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icon for Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?

icon for Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for Demokraten

Demokraten

$960 Vol.

80%

icon for Republikaner

Republikaner

$19 Vol.

22%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Latino voters, including men, shifting back toward Democrats for the 2026 midterms after Republican gains in 2024. Multiple surveys from UnidosUS, Equis Research, and others indicate Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot among Latinos by 20-plus points nationally and double digits in competitive districts, with specific data pointing to Hispanic men favoring Democrats by roughly 20 points. This stems from sharply negative approval ratings for President Trump among Latino men—around 59% disapproval versus 36% approval—driven primarily by concerns over cost of living, inflation, and economic performance. Defection signals among 2024 Trump voters have risen, with one in five showing potential movement or indecision, though both parties underperform prior support levels amid widespread voter skepticism. Trader consensus reflects these trends in the current pricing.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$877
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Latino voters, including men, shifting back toward Democrats for the 2026 midterms after Republican gains in 2024. Multiple surveys from UnidosUS, Equis Research, and others indicate Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot among Latinos by 20-plus points nationally and double digits in competitive districts, with specific data pointing to Hispanic men favoring Democrats by roughly 20 points. This stems from sharply negative approval ratings for President Trump among Latino men—around 59% disapproval versus 36% approval—driven primarily by concerns over cost of living, inflation, and economic performance. Defection signals among 2024 Trump voters have risen, with one in five showing potential movement or indecision, though both parties underperform prior support levels amid widespread voter skepticism. Trader consensus reflects these trends in the current pricing.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of Latino men in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. For purposes of this market, Latino and Hispanic will be considered synonymous; it will not matter which term is used by the resolution source. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$877
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen weiße Frauen gewinnen?

48%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen junge Männer gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen junge Männer gewinnen?

73%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

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Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei gewinnt Latino-Männer in den Midterms?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokraten" mit 80%, gefolgt von „Republikaner" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 80¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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