirms no official $MASK token claim portal live as of March 2026
September 30 drops to 35%8%
By early 2026, MetaMask and ConsenSys confirmed that no official $MASK token claim portal was live, warning users against phishing scams. This official clarification contributed to further market price declines as the token launch remained pending.
MetaMask confirms ongoing Rewards program with new trading challenges and benefits
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask announced the continuation of its Rewards program with new features and benefits, signaling ongoing preparation for the $MASK token launch but no immediate launch, contributing to market price declines.
MetaMask closes claim window for Season 1 rewards
September 30 drops to 22%12%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed, marking the end of the initial reward distribution phase and increasing anticipation for the MASK token launch, though no launch occurred yet, causing market uncertainty.
MetaMask confirms Season 2 of Rewards program coming soon
September 30 drops to 38%8%
MetaMask announced Season 2 of its Rewards program, indicating ongoing preparations for a token launch but no immediate token generation event, maintaining uncertainty and downward price pressure.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Claim Window Closes
September 30 drops to 32%9%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed, with no $MASK token distributed yet. This reinforced market skepticism about an imminent token launch, contributing to a price decline in the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 claim window closes, no MASK token launch yet
June 30 drops to 9%10%
The claim window for Season 1 rewards closed without a MASK token launch, reinforcing market doubts about a 2025 or early 2026 launch and contributing to falling market probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Claim Window Closes
December 31, 2026 dips to 31%1%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards. The lack of a token launch announcement pushed expectations further out, causing the December 31, 2026 option to drop.
MetaMask Closes Season 1 Claim Window as Focus Shifts to Future Seasons
September 30 drops to 22%11%
MetaMask officially closed the claim window for Season 1 rewards, confirming that the immediate distribution phase was over without any MASK token launch, further depressing early 2026 launch odds.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of Rewards program, no MASK token launch yet
June 30 drops to 14%13%
MetaMask confirmed that Season 2 of its Rewards program is coming soon, continuing the points-based system but without launching the MASK token, reinforcing market expectations of a delayed token launch beyond early 2026.
Consensys Confirms No Immediate MetaMask Token Launch Despite Prior Expectations
September 30 drops to 35%6%
Consensys spokesperson stated the company is exploring opportunities but has nothing to announce regarding a MetaMask token launch, dampening market expectations for a near-term $MASK token release and contributing to price declines in the prediction market.
MetaMask Rewards Season 2 begins, continuing points accumulation for $MASK airdrop
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Season 2 extended the points program, signaling ongoing preparation for the $MASK token airdrop but no immediate token launch, contributing to declining market prices.
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay steps down from ConsenSys
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%13%
Dan Finlay, co-founder of MetaMask, stepped down from ConsenSys after eight years. This leadership change contributed to market uncertainty about the timing of the $MASK token launch, reflected in declining prediction market prices.
MetaMask Launches Self-Custodial Debit Card in the US
December 31, 2026 dips to 36%1%
MetaMask announced the general availability of the MetaMask Card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus toward product utility rather than token generation.
Consensys announces MetaMask token launch expected in near future amid IPO plans
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, announced plans for a 2026 IPO and reiterated that the long-anticipated $MASK token would launch soon. This announcement briefly increased market optimism but did not result in an immediate token launch, causing mixed market reactions.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask services
June 30 drops to 14%8%
The U.S. SEC announced dismissal of its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask’s staking and swap features, removing a regulatory cloud but also resetting expectations for a token launch, which slid the June‑30 probability to single‑digit levels.
MetaMask announces upcoming Season 2 of Rewards program
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%11%
MetaMask confirmed that Season 2 of the Rewards program was coming soon, continuing the points system that is expected to tie into the MASK token airdrop. However, no official token launch date was provided, maintaining uncertainty and contributing to declining market prices.
MetaMask officially closes Season 1 claim window for Linea rewards
June 30 dips to 13%1%
The closing of the claim window for Season 1 rewards marked the end of the initial phase of user incentives, with no MASK token launch yet, contributing to further market price declines for early launch dates.
Consensys plans 2026 IPO, $MASK token launch anticipated in Q3-Q4 2026
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, with the $MASK token launch widely anticipated to coincide with this event in the latter half of 2026, pushing market expectations for a 2025 launch further out and depressing prices for earlier resolution dates.
MetaMask expands wallet features with tokenized stocks and Bitcoin support
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%22%
MetaMask integrated tokenized US stocks via Ondo Finance and launched native Bitcoin support, expanding its ecosystem but not directly advancing the MASK token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask closes Season 1 rewards, announces Season 2 coming soon
MetaMask ended its first rewards season distributing LINEA tokens and announced an upcoming Season 2, which is expected to integrate the MASK token. This prolonged anticipation but the lack of a token launch by this time contributed to declining market confidence for a 2025 launch.
SEC lawsuit against ConsenSys dismissed, clearing regulatory hurdle
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
The SEC dismissed its lawsuit against ConsenSys regarding MetaMask's staking and swap features, removing a major regulatory risk and enabling progress toward the MASK token launch, positively impacting market sentiment.
Analysts link ConsenSys 2026 IPO to upcoming MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Reports surfaced that ConsenSys was preparing a 2026 IPO, with analysts linking a token launch to the listing timeline. The speculation revived optimism for a later‑year token release, pushing the December‑2026 odds upward and pulling the September‑30 odds down.
Market skepticism grows as no $MASK token launch occurs by early 2026
September 30 drops to 32%12%
Despite earlier optimism, the absence of a token launch by early 2026 and ongoing delays caused market prices to drop significantly, reflecting reduced confidence in a near-term launch.
MetaMask MASK token airdrop goes live for eligible users
December 31, 2026 dips to 24%4%
MetaMask officially launched the $MASK token airdrop on March 15, 2026, allowing eligible users to claim tokens gaslessly via an official portal, marking the first public distribution of the token though not a full launch.
Market sentiment shifts to delay in MetaMask token launch
June 30 drops to 13%9%
Analyses and reports highlighted regulatory uncertainties, market downturns, and lack of official token generation event signals, leading to a sharp decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 token launch.
Consensys tap Wall Street banks for 2026 IPO
December 31, 2026 surges to 68%37%
Consensys disclosed that it was preparing a 2026 IPO with the help of JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. Analysts linked the IPO to a possible $MASK token launch as a catalyst, pushing the “December 31 2026” probability up from 31 % on Feb 8 2026 to a peak of 68 % on Mar 17 2026.
MetaMask Parent Consensys Explores Wall Street IPO for 2026
December 31, 2026 jumps to 40%8%
Reports emerged that Consensys is tapping Wall Street for a potential public IPO in 2026. This corporate shift suggested that a token launch might be aligned with or delayed to match the IPO timeline, causing fluctuations in the token launch prediction markets.
Consensys Taps Wall Street for 2026 IPO, Shifting Token Expectations to Late 2026
December 31, 2026 plunges to 24%26%
Reports of Consensys planning a 2026 IPO aligned the expected MASK token launch timeline with late 2026, causing earlier target dates to lose probability while December 31, 2026 experienced volatile adjustments.
Consensys announces 2026 IPO, confirms $MASK token launch imminent
December 31, 2026 rises to 37%3%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO and confirmed the MetaMask $MASK token launch is coming soon, aligning token launch expectations with the IPO timeline and shifting market sentiment toward a later 2026 launch.
MetaMask CEO last public mention of token plans; no new launch date announced
September 30 drops to 30%11%
By February 2026, no new official announcements about the $MASK token launch were made by MetaMask or ConsenSys leadership, contributing to declining market confidence and price drops.
Phishing Scams Impersonate MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
Malicious sites claiming a MetaMask token launch was live caused confusion and volatility in prediction markets as users navigated fake claim portals.
Consensys IPO Announcement Highlights Upcoming MetaMask Token Launch
December 31, 2026 drops to 39%11%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, confirming the MetaMask token launch is imminent and will be integrated into the company's infrastructure and revenue model. This event briefly stabilized market expectations but did not result in an immediate token launch.
MetaMask claim portal redirects to homepage, no token distribution occurs
September 30 drops to 34%7%
In early 2026, the claims.metamask.io portal, initially expected to facilitate token claims, redirected users to MetaMask's homepage without any token distribution, disappointing the community and causing further market price declines.
MetaMask Token Launch Expectations Shift Out to Late 2026 Following Season 1 Close
December 31, 2026 plunges to 24%26%
With Season 1 claims closed and no MASK token in sight, the December 31, 2026, market bottomed out at 24% before stabilizing as the most realistic remaining window.
Consensys prepares for mid-2026 IPO with JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs as lead underwriters
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%5%
Consensys's IPO plans for mid-2026, led by major banks, increased speculation that the $MASK token launch would align with or precede the IPO, influencing market pricing and expectations for a later token launch window.
Consensys delays IPO to fall 2026, signaling MASK token launch postponement
December 31, 2026 drops to 20%10%
Consensys postponed its planned IPO to fall 2026, which is widely expected to align with the MASK token launch, pushing the token release beyond 2025 and early 2026.
Consensys SEC Lawsuit Dismissal De-Risks Regulatory Path
December 31, 2026 plunges to 21%29%
The SEC's formal dismissal of its lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask's staking features provided critical regulatory relief, clearing a major legal hurdle for any future token launch.
MetaMask integrates tokenized stocks via Ondo Finance, expanding asset offerings
December 31, 2026 plunges to 25%25%
MetaMask broadened its platform by supporting tokenized stocks through Ondo Finance integration, signaling a strategic focus on multi-asset access rather than immediate MASK token launch. This shift contributed to declining market confidence in a near-term MASK token launch.
MetaMask roadmap update pushes token launch to Q2 2026
December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
On February 9, 2026 MetaMask posted an update on its roadmap, confirming that the native token would not be released before the end of Q2 2026. The clarification pushed the market’s Yes probability for the December‑2026 outcome down to the low‑30 % range and accelerated the decline toward the June‑30 outcome.
MetaMask Announces General Availability of MetaMask Card in the US
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US in partnership with Mastercard, shifting focus to product utility over token launch.
MetaMask expands trading with perpetual futures and confirms token launch plans
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask announced the launch of perpetual futures trading and confirmed plans for the $MASK token launch, reinforcing the token launch narrative but without a concrete launch date, causing mixed market reactions.
MetaMask Card Launches in the US in Partnership with Mastercard
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask announced the general availability of its self-custodial debit card in the US, shifting focus toward product utility rather than immediate token generation.
MetaMask mobile users gain direct access to tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask launched the ability for eligible mobile users outside the U.S. to trade tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs, expanding its financial product offerings but not constituting a MASK token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance for Tokenized Stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 plunges to 19%31%
MetaMask expanded its platform utility by supporting tokenized traditional assets like Apple and Microsoft shares, shifting focus toward product expansion rather than a token launch.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
December 31, 2026 plunges to 28%22%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks and ETFs through Ondo Finance, broadening its financial offerings but not directly related to the MASK token launch. This development showed MetaMask's growth but did not accelerate token issuance.
MetaMask Integrates Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance
September 30 drops to 21%13%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by adding support for tokenized traditional assets, shifting focus toward product utility rather than an immediate native token launch.
MetaMask integrates 200+ tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling eligible users to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs, enhancing platform utility and user engagement ahead of the token launch.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
MetaMask announced integration with Ondo Finance to allow eligible users to buy, hold, and trade tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities directly within the wallet, expanding its ecosystem but unrelated to MASK token launch timing.
MetaMask integrates Ondo to offer tokenized U.S. stocks inside wallet
December 31, 2026 drops to 41%9%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized U.S. stocks trading, demonstrating ongoing product development but no direct $MASK token launch, which kept market expectations for the token launch moderate.
MetaMask Launches Tokenized US Stocks, ETFs, and Commodities Integration
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets, enhancing wallet utility but not directly related to the $MASK token launch. This expansion reflected MetaMask's broader DeFi ambitions.
MetaMask Launches LINEA Token Reward Query Function
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%5%
MetaMask introduced a function allowing users to query their LINEA token rewards, enhancing transparency and engagement with the Rewards program, but still no $MASK token launch occurred, contributing to market uncertainty and price decline.
MetaMask mobile users gain access to 200+ tokenized US securities
December 31, 2026 rises to 21%3%
MetaMask enabled eligible mobile users in supported non-US jurisdictions to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly in the wallet, expanding its financial offerings and ecosystem utility.
MetaMask enables direct trading of tokenized US stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by allowing users to trade tokenized US stocks and ETFs, signaling growth and increased utility of the platform, which influenced market perceptions of MetaMask's value proposition.
MetaMask rolls out tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%5%
In early February 2026, MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by integrating tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities, enhancing wallet utility but not indicating any imminent $MASK token launch, contributing to market skepticism.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized U.S. Stocks
June 30 rises to 14%1%
MetaMask launched an integration with Ondo Finance to allow non-U.S. users to trade over 200 tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs directly inside the mobile wallet.
MetaMask integrates tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its platform by allowing eligible users in supported non-U.S. jurisdictions to buy and trade over 200 tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs directly within the wallet, marking a significant product enhancement but unrelated to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Ondo Finance to Offer Tokenized US Stocks and ETFs
December 31, 2026 drops to 39%11%
MetaMask launched support for trading tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Finance. While expanding DeFi utility, it confirmed that Consensys was still only considering a native token with no official launch date.
MetaMask integrates Ondo Finance tokenized U.S. stocks into wallet
MetaMask partnered with Ondo Finance to offer tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs within the wallet, signaling ongoing ecosystem expansion but no direct token launch, reflecting a shift in focus away from immediate MASK launch.
MetaMask Launches Tokenized Stock Trading Integration
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by launching native integration for tokenized U.S. stocks and commodities, enhancing wallet utility but not directly advancing the $MASK token launch. This broadened MetaMask's offerings but did not affect token launch timelines.
MetaMask adds tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its wallet functionality by enabling users to buy and trade over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs, enhancing its financial product offerings but not directly related to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask adds tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo integration
MetaMask integrated tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities through Ondo Global Markets, expanding its financial offerings and user base. This move demonstrated MetaMask's growing ecosystem but did not directly indicate a MASK token launch, contributing to market uncertainty.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask enabled eligible users to buy, hold, and trade over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly within the wallet, marking a significant product expansion but not a token launch.
MetaMask launches LINEA token reward query function
MetaMask launched a function to query LINEA token rewards as part of its first-quarter distribution plan, reinforcing the ongoing rewards program but not yet delivering the MASK token, maintaining market uncertainty about the token launch timing.
MetaMask adds tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs, commodities via Ondo
June 30 drops to 13%6%
MetaMask launched tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs and commodities via Ondo, adding new on‑chain asset classes. The product expansion was interpreted as a strategic pivot away from a near‑term token launch, further eroding confidence in a June‑30 launch (odds fell to single‑digit levels).
No official MetaMask token generation event or public token launch by early 2026
Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token generation event or publicly tradable MetaMask token was launched by early 2026, leading to a steady decline in market odds across all resolution dates.
SEC lawsuit against ConsenSys dismissed, reducing regulatory risk for token launch
The dismissal of the SEC lawsuit against ConsenSys over MetaMask staking features removed a major regulatory hurdle, improving the outlook for a future MASK token launch and influencing market sentiment positively.
Market sentiment declines as no $MASK token launch occurs by early 2026
June 30 plunges to 15%17%
Despite earlier confirmations and infrastructure signals, no official $MASK token launch or airdrop occurred by early 2026, causing market prices for token launch by June and September 2026 to fall sharply. The delay reflects regulatory caution and strategic timing considerations by ConsenSys.
MetaMask Points Program Season 1 ends with no MASK token generation event
December 31, 2026 plunges to 40%26%
The conclusion of the first MetaMask Rewards season ended without a token generation event, disappointing users and signaling that the MASK token launch would not occur in 2025. This contributed to a sharp decline in market confidence for a 2025 launch.
Consensys confirms no immediate announcements on IPO or token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 43%20%
Consensys spokesperson stated in early 2026 that while exploring expansion opportunities, there were no current announcements regarding the IPO or MetaMask token launch, contributing to market uncertainty and price decline.
MetaMask claim portal redirects to homepage, no token materializes
June 30 drops to 17%5%
The claims.metamask.io portal, initially password-protected, began redirecting users to MetaMask's homepage without any token distribution, confirming delays and causing further market price drops.
MetaMask announces Season 2 of Rewards program, signaling continued delay of $MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%4%
Following the close of Season 1 claims, MetaMask announced Season 2 is coming soon, indicating the $MASK token launch is postponed to later in 2026, which contributed to further price declines in token launch prediction markets.
Consensys legal victory over SEC clears path for future MetaMask token launch
December 31, 2026 jumps to 56%6%
Consensys won a critical legal battle against the SEC, removing regulatory uncertainty that had threatened the MetaMask token launch. This event improved long-term prospects but did not affect the 2025 deadline, causing moderate market optimism for a later launch.
Consensys lawsuit dismissal reduces regulatory uncertainty for MetaMask token
December 31, 2026 drops to 30%6%
The SEC dismissed its lawsuit against ConsenSys regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory risks and potentially clearing the way for the MASK token launch. However, no immediate token launch followed, maintaining market caution.
No $MASK token claim portal materializes; claims.metamask.io redirects to homepage
June 30 drops to 6%6%
Despite earlier signals, the expected $MASK token claim portal did not launch; the domain redirected to MetaMask's homepage, increasing skepticism about a near-term token launch and causing market prices to fall further.
MetaMask expands multichain support including Bitcoin, enhancing wallet utility
December 31, 2026 plunges to 30%20%
MetaMask launched native Bitcoin support and expanded multichain capabilities, improving wallet utility but not indicating any imminent token launch, contributing to market skepticism about a near-term $MASK token release.
Consensys plans 2026 IPO, adding uncertainty to token launch timing
December 31, 2026 drops to 37%13%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, which could affect the timing of the MetaMask token launch as the company balances regulatory and market considerations, leading to cautious market sentiment and price declines.
Consensys files for 2026 IPO, signaling strategic timing for MetaMask token launch
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
Consensys announced plans for a 2026 IPO, which may influence the timing of the MetaMask token launch due to regulatory and strategic considerations. This development contributed to market skepticism about a 2025 or early 2026 token launch.
SEC dismisses lawsuit against Consensys over MetaMask staking services
December 31, 2026 dips to 28%3%
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission dropped its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask staking, removing a major regulatory hurdle and clearing the way for future token launches and the planned IPO. This regulatory clarity was positive but did not trigger an immediate token launch.
No official MetaMask token launch or airdrop announced by early 2026
September 30 plunges to 6%28%
By early 2026, despite ongoing speculation and market anticipation, MetaMask had not launched a tradable token or announced a token generation event, causing market prices for a 2025 launch to collapse and shift expectations to later dates.
MetaMask announces continuation of rewards program, signaling delayed MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 dips to 29%2%
MetaMask announced Season 2 of its rewards program, indicating that the MASK token launch was postponed beyond 2025. This announcement further reduced market confidence in a near-term token launch.
Consensys lawsuit dismissal by SEC clears regulatory uncertainty
In early 2026, the SEC dismissed its lawsuit against Consensys regarding MetaMask's staking features, reducing regulatory risk but no immediate token launch followed, maintaining market uncertainty.
No MetaMask token launch or airdrop by January 2026 despite prior confirmations
September 30 drops to 20%12%
By late January 2026, despite earlier confirmations and infrastructure signals, MetaMask had not launched its token or conducted an airdrop, causing market prices to decline sharply as the community adjusted expectations for a 2025 launch.
Analysis highlights delay in MASK token launch due to regulatory and strategic factors
September 30 drops to 29%7%
A detailed analysis revealed that the MASK token launch delay was due to regulatory strategy and a planned ConsenSys IPO, explaining the absence of a token launch by early 2026 and dampening market optimism.
No MetaMask token launch by end of January 2026, causing market decline
September 30 plunges to 6%19%
Despite earlier confirmations and the Rewards program, no $MASK token launch or airdrop occurred by late January 2026. This delay led to a significant drop in market odds, reflecting skepticism about a 2025 launch and shifting expectations to later in 2026.
Analysis highlights delay in MetaMask token launch amid regulatory and strategic tensions
June 30 drops to 12%9%
A detailed analysis revealed that despite strong anticipation, the MetaMask token launch was delayed due to regulatory strategy and a planned ConsenSys IPO. This explained the absence of a tradable token by early 2026 and contributed to further market price declines.
Market Analysis Highlights Regulatory and IPO Pressures Delaying MASK Token
December 31, 2026 drops to 37%13%
Reports highlighted that Consensys's planned mid-2026 IPO and regulatory scrutiny during the pre-IPO quiet period were delaying the MASK token launch, pushing expectations to late 2026.
No MASK token launch or airdrop by late January 2026 despite prior signals
December 31, 2026 drops to 31%9%
By late January 2026, no official MASK token launch or airdrop had occurred, despite earlier confirmations and community anticipation. This delay reflected regulatory caution and strategic timing related to Consensys's IPO plans, leading to declining market probabilities.
Analysis reveals delay in MetaMask $MASK token launch amid regulatory and IPO considerations
December 31, 2026 dips to 30%3%
Despite earlier confirmations, no $MASK token launch occurred by early 2026. Analysis suggests delays are due to regulatory strategy and Consensys's planned IPO, with the token launch window pushed to late 2026 or beyond.
MetaMask CEO warns of MASK token launch delays and ongoing speculation
September 30 drops to 22%10%
Despite earlier confirmations, the $MASK token had not launched by early 2026, with MetaMask leadership warning about speculation and scams, which contributed to declining market confidence and price drops.
Consensys CEO Confirms MASK Token Launch Delayed Despite Earlier Expectations
September 30 plunges to 46%23%
Joe Lubin, CEO of ConsenSys, confirmed the MASK token was expected sooner but remained unreleased four months after initial announcements. This official confirmation of delay contributed to a sharp decline in market odds for a 2025 or early 2026 launch.
MetaMask Closes Rewards Season 1 Distributing LINEA Tokens Instead of MASK
September 30 plunges to 41%19%
MetaMask officially concluded Season 1 of its Rewards program, distributing LINEA tokens and other perks instead of launching its own native MASK token. The lack of a native token generation event disappointed speculative users and depressed early 2026 launch odds.
MetaMask Season 1 Points Program Ends Without Token Launch
September 30 drops to 63%6%
MetaMask concluded its first Points Program season, which was seen as a precursor to a token launch. However, the program ended without clear signals of a token generation event (TGE), causing market confidence in a near-term token launch to wane.
MetaMask announces end of Rewards Season 1 with mixed user sentiment
September 30 drops to 59%10%
Season 1 of the MetaMask Rewards program ended, distributing rewards mainly in $LINEA tokens rather than $MASK. User sentiment was negative due to lack of direct $MASK rewards, leading to declining market confidence in a near-term token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Ends After Distributing $30M in LINEA Tokens
December 31, 2026 plunges to 35%15%
MetaMask concluded its first Rewards season, distributing over $30 million in $LINEA tokens to active users, signaling progress toward the eventual $MASK token launch but without launching the token itself. This event caused initial market optimism but no token launch, leading to a moderate price decline.
MetaMask ends Rewards Season 1 without announcing token launch
June 30 plunges to 13%65%
MetaMask posted on X that Season 1 of the Rewards program had ended, noting that the $30 M prize pool was distributed in LINEA tokens. The lack of a token‑generation event (TGE) after the season’s close dampened expectations, causing the Yes probability for the June‑30 outcome to fall from 78 % (early Jan) to 13 % by late January.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends distributing $30M in $LINEA tokens
June 30 plunges to 40%23%
The conclusion of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 marked the end of the initial phase of user incentives, but no token launch followed, leading to declining market confidence in a 2025 launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 ends with distribution of Linea tokens, no MASK token yet
September 30 drops to 67%11%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards concluded with over $30 million in Linea tokens distributed, but the MASK token launch had not yet occurred, leading to some market disappointment and price decline.
MetaMask Concludes Rewards Season 1 with LINEA Token Distribution
September 30 plunges to 41%22%
MetaMask officially ended Season 1 of its Points Program, but user sentiment turned negative as rewards were distributed in LINEA tokens rather than the anticipated MASK token, dampening immediate launch expectations.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 closes after distributing $30M in $LINEA tokens
September 30 drops to 22%12%
The conclusion of Season 1 marked the end of the initial points accumulation phase, with points carrying over into Season 2. No $MASK token was launched, leading to market price declines as the 2025 launch window closed.
MetaMask concludes Season 1 rewards program distributing $30M in Linea tokens
September 30 plunges to 46%31%
The end of the first rewards season distributed Linea tokens instead of the anticipated $MASK token, leading to market disappointment and a decline in the probability of a 2025 token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Closes Without Token Launch
June 30 drops to 11%7%
The first season of the MetaMask Points Program officially concluded on January 23, 2026. The lack of an immediate token generation event or airdrop announcement led to a sharp decline in the probability of a June 30 launch.
MetaMask CEO last mentions token launch; no new TGE signals emerge
September 30 drops to 65%12%
The last public mention by ConsenSys CEO regarding MetaMask token launch occurred in October 2025, with no new official Token Generation Event signals by January 2026. This absence of concrete launch developments led to further decline in market probabilities.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 concludes after distributing $30M in LINEA tokens
September 30 drops to 22%12%
The end of Season 1 of the Rewards program provided data for finalizing token economics but no $MASK token was launched, leading to market disappointment and price declines.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 closes after distributing $30M+ in LINEA tokens
December 31, 2026 drops to 27%5%
The first season of MetaMask Rewards ended, distributing rewards but no MASK token yet, causing some market uncertainty and a decline in launch probability for 2025.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 concludes without MASK token launch
The first season of MetaMask's rewards program ended with no official MASK token launch or airdrop, leading to market disappointment and a decline in token launch probability.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Concludes with Linea Token Distribution but No Native MASK Token
June 30 plunges to 14%46%
The first season of the MetaMask Rewards program ended, distributing over $30 million in $LINEA tokens instead of the highly anticipated native $MASK token, causing a sharp decline in near-term launch expectations.
MetaMask launches native Tron support and expands multi-chain capabilities
MetaMask integrated native Tron support across mobile and browser wallets, expanding its multi-chain strategy and enhancing user experience, which maintained positive ecosystem momentum but did not confirm token launch timing, contributing to stable but cautious market sentiment.
MetaMask Season 1 rewards campaign enters final phase with trading boosts
September 30 dips to 68%1%
MetaMask announced a final push for its Season 1 rewards program with multipliers on perpetuals and prediction markets, aiming to stimulate user activity ahead of the campaign's end, signaling token rewards but no immediate token launch, which kept market expectations tempered.
Consensys CEO reiterates $MASK token launch may come sooner than expected
September 30 drops to 68%6%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed in late 2025 and early 2026 that the $MASK token launch is forthcoming, fueling initial market optimism. However, no concrete launch date or token distribution mechanism was announced, leading to cautious market reactions.
Consensys CEO highlights regulatory challenges impacting token launches
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
Brian Armstrong's statement on January 14, 2026, emphasized regulatory hurdles such as de facto bans on tokenized equities and DeFi prohibitions, signaling that MetaMask faces significant legal challenges delaying any token launch. This dampened market expectations for a near-term $MASK token launch.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch by End of 2025 Confirmed
September 30 dips to 67%3%
Despite strong market speculation and multiple product developments, MetaMask did not officially launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2025, leading to a decline in market confidence and price adjustment in early 2026.
Market sentiment declines amid uncertainty over MetaMask token launch
September 30 drops to 65%6%
By early January 2026, despite ongoing speculation and developments, the market price for a MetaMask token launch by December 31, 2025, dropped to 65%, reflecting growing doubts about an official, tradable token launch within the year.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms $MASK token launch coming sooner than expected
September 30 drops to 68%10%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that the long-anticipated MetaMask $MASK token would launch in the near future, sparking excitement and increasing market expectations for a 2026 launch.
MetaMask officially announces token launch plans and airdrop eligibility rumors
September 30 dips to 69%3%
MetaMask confirmed plans to launch its own token and airdrop, with eligibility based on user activity, but did not specify a launch date, causing market uncertainty and a slight price decline as traders awaited concrete details.
Rumors of MetaMask Token Launch and Airdrop Circulate in Crypto Community
September 30 drops to 68%5%
In early January 2026, rumors and reports about the imminent launch of the MetaMask token and airdrop circulated widely, with analysts discussing eligibility based on user activity. However, no official token generation event or public tradable token release was confirmed by this date.
MetaMask token launch remains anticipated but no official token release yet
September 30 dips to 68%2%
Despite strong signals and ongoing product developments, MetaMask had not officially launched a tradable token by early January 2026, causing some price pullback but overall market optimism remained for a launch by September 30.
No official MetaMask token launch by year-end confirmed
September 30 dips to 70%2%
By early January 2026, no official announcement or evidence of a publicly tradable MetaMask token had emerged, leading to a decline in market probability for a 2025 token launch. Market prices reflected growing skepticism about meeting the December 31, 2025 deadline.
Market speculation cools as no official MetaMask token launch occurs by year-end
September 30 dips to 69%4%
Despite ongoing speculation and community anticipation, no official token launch meeting the criteria occurred by December 31, 2025. This led to a decline in market probability from highs near 78% to around 72%, reflecting tempered expectations for a near-term MASK token release.
No official MetaMask token launch by year-end, market confidence wanes
September 30 drops to 68%10%
Despite earlier optimism and preparations, MetaMask did not launch its token by December 31, 2025, leading to a decline in market confidence and a drop in the market price for the September 30 outcome.
Market sentiment declines amid no official MetaMask token launch by year-end
September 30 dips to 70%3%
By early January 2026, with no official announcement or release of a publicly tradable MetaMask token, market confidence decreased, reflected in the price drop to 70%. The community awaited verifiable token generation events, and the absence of such led to reduced probability of a 2025 token launch.
Market speculation peaks on MetaMask token launch timing
Market speculation intensified around the timing of MetaMask's native token launch, with prediction market odds fluctuating but no official launch announced. This caused a temporary price peak followed by a decline as uncertainty persisted.
Traders Reassess Near-Term Launch Odds as Season 1 Nears End Without MASK Token Signals
June 30 plunges to 32%20%
As MetaMask Rewards Season 1 progressed without any official signals of a MASK token generation event, traders began heavily discounting the June 30, 2026, outcome.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch by End of 2025
September 30 drops to 70%8%
Despite strong community anticipation and multiple feature rollouts, MetaMask did not officially launch a tradable native token by December 31, 2025. Market prices stabilized around 70%, reflecting tempered expectations for a 2025 launch but continued belief in a future token.
MetaMask releases December 2025 Crypto Security Report highlighting ecosystem developments
MetaMask published its December 2025 security report covering crypto thefts and ecosystem updates, reinforcing its active engagement in the crypto space but without token launch news, maintaining market interest but no direct impact on token launch timing.
Market Price Declines Slightly Amid No Official Token Launch Confirmation
September 30 drops to 72%5%
By early January 2026, despite strong anticipation, no official token launch or tradable token was confirmed, leading to a slight decline in market price as traders reassessed the timeline and certainty of the launch.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch Announced by Year-End 2025
September 30 drops to 70%8%
Despite strong market anticipation and ongoing developments, MetaMask did not officially launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2025, leading to a slight decline in market confidence in early 2026.
MetaMask stablecoin $mUSD announced for late 2025 launch
MetaMask announced the upcoming launch of its native stablecoin, MetaMask USD ($mUSD), expected later in 2025. While this expanded MetaMask's token offerings, it was distinct from the anticipated $MASK governance token, leaving the token launch question unresolved.
No Official MetaMask Token Launch Announced by Year-End
December 31, 2026 drops to 69%8%
Despite strong market anticipation and ongoing rewards programs, MetaMask did not officially launch a publicly tradable token by December 31, 2025, leading to a stabilization and slight decline in market prices.
MetaMask stablecoin $mUSD launches, expanding token offerings but not MASK
September 30 drops to 70%6%
MetaMask launched its native stablecoin MetaMask USD (mUSD) in late 2025, broadening its token ecosystem but distinct from the anticipated MASK governance token, leaving the token launch question unresolved and tempering market expectations.
MetaMask says token still under development, no launch date set
September 30 drops to 71%7%
MetaMask’s official X account reiterated that the token was still “in development” with no launch date, causing the market’s confidence in a 2025 launch to erode sharply; the September‑30 probability fell below 60 % by early January 2026.
MetaMask Perp DEX volume hits $3B amid token plan and Chinese expansion
December 31, 2026 rises to 78%3%
MetaMask integrated Hyperliquid for Perp DEX trading and partnered with Polymarket, alongside launching a points system with Season 1 running since October. These moves intensified speculation about a future $MASK token launch, influencing market sentiment positively.
MetaMask Perp DEX volume hits $3B amid token plan and Chinese expansion
September 30 rises to 77%2%
MetaMask's integration with Hyperliquid and partnership with Polymarket, along with the launch of a points system and Season 1 campaign, highlighted the company's token plans and expansion efforts, sustaining market interest in a potential $MASK token launch.
MetaMask integrates Hyperliquid and Polymarket, expanding DeFi and prediction markets
September 30 dips to 77%1%
MetaMask integrated Hyperliquid for perpetual futures and partnered with Polymarket for prediction markets, alongside a large-scale points program. These developments reinforced MetaMask's transformation into a full on-chain finance platform and kept speculation about the MASK token launch alive, influencing market prices.
Market reacts to absence of official MASK token launch by year-end
September 30 drops to 72%6%
By late December 2025, despite ongoing product expansions and rewards programs, no official launch or public trading of a MetaMask token occurred. This absence led to a notable price drop from 78% to 72% in market confidence regarding a 2025 token launch.
No official MetaMask token launch announced by year-end
Despite ongoing developments and confirmations of a token launch in the near future, MetaMask had not officially launched a tradable token by December 18, 2025, leading to a stabilization of market price around 78% and some skepticism about timing.
Market sentiment begins to decline amid no token launch by end of 2025
September 30 plunges to 46%32%
As the end of 2025 approached without an official token launch or airdrop, market confidence dropped sharply, reflecting skepticism about the token's imminent release.
MetaMask updates analytics emphasizing user privacy and control
MetaMask announced updates to its analytics system focusing on privacy-preserving features, reinforcing user control over data. This maintained confidence in MetaMask's platform but did not directly confirm a token launch, contributing to stable market sentiment.
MetaMask adds official Bitcoin support expanding multichain reach
MetaMask officially added Bitcoin support, allowing users to buy, swap, send, and receive BTC directly within the wallet, marking a significant product expansion but unrelated to the MASK token launch.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin integration expanding wallet utility
MetaMask expanded its wallet capabilities by integrating native Bitcoin support, enhancing user experience but not indicating any imminent $MASK token launch, contributing to market skepticism.
MetaMask expands multi-chain ambitions with native Bitcoin support and cross-chain swaps
Following the Bitcoin integration, MetaMask introduced cross-chain asset swaps and continued product development, reinforcing its multi-chain platform strategy and supporting the upcoming MASK token launch, maintaining market enthusiasm.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 dips to 54%4%
MetaMask integrated native Bitcoin support, continuing its transition into a comprehensive multichain wallet.
MetaMask signals ongoing work on native token amid multi-chain expansion
September 30 dips to 75%3%
Following the Bitcoin support launch, MetaMask and ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin confirmed that work on the native token (MASK) is ongoing, but no specific launch date was announced. This maintained market interest but did not provide a definitive timeline for token release, contributing to stable but cautious market sentiment.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin integration expanding wallet capabilities
September 30 drops to 74%11%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, broadening its ecosystem and reinforcing its position as a leading multi-asset wallet, which maintained market interest but did not directly impact token launch timing.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support after 10-month wait
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, expanding its multichain wallet capabilities and enhancing user experience, but this did not include launching a native token.
MetaMask announces $30 million rewards program ahead of MASK token launch
September 30 rises to 78%4%
MetaMask unveiled a large community rewards program tied to the Linea network, designed to incentivize adoption and build momentum for the upcoming MASK token launch, reinforcing market confidence.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support, Enhancing Wallet Utility
September 30 rises to 78%3%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, and swap BTC directly within the wallet. This major feature rollout increased user engagement and was tied to the ongoing rewards program, indirectly supporting expectations for the token launch.
MetaMask officially launches native Bitcoin integration expanding wallet functionality
September 30 rises to 78%1%
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, broadening its asset management capabilities and signaling ongoing platform expansion, which influenced market sentiment about the token launch timeline.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support, expanding multi-chain capabilities
September 30 rises to 78%1%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to buy, send, receive, and swap BTC directly within the wallet. This major product update, accompanied by a $30 million rewards program, boosted confidence in the upcoming MASK token launch.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support
June 30 plunges to 57%20%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support, expanding the wallet’s product roadmap. Analysts interpreted the move as a shift of engineering resources away from a token launch, which helped explain the sharp drop in the “June 30” odds from 77 % (early Nov 2025) to 57 % by 2025‑12‑31.
MetaMask officially adds native Bitcoin support, expanding wallet capabilities
September 30 drops to 70%5%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support, signaling continued ecosystem expansion but no token launch, which maintained market interest but did not confirm a MASK token launch by end of 2025.
MetaMask Introduces Native Bitcoin Support to Expand Multi-Chain Capabilities
June 30 jumps to 63%7%
MetaMask rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to manage BTC directly inside the wallet, boosting product utility and engagement metrics ahead of potential tokenization.
MetaMask Expands Support to Bitcoin and Integrates Rewards Points
MetaMask officially added support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade and manage BTC in-wallet while earning reward points ahead of its planned native token launch.
MetaMask Launches Native Bitcoin Support, Expanding Beyond Ethereum Ecosystem
June 30 drops to 59%8%
MetaMask officially rolled out native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly. This major product update shifted focus toward multi-chain utility rather than an immediate token launch.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support, expanding wallet capabilities
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, signaling a shift towards a multichain wallet but not directly related to the token launch, which may have distracted market focus from the token event.
MetaMask launches full native Bitcoin support
MetaMask added native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and trade BTC directly within the wallet. This expansion of multi-chain capabilities enhanced MetaMask's ecosystem and user engagement, indirectly supporting the token launch narrative.
MetaMask expands multichain support including native Bitcoin integration
September 30 rises to 78%3%
MetaMask announced native Bitcoin support allowing users to buy, send, receive, and swap BTC directly, enhancing wallet utility and reinforcing the ecosystem around the upcoming token launch, which helped maintain market confidence.
MetaMask Adds Native Bitcoin Support, Expanding Multichain Capabilities
September 30 jumps to 75%10%
MetaMask officially launched native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold, send, receive, and swap BTC directly within the wallet. This major product expansion increased confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem growth and the upcoming token launch, supporting market prices around 75-80%.
MetaMask launches native Bitcoin support in wallet
MetaMask expanded its multichain capabilities by launching native Bitcoin support, allowing users to hold and transact BTC directly in the wallet, signaling ongoing platform growth but not directly related to token launch timing.
MetaMask adds native Bitcoin support expanding wallet functionality
December 31, 2026 plunges to 31%19%
MetaMask integrated native Bitcoin support, enhancing wallet utility and ecosystem reach, which positively influenced market sentiment about the platform's growth but did not directly confirm token launch.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support
June 30 jumps to 67%10%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by launching native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to trade BTC directly and earn reward points, keeping the ecosystem highly active.
MetaMask registers token claim domains fueling airdrop speculation
September 30 rises to 78%2%
MetaMask registered domains such as claim.metamask.io and gift.metamask.io, which sparked widespread speculation and excitement about an imminent MASK token airdrop, briefly boosting market prices before settling down.
Consensys CEO confirms active development of MetaMask MASK token
September 30 rises to 85%1%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MASK token is actively in development, reinforcing market expectations for a launch before the end of 2025, which supported sustained high market prices.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms active development of MetaMask MASK token
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask's native MASK token is in active development, reinforcing market expectations for a token launch and supporting the rising price trend.
MetaMask Rolls Out Native Bitcoin Support and Integrates Rewards Points
September 30 jumps to 77%6%
MetaMask expanded its multi-chain capabilities by adding native support for Bitcoin, allowing users to earn MetaMask Rewards points for swapping into BTC. This product expansion initially kept hopes alive for a near-term token launch.
Consensys lines up banks for 2026 IPO, hints at MASK token launch
December 31, 2026 surges to 51%16%
CoinMarketCap reported that JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs were tapped to advise on a 2026 Consensys IPO and that Lubin had just announced the upcoming MASK token. The IPO speculation raised hopes that a token would be issued as part of a broader financing plan, lifting the Yes odds in early December, before the market corrected later in the quarter.
MetaMask expands into prediction markets with Polymarket integration
September 30 rises to 71%1%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket, enabling users to place event predictions within their wallet with one-tap funding and no KYC. This move supported the ecosystem growth ahead of the MASK token launch.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket, signaling strategic expansion ahead of token launch
MetaMask's integration with Polymarket prediction markets indicated a strategic move towards a full on-chain finance platform, supporting the narrative of an imminent MASK token launch and increasing market confidence in the token's arrival.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Enable In-App Prediction Markets
September 30 rises to 71%1%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket directly into its mobile app, allowing users to trade prediction markets natively and fueling speculation about its upcoming token utility.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets signaling token launch direction
December 31, 2026 drops to 22%12%
MetaMask added Polymarket integration, marking a strategic move toward a tokenized ecosystem and signaling preparations for the MASK token launch and broader DeFi platform expansion.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket for one-tap prediction market betting
September 30 drops to 77%7%
On December 6, 2025, MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets into its app, signaling strategic expansion and preparation for the upcoming token launch. This integration enhanced user engagement and hinted at the token's role in the ecosystem, supporting market interest but not confirming token issuance.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets, signaling token launch progress
September 30 rises to 78%1%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets into its app, marking a strategic expansion and signaling progress towards the MASK token launch and broader DeFi platform ambitions.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket Prediction Markets, Enhancing User Engagement
September 30 plunges to 70%15%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets, enabling users to place bets and earn rewards points within the wallet. This integration signaled MetaMask's transformation into a comprehensive trading platform, bolstering confidence in the upcoming token launch.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket for Native Mobile Prediction Markets
September 30 rises to 70%4%
MetaMask launched native prediction market trading powered by Polymarket directly inside its mobile app. The integration included rewards points connected to the upcoming token launch, reinforcing utility expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket Trading with Rewards Points Incentive
June 30 drops to 57%7%
MetaMask launched an in-wallet integration with prediction market platform Polymarket, charging a 4% fee but offering users 2 rewards points per dollar traded. This integration expanded wallet utility and tied directly into the points program paving the way for the planned token launch.
MetaMask Partners with Polymarket to Integrate Prediction Markets Directly into Mobile Wallet
September 30 jumps to 70%7%
MetaMask launched an exclusive integration with Polymarket, allowing its 30 million monthly users to trade prediction markets natively, which is tied to its ongoing rewards program.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket Natively Into Mobile App
June 30 jumps to 63%6%
MetaMask rolled out native prediction markets powered by Polymarket directly inside its mobile app, charging a 4% fee and offering rewards points, which further expanded the wallet's ecosystem utility.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Launch Prediction Markets Directly in Wallet
June 30 drops to 59%7%
MetaMask partnered with Polymarket to allow users to trade prediction markets directly inside the wallet, fueling speculation that the upcoming token would tie these new financial products together.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets natively in wallet
MetaMask launched native integration with Polymarket, allowing users to trade prediction markets directly within the wallet. This expansion of features increased user engagement and reinforced MetaMask's evolution into a comprehensive DeFi platform, indirectly supporting token launch expectations.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Enable Direct Prediction Market Betting
September 30 jumps to 70%5%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket directly into its mobile app, allowing users to bet on real-world events and earn rewards points connected to its planned token launch.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets into mobile app
September 30 plunges to 70%15%
MetaMask launched Polymarket-powered prediction markets within its mobile app, signaling strategic expansion and gearing up for the MASK token launch. This integration enhanced user engagement and contributed to market optimism.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Offer Native Prediction Markets
September 30 drops to 70%7%
MetaMask launched a native integration with Polymarket, allowing its 30 million monthly users to fund accounts and trade prediction markets directly from their wallets.
MetaMask Integrates Native Prediction Markets Powered by Polymarket
June 30 drops to 57%9%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket natively into its mobile app, introducing a 4% transaction fee but offering points rewards linked to a future token launch, which temporarily shifted focus to product utility.
MetaMask Launches Polymarket-Powered Prediction Markets in Mobile App
September 30 jumps to 78%8%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket prediction markets into its mobile app, expanding wallet functionality and signaling strategic moves ahead of the token launch, boosting market confidence.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket to Bring Prediction Markets Directly to Mobile Users
September 30 jumps to 70%7%
MetaMask integrated Polymarket into its mobile app, allowing users to bet on real-world events directly. This strategic move was seen as a precursor to its upcoming token launch and potential IPO, causing a temporary dip and subsequent recovery in market sentiment.
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket for Native Prediction Markets
June 30 drops to 54%6%
MetaMask launched native prediction markets powered by Polymarket, expanding its in-wallet features and rewards program.
MetaMask launches $9.99/month wallet protection service
September 30 plunges to 70%15%
MetaMask introduced a wallet protection service to enhance user security, reflecting ongoing product development and ecosystem strengthening ahead of the token launch. While not directly about the token, this development contributed to overall confidence in MetaMask's growth trajectory.
MetaMask Launches $10/Month Wallet Protection Service
September 30 plunges to 63%21%
MetaMask introduced a wallet protection service, enhancing user security and signaling ongoing platform development, which influenced market sentiment positively.
Market odds drop sharply amid uncertainty over token launch timing
September 30 plunges to 62%24%
The prediction market price dropped from 86% to 62% as traders debated whether the three-month Rewards campaign would leave enough time for an official token launch before the end of 2025. Lack of a concrete launch date and no public token issuance led to increased skepticism.
MetaMask integrates perpetual futures and prediction markets, confirms token plans
September 30 rises to 85%4%
MetaMask launched perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid and announced plans to integrate Polymarket, confirming token launch plans and expanding its ecosystem, which supported market confidence in the token launch by September 30.
MetaMask stablecoin mUSD launches, signaling ecosystem expansion
December 31, 2026 drops to 36%14%
The launch of MetaMask USD (mUSD) stablecoin in August 2025 demonstrated MetaMask's expanding ecosystem and was seen as a foundational step toward the MASK token launch, supporting market interest.
Market resolves 'No' as MetaMask fails to launch token by December 31, 2025
December 31, 2026 plunges to 24%26%
The market officially resolved to 'No' after MetaMask did not launch an actively tradable token by the deadline, confirming the market's declining confidence and resulting in sharp price drops across all outcomes.
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin confirms MetaMask token coming sooner than expected
September 30 rises to 85%4%
On November 26, 2025, Consensys CEO Joe Lubin reiterated that the MetaMask native token is coming soon, fueling market optimism. This statement reinforced expectations of a token launch but did not provide a specific date or confirm active tradability, causing a modest price increase.
MetaMask Announces Strategic Integration with Monad Network
September 30 drops to 81%5%
MetaMask expanded its multichain ecosystem by integrating with Monad, a high-throughput EVM-compatible network, continuing its aggressive expansion strategy.
MetaMask Integrates Monad Network to Expand Multichain Ecosystem
September 30 dips to 80%1%
MetaMask announced a strategic integration with Monad, a high-throughput EVM-compatible network, continuing its aggressive multichain expansion.
Phishing Domain Mimicking MetaMask Registered Amid Growing Token Speculation
September 30 dips to 85%2%
A deceptive domain, metamask.io-token.vip, was registered to target MetaMask users, highlighting the intense community anticipation and vulnerability to scams surrounding the rumored token launch.
MetaMask launches in-app perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid
September 30 rises to 85%4%
On November 21, 2025, MetaMask introduced perpetual futures trading within its wallet, allowing users to trade with leverage on various tokens and assets. This expansion of trading features signaled MetaMask's move towards a more comprehensive trading platform, increasing confidence in the upcoming token launch but not confirming it yet.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms $MASK token coming sooner than expected
September 30 surges to 87%36%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that the MetaMask native $MASK token is coming and could arrive sooner than expected, reinforcing market expectations and causing a temporary price surge in the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Launches Perpetual Futures Trading Powered by Hyperliquid
September 30 drops to 81%5%
MetaMask introduced in-app perpetual futures trading on its mobile platform, allowing users to trade over 150 tokens with leverage, expanding its utility ahead of a planned token launch.
MetaMask CEO Joseph Lubin confirms active development of MASK token
September 30 surges to 89%38%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask's native MASK token is in active development, fueling market expectations for a launch soon. This statement increased confidence in the token's eventual release, contributing to rising market prices.
MetaMask and Consensys discuss future token launch in industry interview
In an interview, Joseph Lubin and SharpLink co-CEO discussed the coming MetaMask token, further validating the token launch plans and sustaining market confidence.
MetaMask Rewards program launched with points for trading and referrals
September 30 surges to 89%15%
MetaMask launched the MetaMask Rewards program, allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referring others, further fueling speculation about a potential token airdrop allocation.
Consensys founder discusses upcoming MetaMask token launch
Joseph Lubin, founder of Consensys, discussed the future MetaMask token in an interview, confirming ongoing plans and maintaining strong market optimism about the token launch by the end of 2025.
Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token during interview with The Block
Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discussed the upcoming MetaMask token in a conversation with The Block, reinforcing the timeline for the token launch and ecosystem expansion.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
On November 17, 2025, Consensys founder Joseph Lubin publicly discussed the upcoming MetaMask token in an interview, reaffirming the company's commitment to launching the token, which sustained market confidence and price levels near 87%.
Consensys founder discusses MetaMask token and ecosystem growth
Joseph Lubin, Consensys founder, discussed the upcoming MetaMask token and its role in Ethereum ecosystem growth, providing further confirmation and positive sentiment about the token launch prospects.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask token launch plans
On November 17, 2025, in an interview with The Block, Consensys founder Joseph Lubin reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch a native token, confirming ongoing development and community engagement efforts. This official reconfirmation solidified market confidence in the token launch by the end of 2025.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirms MetaMask token launch plans
In an interview published on November 17, 2025, Joseph Lubin reiterated MetaMask's intention to introduce a native token, providing further confirmation from the project's leadership. This helped maintain market confidence at around 87%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask MASK token is coming soon
September 30 surges to 88%37%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask is preparing to launch its native MASK token, fueling market optimism and a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a 2025 launch. This confirmation was a critical catalyst for the market's increased probability of a token launch by year-end.
Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token progress
In an interview, Joseph Lubin discussed the ongoing development of the MetaMask token and broader Ethereum ecosystem growth, reinforcing market confidence in the token launch within 2025. This media coverage supported sustained high market prices.
Joseph Lubin discusses MetaMask token and Ethereum treasury companies
In an interview, Joseph Lubin discussed the future MetaMask token and its role in expanding the ecosystem, reinforcing the expectation of an imminent token launch and supporting the market's sustained high valuation.
Joe Lubin and SharpLink discuss MetaMask token launch
September 30 dips to 87%1%
Joseph Lubin and SharpLink co-CEO Joseph Chalom discussed the upcoming MetaMask token, confirming the token's development and positioning it as a key future product.
Consensys CEO discusses MetaMask token and Ethereum ecosystem growth
Joseph Lubin discussed the upcoming MetaMask token and its role in Ethereum's future on The Block, reinforcing the token's imminent launch and its importance to the ecosystem, sustaining high market confidence.
MetaMask trading volume soars 75% in 2025 as DeFi adoption accelerates
MetaMask trading volume climbed 75% in 2025, signaling strong market momentum and increased user engagement with the platform, further supporting the potential for a native token launch.
ConsenSys founder Joseph Lubin reiterates upcoming MetaMask token launch
In an interview published on November 17, 2025, Joseph Lubin reaffirmed MetaMask's plans to launch its native token, reinforcing market expectations and sustaining high probability pricing for the token launch by the end of 2026.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin discusses upcoming MetaMask token amid growing ecosystem
In an interview, Consensys founder Joseph Lubin discussed the MetaMask token plans, reinforcing expectations of a launch soon. This public confirmation from a key figure boosted market confidence in the token's arrival before year-end.
MetaMask trading volume surges 75% amid growing DeFi adoption
MetaMask reported a 75% increase in trading volume, reflecting heightened user engagement and confidence in the platform's growth and the upcoming MASK token launch, reinforcing bullish sentiment for the September 30 outcome.
OKX Analysis Highlights Impending MetaMask Token Launch and Potential $12 Billion Valuation
September 30 rises to 87%1%
An analysis published by OKX detailed the mechanics of the highly anticipated MASK token and its potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation, reinforcing market expectations of an upcoming launch.
MetaMask token launch preparations and valuation analysis published
On November 15, 2025, detailed analyses and reports emerged about MetaMask's upcoming MASK token launch, including valuation forecasts and the scale of the anticipated airdrop. This reinforced market expectations and pushed the probability further upward.
MetaMask prepares for highly anticipated MASK token launch with potential $2.4 billion airdrop
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation for the MASK token launch, emphasizing its large user base and potential for one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, which bolstered market optimism in mid-November.
MetaMask prepares to launch highly anticipated MASK token with large airdrop
September 30 rises to 87%1%
MetaMask announced plans to launch its MASK token soon, with expectations of one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, distributing up to $2.4 billion worth of tokens. This announcement increased market confidence in the token launch by year-end.
MetaMask token valuation analysis highlights potential $12 billion FDV
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
An OKX article analyzed MetaMask's upcoming MASK token, estimating a potential fully diluted valuation of $12 billion based on MetaMask's large user base and revenue streams. This analysis fueled market excitement and confidence in the token's launch, pushing prices higher.
MetaMask USD stablecoin launches on Ethereum and Linea
September 30 dips to 85%2%
MetaMask announced and launched its native stablecoin, MetaMask USD (mUSD), integrated into its ecosystem, signaling expansion of MetaMask's financial offerings but not a direct token launch, which tempered market enthusiasm.
MetaMask prepares for major MASK token launch with $2.4 billion airdrop estimate
On November 15, 2025, reports highlighted MetaMask's imminent launch of the MASK token, expected to be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history with an estimated $2.4 billion distribution. This news reinforced market optimism and helped maintain the high price level around 87% Yes.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token launch plans
In mid-November 2025, Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch its native MASK token, reinforcing market expectations and sustaining high confidence in the token's public release before year-end.
MetaMask prepares to launch MASK token with $2.4B airdrop
A detailed report from OKX revealed MetaMask's plans to launch its MASK token, including a massive airdrop and valuation estimates, significantly boosting market confidence in the token's imminent tradability.
Reports Highlight MetaMask's Preparation for MASK Token Launch and Potential $12 Billion Valuation
Media coverage detailed MetaMask's preparations to launch its highly anticipated MASK token, projecting a potential fully diluted valuation of $12 billion and one of the largest airdrops in crypto history.
MetaMask token launch valuation and market excitement rise
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the highly anticipated $MASK token, estimating a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and one of the largest airdrops in crypto history. This news sustained high market optimism and price levels for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask token launch preparations intensify amid $12B valuation speculation
September 30 rises to 78%2%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation for the MASK token launch, emphasizing its large user base and potential valuation, which bolstered market optimism about an imminent token release.
MetaMask Token Anticipation Grows with $12 Billion Valuation Estimates
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Reports emerged estimating MetaMask's MASK token could be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, with a potential valuation of $12 billion and distribution worth $2.4 billion. This fueled market enthusiasm and increased the perceived likelihood of a token launch within 2025.
Reports confirm MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with massive airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
On November 15, 2025, reports detailed MetaMask's preparation to launch its MASK token, with an anticipated $2.4 billion airdrop and a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation, significantly boosting market confidence in the token's imminent launch.
Reports highlight MetaMask preparing to launch highly anticipated MASK token
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Reports emerged that MetaMask is preparing to launch the MASK token, expected to be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, with potential distribution worth billions, driving strong market enthusiasm and price increases.
MetaMask Prepares for MASK Token Launch with $12 Billion Valuation Potential
MetaMask's upcoming MASK token launch was highlighted as a major event, with expectations of a large airdrop and significant valuation, increasing market excitement and price.
MetaMask prepares for token launch amid Consensys IPO plans
September 30 dips to 87%1%
MetaMask announced a new rewards program and Consensys filed for an IPO, suggesting strategic alignment between public company growth and the upcoming MASK token launch, which increased market optimism.
Reports Detail MetaMask's Upcoming MASK Token and $12 Billion Valuation Potential
September 30 rises to 78%3%
Media reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the MASK token with a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and a $2.4 billion airdrop, sustaining high market confidence for a 2025 launch.
MetaMask prepares for imminent MASK token launch with $12 billion valuation forecast
On November 15, 2025, reports highlighted MetaMask's preparation to launch the MASK token, estimating a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation, which further boosted market confidence and sustained the high probability of token launch.
MetaMask preparing to launch highly anticipated MASK token
MetaMask was reported to be preparing for the launch of its MASK token, with expectations of a large airdrop and significant market impact due to its large user base and integration with DeFi protocols. This news increased market optimism about the token launch.
Market analysis highlights MetaMask's upcoming MASK token valuation potential
Reports estimated the MASK token launch could be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history, with up to $2.4 billion worth of tokens distributed. This analysis increased market excitement and contributed to the rising price probabilities for a 2025 launch.
Market Analysis Highlights MetaMask Token Launch Anticipation
Market analysis and price predictions in mid-November 2025 highlighted strong anticipation for the MASK token launch, estimating a large airdrop and significant valuation. This analysis contributed to sustained market optimism and price support.
MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with $12 billion valuation potential
On November 15, 2025, reports highlighted MetaMask's imminent launch of its MASK token, expected to be one of the largest airdrops in crypto history with a potential fully diluted valuation of $12 billion. This news reinforced market expectations of a tradable token launch by year-end, pushing prices near the peak.
MetaMask launches $30 million rewards program linked to upcoming token
September 30 rises to 87%2%
MetaMask introduced a rewards program where users earn points for swaps and trading, which are expected to integrate with the upcoming token, increasing confidence in the token's imminent launch and utility.
Reports highlight MetaMask's MASK token launch and potential $12 billion valuation
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Media coverage detailed the imminent launch of MetaMask's MASK token, emphasizing its large user base and potential valuation, which fueled market excitement and drove prices higher.
MetaMask and Transak add 1:1 on‑ramp for native mUSD stablecoin
MetaMask and fiat‑on‑ramp partner Transak announced the rollout of a 1:1 on‑ramp for MetaMask’s native stablecoin (mUSD). The move was interpreted as building infrastructure that typically precedes a token launch, reinforcing the market’s belief in an imminent token and keeping the Yes odds steady at 87 %.
MetaMask Rewards program continues to drive user engagement ahead of token launch
The ongoing MetaMask Rewards program maintained user activity and anticipation for the MASK token, reinforcing market expectations for an official token launch before year-end.
MetaMask Rewards program points system solidifies token launch expectations
By mid-November, the MetaMask Rewards program had been well established, with users earning points for swaps and activity, widely interpreted as preparatory steps for a token launch. This ongoing program maintained high market confidence in a token launch by the end of 2025.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based Rewards program
MetaMask launched a points-based rewards system allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity, signaling progress toward the MASK token launch and sustaining market optimism for the September 30 outcome.
No official MetaMask token launch or trading by analysis window end
Despite strong market anticipation and rewards program activity, no official MetaMask token launch or public trading was announced or occurred by November 14, 2025, leaving the market's positive sentiment based on expectations rather than confirmed events.
MetaMask introduces multichain accounts for crosschain experience
December 31, 2026 jumps to 87%8%
MetaMask rolled out multichain accounts, a significant update that simplifies crosschain experience for users and positions the wallet as a more comprehensive Web3 platform.
MetaMask releases Multichain Accounts feature simplifying crosschain experience
MetaMask introduced Multichain Accounts, enhancing user experience across multiple blockchains and signaling ongoing ecosystem development, which supported sustained market optimism for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask announces multichain accounts to simplify crosschain experience
On November 13, 2025, MetaMask introduced multichain accounts, a significant platform upgrade that enhances user experience and ecosystem integration, indirectly supporting the token launch narrative by showing active development and ecosystem expansion.
MetaMask announces Multichain Accounts feature enhancing user experience
MetaMask released a major update simplifying crosschain experience with Multichain Accounts, signaling ongoing ecosystem development and maintaining user engagement ahead of the token launch. This contributed to sustained high prices for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels speculation of upcoming token airdrop
By November 12, 2025, the ongoing MetaMask Rewards program, rewarding user activity with points, further intensified speculation about a native token airdrop, sustaining market optimism and price stability at 87% Yes.
MetaMask Rewards program continues, no official token launch yet
September 30 dips to 87%1%
By mid-November, MetaMask's rewards program remained active with no official token launch announcement, but the sustained program and community activity maintained high market confidence in a token launch by the end of 2025.
MetaMask Rewards program details and user engagement continue to support token launch expectations
Ongoing user engagement with the MetaMask Rewards program and continued communication from MetaMask about ecosystem expansion with a native token maintained market confidence at a high level, stabilizing prices around 87%.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US operations with new licenses and stablecoin onramp
On November 12, 2025, Transak, MetaMask's fiat-onramp partner, secured six new US Money Transmitter Licenses and launched 1:1 stablecoin onramping for MetaMask's native stablecoin mUSD. This infrastructure expansion supports MetaMask's ecosystem growth and indirectly bolsters confidence in the upcoming token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program gains traction with active user participation
The ongoing MetaMask Rewards program continued to engage users by allowing them to earn points for trading and swapping, reinforcing expectations of a future token launch and maintaining high market optimism.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms upcoming MetaMask native token
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed that MetaMask will launch its own native token in the near future, reinforcing market expectations and driving the price higher.
Sui launches USDsui stablecoin interoperable with MetaMask
On November 12, 2025, Sui introduced USDsui, a U.S.-compliant stablecoin interoperable with MetaMask among other platforms. This development highlighted MetaMask's growing integration in the DeFi ecosystem and increased confidence in its token launch prospects.
MetaMask Rewards program points hint at deeper token integration
September 30 rises to 87%1%
By mid-November, MetaMask emphasized that points earned in the Rewards program would offer deeper integration across the ecosystem, including the upcoming MetaMask token. This reinforced market expectations of a token launch before year-end, stabilizing the price around 87%.
Consensys CEO reiterates imminent MetaMask token launch
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Joseph Lubin reiterated that the MetaMask MASK token launch is imminent, reinforcing market expectations. This statement helped sustain high prediction market prices for a token launch by September 30 and June 30, 2025.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 rises to 87%1%
Joseph Lubin publicly reaffirmed MetaMask's intention to launch a native token soon, reinforcing market confidence in the token's imminent tradability and contributing to sustained high market prices.
On-chain indicators and domain registrations heighten expectations of MetaMask token airdrop
September 30 rises to 87%1%
By mid-November, on-chain activity and domain registrations such as claim.metamask.io suggested preparations for a token airdrop, increasing market confidence that MetaMask would launch a tradable token by September 30, 2025. This helped maintain the market price around 87%.
Coinbase Announces Monad Token Sale as First US Public Sale in Seven Years
September 30 dips to 86%1%
Coinbase announced a $188 million public token sale for Monad starting November 17, signaling a major regulatory shift and opening the doors for compliant token launches in the US.
MetaMask expands tokenized US stocks trading via Ondo integration
September 30 rises to 87%1%
MetaMask integrated Ondo Finance to offer tokenized US stocks, ETFs, and commodities trading, broadening its ecosystem and increasing anticipation for the MASK token as part of its expanding DeFi offerings.
MetaMask trading volume surges 75% in 2025, driven by stablecoin use and DeFi adoption
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
MetaMask's trading volume increased significantly, fueled by the growing use of stablecoins like mUSD and renewed interest in decentralized finance. This growth signaled strong ecosystem activity and bolstered confidence in the upcoming token launch.
MetaMask trading volume surges amid DeFi adoption and token launch anticipation
By November 10, 2025, MetaMask's trading volume had surged 75% in 2025, driven by easier onboarding and renewed DeFi interest, which supported the token launch narrative and helped maintain the market price near 88%.
Reports detail MetaMask's MASK token launch and potential $2.4 billion airdrop
September 30 rises to 88%2%
On November 10, 2025, reports emerged describing the upcoming launch of MetaMask's MASK token, highlighting a potential airdrop worth $2.4 billion. This news heightened market excitement and confidence in the token's active and tradable launch.
MetaMask token hype builds, while Aster open positions surge 46%: Crypto Markets Today
September 30 jumps to 88%10%
CoinDesk published a markets‑section piece titled “MetaMask token hype builds, while Aster open positions surge 46%” that highlighted growing speculation and early‑stage token‑airdrop talk, sustaining the bullish sentiment and keeping the Yes price near 88 %.
MetaMask launches Bridge Aggregator feature to enhance cross-chain asset transfers
MetaMask introduced a new bridge aggregator feature to improve user experience in moving assets across blockchains, demonstrating ongoing platform development but unrelated directly to the MASK token launch. This helped maintain user engagement but did not significantly affect token launch market prices.
MetaMask Rewards Program and Domain Discoveries Fuel Near-Term Token Launch Speculation
September 30 jumps to 88%14%
Following the launch of MetaMask Rewards and the discovery of the claim.metamask.io domain, traders bid up the probability of a token launch by September 30, 2026, to its peak of 90%.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US operations with new licenses
Transak, MetaMask's official fiat-onramp partner, secured six new Money Transmitter Licenses in the US, enhancing MetaMask's infrastructure and user onboarding capabilities, reinforcing confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem growth and token launch prospects.
On-chain indicators and domain registrations hint at imminent MetaMask token airdrop
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
By November 7, 2025, on-chain activity and domain registrations such as claim.metamask.io increased speculation about an upcoming token airdrop, driving the market price sharply higher to around 90%. This suggested strong community belief in an imminent token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program points linked to upcoming token integration
September 30 dips to 88%2%
MetaMask highlighted that points earned in the Rewards program will offer deeper integration across the MetaMask ecosystem, including the upcoming MetaMask token. This official linkage further boosted market confidence, sustaining the high probability of a token launch by September 30.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed again that MetaMask intends to launch its own native token soon, reinforcing market expectations. This statement contributed to the price rising to a peak of 89% on November 7, 2025.
Market optimism peaks on MetaMask token launch anticipation
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
By November 7, 2025, market price surged to 89% Yes, reflecting heightened optimism fueled by ongoing MetaMask Rewards activity and community speculation about the imminent token launch, despite no official token issuance or trading yet.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels token launch speculation
September 30 jumps to 90%5%
The ongoing MetaMask Rewards program, which allows users to earn points for trading and swapping, was highlighted as a mechanism likely linked to a future token airdrop, boosting market optimism and pushing prices to a peak of 90%.
MetaMask Rewards program drives user activity and market confidence
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
By November 7, 2025, the ongoing rewards program and anticipation of the token launch had significantly increased market confidence, pushing the market price to 90% Yes, reflecting strong belief in the eventual token launch before the deadline.
MetaMask Rewards program launches to incentivize user activity
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
MetaMask introduced the Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading and swapping, which is widely anticipated to be linked to future token airdrops, significantly boosting market confidence in the imminent token launch.
MetaMask ecosystem expands with Transak partnership for stablecoin onramping
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
MetaMask and its partner Transak secured six new U.S. Money Transmitter Licenses and launched 1:1 stablecoin onramping for MetaMask USD (mUSD) in September 2025, with news spreading in early November. This infrastructure enhancement boosted confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem and token launch prospects, pushing the market price to a high of 90% Yes on November 7.
MetaMask's MASK token launch imminent, valued at $12 billion potential
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
On November 7, 2025, reports highlighted the imminent launch of MetaMask's MASK token, emphasizing its large user base and potential valuation of $12 billion. This news drove the market price to peak at 90% Yes, reflecting strong belief in the token's public tradability.
Reports detail MetaMask's MASK token launch and $12 billion valuation potential
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
News outlets reported on MetaMask preparing to launch the MASK token with a potential $12 billion fully diluted valuation and a large airdrop, fueling excitement and driving the market price higher.
MetaMask Rewards Program and Perpetual Futures Launch Drives Early Token Speculation
September 30 surges to 88%37%
The launch of MetaMask's seasonal points-based Rewards program and perpetual futures trading in late October 2025 fueled massive speculation that a native token launch was imminent, driving the September 30 outcome to its peak.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US licenses, supporting MetaMask USD stablecoin
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
On November 7, 2025, Transak, MetaMask's fiat-onramp partner, secured six new US Money Transmitter Licenses and integrated 1:1 stablecoin onramping for MetaMask USD, enhancing MetaMask's ecosystem and signaling readiness for token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program gains traction, boosting token launch optimism
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
As the MetaMask Rewards program expanded with more user engagement and point accumulation, market optimism about the token launch increased, pushing the price from 79% to 89% on November 7. This reflected strong belief that the token would be publicly tradable by the end of 2025.
MetaMask prediction market odds peak near 90% amid token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 90%39%
Following the Rewards program launch and CEO confirmations, prediction markets showed a peak in token launch probability, reflecting heightened community expectations for a 2025 MASK token release.
OKX reports MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with large airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
OKX published an article detailing MetaMask's preparation to launch the MASK token, highlighting a potential $2.4 billion airdrop and the token's expected tradability. This report significantly boosted market confidence in the token launch.
MetaMask to add Polymarket prediction markets, rolls out perpetual trading with Hyperliquid
September 30 surges to 72%19%
MetaMask announced a partnership with Polymarket to add prediction‑market functionality, signalling further product expansion that many interpreted as a step toward a native token ecosystem. The announcement coincided with a sharp increase from 53 % to 72 % Yes on 7 Nov.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels speculation of imminent token launch
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
By November 7, 2025, the MetaMask Rewards program had gained traction, with users actively earning points and speculating on a potential token airdrop. This increased market optimism and pushed the price to a high of 89%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
In early November 2025, Joseph Lubin, CEO of ConsenSys, publicly confirmed plans for MetaMask to launch its own native token, reinforcing market expectations and pushing the price from 79% to 89% Yes.
MetaMask preparing to launch MASK token with $2.4 billion airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
Reports confirmed MetaMask's preparation to launch its MASK token, with an anticipated large-scale airdrop worth $2.4 billion, driving strong market excitement and a surge in the token launch probability.
Polymarket Volume Surges on MetaMask Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 90%39%
Speculation around the MASK token reached a peak in early November following the registration of claim domains and the launch of the Rewards program, driving up the odds of a token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, hinting at future token airdrop
September 30 jumps to 89%11%
MetaMask launched its Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and referrals, widely interpreted as a mechanism to qualify for the upcoming token airdrop, boosting market optimism.
Consensys CEO Joe Lubin confirms MetaMask token launch coming soon
September 30 surges to 88%16%
Joe Lubin, CEO of Consensys and Ethereum co-founder, publicly confirmed that MetaMask's native token, possibly called MASK, would launch sooner than expected, sparking excitement and driving market optimism for a token launch by September 30.
MetaMask Rewards program highlights upcoming token integration
September 30 jumps to 90%11%
MetaMask's official communications emphasized that the rewards points program will offer deeper integration across the MetaMask ecosystem including the upcoming MetaMask token, further solidifying market belief in an imminent token launch.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask will launch native token soon
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed plans for MetaMask to launch its own native token to expand the ecosystem. This official confirmation boosted market confidence and drove the price sharply higher.
Market speculation intensifies on MetaMask token airdrop linked to Rewards program
September 30 surges to 90%18%
Speculation grew that points earned in the MetaMask Rewards program would determine eligibility for a future token airdrop. This speculation further increased market confidence, pushing the price from 72% to 79% and then to 90% by November 7.
MetaMask launches Rewards program fueling token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 78%25%
MetaMask introduced a Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading and referrals, which many interpreted as groundwork for a future token airdrop, significantly increasing market optimism.
MetaMask launches Rewards program to prepare for MASK token airdrop
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
MetaMask introduced a structured rewards program rewarding wallet activity with points, which are speculated to be used for future MASK token airdrop allocations, increasing user engagement and market optimism.
Market optimism grows on MetaMask token launch prospects
September 30 surges to 90%18%
Following the Rewards program launch and ongoing confirmations, market participants increased their confidence in MetaMask launching a tradable token by the deadline, pushing prices higher on November 6 and 7.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 jumps to 79%8%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirmed plans for MetaMask to launch its own native token, which would expand the MetaMask ecosystem. This confirmation reinforced market expectations for a token launch by the end of 2025, contributing to the price increase.
MetaMask Rewards program activity spikes amid token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 78%27%
Following the launch of the Rewards program and clarifications, user activity increased significantly, reflected in market price jumps for the September 30 outcome. This surge indicated growing belief in an imminent token launch and airdrop, driving prices from 51% to 78% within days.
MetaMask launches Rewards program linked to upcoming token
September 30 surges to 78%25%
MetaMask introduced a Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and swapping, which are expected to integrate with the forthcoming MetaMask token, boosting user engagement and token launch anticipation.
MetaMask token launch anticipation surges after CEO confirms upcoming MASK token
September 30 surges to 78%25%
Following earlier confirmations, Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated plans for the MetaMask MASK token launch, intensifying market excitement. This news caused a sharp price increase from 53% to 78% on November 6 and further to 89% by November 7.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin Confirms Upcoming MetaMask Token Alongside Rewards Program
September 30 jumps to 78%6%
Reports highlighted that Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirmed a MetaMask token is coming, with the newly launched Season 1 rewards program expected to determine allocations.
MetaMask Rewards program fuels speculation of upcoming token launch
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
MetaMask's Rewards program, active in late 2025, allowed users to earn points for trading and swapping, increasing market anticipation for the native MASK token launch, which was confirmed by ConsenSys CEO Joseph Lubin in September 2025 but not yet launched.
MetaMask partner Transak expands US operations with new licenses
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
Transak, MetaMask's official fiat-onramp partner, secured six new Money Transmitter Licenses in the US, enhancing infrastructure and supporting stablecoin onramping. This expansion signaled growing ecosystem support ahead of the token launch.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 surges to 78%25%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed again in early November 2025 that MetaMask intends to launch its native MASK token soon, reinforcing market expectations and causing a sharp price increase from 53% to 78%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token plans
September 30 jumps to 79%7%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch a native token, reinforcing market expectations. This statement, combined with the ongoing rewards program, increased confidence in a token launch by the end of 2025.
MetaMask on-chain indicators and domain registrations fuel airdrop speculation
September 30 surges to 90%18%
In early November 2025, on-chain activity and new domain registrations like claim.metamask.io intensified speculation about a forthcoming MASK token airdrop. This contributed to a price rise from 72% to 79% and then 90% by November 7, reflecting growing market confidence in an imminent token launch.
Monad Announces Mainnet and MON Token Launch Date Following Airdrop Claim
September 30 surges to 74%23%
Monad announced it will launch its mainnet and MON token on November 24, fueling broader market optimism and speculation regarding upcoming major token launches and airdrops like MetaMask's.
MetaMask Structured Rewards Program Drives Intense Token Airdrop Speculation
September 30 dips to 72%2%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's structured rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward authentic wallet activity with points, fueling widespread speculation that these points will directly qualify users for a future MASK token airdrop.
MetaMask launches MetaMask Rewards program for users
December 31, 2026 surges to 71%20%
MetaMask launched a structured rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward real wallet activity with points that unlock benefits, with the points linked to future airdrop eligibility for the native token.
MetaMask launches Rewards program boosting token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 74%23%
On November 5, 2025, MetaMask launched its structured Rewards program, allowing users to earn points for trading and swapping, which many interpreted as a precursor to a native token airdrop. This development increased market confidence in a token launch by September 30, reflected in a price jump from 51% to 74%.
MetaMask Rewards Program Launches to Incentivize User Activity
September 30 surges to 74%23%
MetaMask introduced its Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referrals, which many speculated would be linked to a future token airdrop. This concrete step increased market confidence in the token launch by rewarding active users and signaling progress towards the token release.
MetaMask Rewards Program Fuels Intense Token Airdrop Speculation
September 30 rises to 78%4%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's structured rewards program as a primary mechanism for users to accumulate points, driving heavy speculation that these points will determine eligibility for the highly anticipated MASK token.
MetaMask launches structured rewards program for wallet activity
December 31, 2026 surges to 71%20%
MetaMask introduced a structured rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward real wallet activity with points, linking the program to future airdrop eligibility and signaling active ecosystem development.
MetaMask Structured Rewards Program Fuels Widespread Token Airdrop Speculation
September 30 surges to 90%19%
Reports highlighted MetaMask's newly launched structured rewards program organized into seasons, which incentivizes authentic on-chain wallet activity and is widely anticipated to determine future token airdrop allocations.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 surges to 71%19%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed in September 2025 that MetaMask will launch its own native token, reinforcing market expectations and supporting the price rise during early November.
Meta Platforms' AI spending recalls past metaverse losses
September 30 surges to 71%19%
Meta Platforms' large investments in AI raised investor concerns reminiscent of previous costly metaverse projects, causing some market caution but not directly impacting the token launch confidence.
Monad Announces Mainnet and Token Launch Date on Coinbase
September 30 rises to 72%1%
Layer-1 blockchain Monad announced its mainnet and MON token launch for November 24, 2025, utilizing Coinbase's new token listing platform, which energized the broader Web3 token launch landscape.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reconfirms MetaMask native token plans
September 30 surges to 71%19%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterated MetaMask's intention to launch its own native token to expand the ecosystem. This confirmation reinforced market expectations for a token launch by the end of 2025, contributing to the price increase in the prediction market.
MetaMask Co-Founder Dan Finlay Hints at Native Token Amid Regulatory Shifts
September 30 surges to 73%22%
MetaMask co-founder Dan Finlay discussed the potential launch of a native token, noting that a more relaxed regulatory environment under the incoming administration makes a token issuance more feasible.
MetaMask launches structured rewards program for users
MetaMask launched a rewards program organized into 'seasons' to reward real wallet activity with points, linking the program to future token airdrops and eligibility.
MetaMask launches Rewards program to earn points for trading and referrals
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced a Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading, swapping, and referrals. This program is widely speculated to be linked to eligibility for a future token airdrop, significantly boosting market optimism and causing a sharp price increase from 52% to 71%.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirms MetaMask's upcoming native token launch
September 30 surges to 71%20%
In early November, Joseph Lubin confirmed again that MetaMask plans to launch its own native MASK token, reinforcing market expectations and boosting confidence in the token's imminent release.
MetaMask launches MetaMask Rewards program to earn points and speculate on token airdrop
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced a rewards program allowing users to earn points through swaps, transactions, and referrals, fueling speculation about a future token airdrop. This development caused a sharp price increase from 52% to 71% on November 5, reflecting growing market confidence in the token launch.
Market Prices Surge on Speculation of Imminent MetaMask Token Launch
September 30 surges to 73%22%
On November 5, 2025, the market saw a sharp increase in prices for the September 30 and June 30 token launch outcomes, reflecting heightened speculation and rumors of an imminent MetaMask token launch. This surge was likely driven by unconfirmed reports and increased market chatter, pushing prices to new highs.
MetaMask Users Express Disappointment Over LINEA Rewards Instead of MASK
September 30 surges to 72%19%
As the Rewards program progressed, community sentiment experienced a shift as users realized Season 1 distributed LINEA tokens rather than the highly anticipated MASK token, causing a temporary adjustment in near-term launch expectations.
Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask token is coming “soon” on Crypto Beat podcast
September 30 rises to 53%2%
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin said on the Crypto Beat podcast that MetaMask will launch its own native token “soon,” reinforcing speculation that the token could appear before the end of the year. This direct confirmation from the founder lifted market confidence and pushed the Yes probability up from 51 % to 53 % on 5 Nov.
Marketing checklist for token launch highlights importance of public launch communications
September 30 surges to 71%19%
On November 5, 2025, a detailed marketing checklist article emphasized the critical final steps for a token launch, reflecting growing market anticipation for MetaMask's token. This contributed to increased market confidence and price rise.
Marketing checklist published for crypto token launches
September 30 surges to 71%19%
A detailed marketing checklist for token launches was published, highlighting the importance of coordinated communications for successful token generation events, likely influencing market optimism about MetaMask's upcoming token launch.
MetaMask blockchain wallet app update released with new features
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask released version 7.58.0 of its blockchain wallet app, indicating ongoing development and user engagement, which supported positive market sentiment about the token launch prospects.
MetaMask Launches $30 Million LINEA Token Rewards Program
September 30 surges to 72%19%
MetaMask announced the distribution of over $30 million in LINEA tokens through its rewards program. This concrete reward mechanism reinforced the expectation of a forthcoming native token launch, causing the September 30 outcome odds to surge.
MetaMask Rewards program gains traction, boosting token launch expectations
September 30 surges to 71%19%
By November 5, 2025, the MetaMask Rewards program had attracted over 1,800 users earning benefits, reinforcing expectations of an imminent token launch. This increased user activity and market confidence, reflected in a sharp price rise from 52% to 71%.
MetaMask integrates Polymarket prediction markets into mobile app
September 30 surges to 89%15%
MetaMask launched native prediction markets powered by Polymarket within its mobile wallet, enhancing user engagement and signaling the platform's evolution toward a token-driven economy, supporting token launch expectations.
MetaMask app update released with new features enhancing user engagement
September 30 rises to 72%1%
MetaMask released version 7.58.0 of its mobile wallet app on November 5, 2025, improving user experience and potentially increasing wallet activity, which supports the rewards program and token launch anticipation.
MetaMask launches structured Rewards program to incentivize user activity
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced a rewards program organized into seasons, allowing users to earn points for trading and swapping within the wallet. This program is linked to future token allocations and increased market optimism about the token launch.
MetaMask launches Rewards program fueling token launch speculation
September 30 surges to 71%19%
MetaMask introduced the Rewards program allowing users to earn points for trading and referrals, widely interpreted as a precursor to a token launch and potential airdrop, which caused a sharp increase in market price for the September 30 outcome.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms upcoming MetaMask native token
September 30 rises to 52%1%
In September 2025, Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed that MetaMask plans to launch its own native token, fueling market anticipation and speculation about the token's release and potential airdrop. This official statement increased confidence in the token launch.
MetaMask Rewards Program Launches, Boosting Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 88%37%
MetaMask launched its Rewards program in early November 2025, allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referrals. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the MetaMask token launch, increasing market optimism about a 2025 token release.
MetaMask enables easy crypto-to-cash conversions within its wallet
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask announced new features allowing users to sell crypto directly to fiat via debit cards, PayPal, and bank accounts, enhancing wallet utility and user engagement, indirectly supporting token launch optimism.
MetaMask enables easy crypto purchases on multiple networks
September 30 rises to 53%2%
MetaMask announced enhanced capabilities allowing users to buy thousands of tokens across hundreds of networks with familiar payment methods, improving user accessibility and engagement with the platform, which positively influenced market confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem expansion.
MetaMask launches crypto sell feature enabling fiat cashouts
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask introduced a new feature allowing users to sell crypto directly to fiat payment methods, enhancing wallet utility and signaling ecosystem maturity, which contributed to early market optimism about the token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, allowing users to earn points for swaps and referrals
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask introduced the MetaMask Rewards program, enabling users to earn points through token swaps, transactions, and referrals, which increased community engagement and speculation about a future token launch, driving market optimism.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask native token launch plans
September 30 rises to 52%1%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, publicly confirmed that MetaMask will launch its own native token in the near future, increasing market confidence in the token's eventual release and driving up the market price for the September 30 outcome.
MetaMask Rewards program launched with points for trading and referrals
December 31, 2026 surges to 74%23%
MetaMask launched the MetaMask Rewards program, allowing users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referring others, which many anticipate will be used for a future token airdrop allocation.
Consensys CEO confirms MetaMask will launch native token soon
September 30 rises to 52%1%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed in September 2025 that MetaMask plans to launch its own native token. This confirmation, reiterated around early November, increased market confidence that a token launch is forthcoming, driving the market price up from 51% to 52%.
Momentum (MMT) token launches with strong market control
September 30 rises to 52%1%
Momentum (MMT) launched on November 4, 2025, demonstrating strong market presence with 78% control of the Sui DEX market and significant daily fees, which influenced crypto market sentiment but was unrelated to MetaMask's token launch.
MetaMask launches structured rewards program to prepare for token launch
September 30 rises to 52%1%
On November 4, 2025, MetaMask introduced a rewards program that allows users to earn points for trading, swapping, and referrals, signaling preparation for a future token airdrop. This program incentivizes genuine wallet activity, increasing user engagement and market optimism about the token launch.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reaffirms MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 surges to 74%23%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed again in early November that MetaMask intends to launch its own native token, reinforcing earlier announcements and increasing market confidence in the token's eventual release.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches, Sparking Token Launch Speculation
September 30 surges to 89%38%
MetaMask launched its Rewards Season 1 program on October 4, 2025, allowing users to earn points for trading and referrals, which many speculated would convert into allocations for the upcoming MASK token. This program increased market optimism about a token launch before year-end, reflected in rising prediction market odds.
MetaMask enables selling crypto to fiat via debit, credit, PayPal, and bank
September 30 rises to 52%1%
On November 4, 2025, MetaMask introduced a feature allowing users to sell crypto directly to fiat payment methods, enhancing wallet utility and user engagement, which contributed to positive market sentiment about the token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, fueling token launch speculation
September 30 rises to 52%1%
MetaMask introduced its Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and referrals, which many interpreted as a precursor to a native token launch, boosting market optimism.
MetaMask launches $30 million LINEA rewards program
September 30 dips to 61%2%
MetaMask announced a $30 million rewards program distributing LINEA tokens, seen as a precursor to the MASK token launch and a way to test reward distribution mechanisms, boosting market confidence in the token launch timeline.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin reiterates MetaMask token launch plans
September 30 surges to 74%23%
Joseph Lubin, CEO of Consensys, confirmed again that MetaMask intends to launch its native MASK token soon, reinforcing earlier announcements and fueling market optimism about the token's arrival. This statement helped push the market price from 51% to 74% Yes on November 4-5.
MetaMask trading volume surges 75% amid growing DeFi adoption
September 30 surges to 74%23%
MetaMask's trading volume jumped 75% in 2025, signaling strong user engagement and growing decentralized finance adoption, which increased confidence in MetaMask's ecosystem and potential token launch.
MetaMask Rewards program launches, hinting at upcoming token airdrop
September 30 surges to 88%37%
MetaMask launched its Rewards program allowing users to earn points through trading and referrals, widely interpreted as a precursor to the anticipated MASK token airdrop. This development increased market confidence in a token launch before year-end.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms upcoming MetaMask native token launch
September 30 rises to 52%1%
In September 2025, Joseph Lubin confirmed that MetaMask will launch its own native token soon, sparking market optimism. This official confirmation increased confidence that the token would be actively tradable by the end of 2025, driving the market price from 51% to 52% on November 4-5.
MetaMask integrates tokenized US stocks and ETFs via Ondo Global Markets
December 31, 2026 plunges to 34%16%
MetaMask expanded its ecosystem by enabling eligible users to buy and trade over 200 tokenized US stocks and ETFs directly within the wallet, enhancing platform utility ahead of the token launch.
MetaMask Clarifies Rewards Program and Token Generation Event Structure
September 30 surges to 73%22%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched Rewards Points Program and the forthcoming Token Generation Event are distinct yet interconnected initiatives, offering over $30 million in LINEA tokens to boost user engagement.
MetaMask announces $30 million Linea token rewards program linked to upcoming Token Generation Event
September 30 jumps to 78%5%
On November 2, 2025, MetaMask clarified that its Rewards Points Program and the forthcoming Token Generation Event are distinct but interconnected, with over $30 million in Linea tokens allocated as rewards. This announcement further validated the token launch plans and sustained market enthusiasm.
MetaMask launches $30 million Linea token rewards program
September 30 surges to 73%22%
MetaMask announced a $30 million rewards program in Linea tokens, distinct yet related to the upcoming Token Generation Event, clarifying the structure and increasing user engagement expectations. This announcement supported rising market prices for both June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
MetaMask Clarifies Separation Between Rewards Program and Token Generation Event
June 30 plunges to 63%15%
MetaMask clarified that its newly launched Rewards program and the anticipated Token Generation Event (TGE) are distinct initiatives. This clarification cooled down immediate expectations of a native token launch, causing a temporary drop in the June 30 outcome odds.
MetaMask clarifies distinction between Rewards program and Token Generation Event
September 30 surges to 90%17%
MetaMask issued statements clarifying that the Rewards Points Program and the upcoming Token Generation Event are separate but interconnected initiatives. This transparency helped maintain user trust and market confidence in the token launch timeline.
MetaMask clarifies rewards program and Token Generation Event are distinct
June 30 jumps to 69%6%
On November 2, 2025, MetaMask clarified that its Rewards Points Program and forthcoming Token Generation Event are separate but interconnected efforts, offering over $30 million in LINEA tokens for engagement. This reassured the market about the token launch plans, supporting price gains for both June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
MetaMask clarifies Rewards and Token Generation Event are distinct but linked
September 30 rises to 87%1%
MetaMask clarified that its Rewards Points Program and forthcoming Token Generation Event are separate but interconnected, reinforcing expectations of a MASK token launch and supporting market confidence.
MetaMask announces $30 million Linea token rewards program
June 30 jumps to 69%9%
MetaMask launched a $30 million Linea token rewards program distinct from but related to its upcoming Token Generation Event, reinforcing confidence in the imminent token launch and boosting market prices for the June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
Consensys CEO Joseph Lubin confirms MetaMask token launch soon
June 30 surges to 75%25%
Joseph Lubin publicly confirmed on a podcast that the MetaMask MASK token is coming and may launch sooner than expected, signaling strong intent and increasing market confidence in a 2025 launch.
MetaMask expands multichain support including Bitcoin and launches perpetual futures trading
MetaMask expanded its wallet to support native Bitcoin transactions and launched perpetual futures trading, enhancing its ecosystem and increasing anticipation for the $MASK token launch.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based rewards system
June 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the token launch, significantly boosting market optimism and causing a sharp price rise in the June 30 outcome.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based Rewards program
June 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards system allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This program was widely interpreted as a precursor to the MASK token airdrop, driving increased market optimism and price gains.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 Launches Fueling MASK Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 78%28%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and the discovery of a password-protected claim domain triggered a sharp rise in prediction market odds for a near-term token launch.
MetaMask launches first-ever points-based rewards system
September 30 surges to 75%25%
MetaMask introduced a points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity, fueling speculation about an imminent MASK token airdrop and driving market prices higher for June 30 and September 30 outcomes.
MetaMask launches points-based rewards system hinting at upcoming token
June 30 surges to 75%25%
In October 2025, MetaMask introduced its first-ever points-based rewards program allowing users to earn perks and potential token allocations through wallet activity. This initiative increased market optimism about a forthcoming MASK token, driving up prices for the June 30 outcome from 50% to 75%.
Consensys hires JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs for IPO, signaling growth and token launch
September 30 jumps to 89%10%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, hired major banks to advise on an IPO, coinciding with the token launch preparations. This move signaled strong institutional confidence and contributed to rising market odds for the MASK token launch.
Speculation intensifies as new MetaMask domains hint at upcoming token claim portal
September 30 surges to 73%22%
The registration of domains like claim.metamask.io and gift.metamask.io sparked speculation about an imminent token airdrop or claim event. This development triggered a sharp rally in prediction market betting activity, significantly raising the perceived likelihood of a token launch by September 30.
Consensys appoints JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs to lead IPO preparations
June 30 surges to 75%25%
Consensys, MetaMask's parent company, announced it had hired JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs to lead its IPO, signaling strong institutional backing and increasing market optimism about MetaMask's token launch prospects, driving prices higher.
MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and Perps Launch Fuel Token Speculation
June 30 surges to 71%21%
The launch of MetaMask Rewards Season 1 and MetaMask Perps in October 2025, alongside the discovery of a password-protected claim domain, sparked intense speculation about an upcoming token launch.
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