California’s SB 1387, which would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category for ancestry or ethnicity on demographic forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature. The measure passed the Senate 33-0 and cleared a key Assembly committee vote on August 13, 2026, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the session. Supporters, including Jewish California and allied organizations, argue the change improves data collection on hate crimes, healthcare, and education without creating new protected classes or altering religious recognition. With broad committee backing and limited organized opposition reported, traders appear to view enactment by year-end as highly probable, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for Yes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
90% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
90% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California’s SB 1387, which would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category for ancestry or ethnicity on demographic forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature. The measure passed the Senate 33-0 and cleared a key Assembly committee vote on August 13, 2026, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the session. Supporters, including Jewish California and allied organizations, argue the change improves data collection on hate crimes, healthcare, and education without creating new protected classes or altering religious recognition. With broad committee backing and limited organized opposition reported, traders appear to view enactment by year-end as highly probable, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for Yes.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volumen
$1,269Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California’s SB 1387, which would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category for ancestry or ethnicity on demographic forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature. The measure passed the Senate 33-0 and cleared a key Assembly committee vote on August 13, 2026, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the session. Supporters, including Jewish California and allied organizations, argue the change improves data collection on hate crimes, healthcare, and education without creating new protected classes or altering religious recognition. With broad committee backing and limited organized opposition reported, traders appear to view enactment by year-end as highly probable, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for Yes.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,269Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California’s SB 1387, which would require state agencies to add an optional “Jewish” category for ancestry or ethnicity on demographic forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature. The measure passed the Senate 33-0 and cleared a key Assembly committee vote on August 13, 2026, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the session. Supporters, including Jewish California and allied organizations, argue the change improves data collection on hate crimes, healthcare, and education without creating new protected classes or altering religious recognition. With broad committee backing and limited organized opposition reported, traders appear to view enactment by year-end as highly probable, reflected in the 89.5% implied probability for Yes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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