Recent median listing prices for New York City homes have hovered near $665K, with the July 2026 figure at $664.5K after a June peak of $689K, placing the market squarely between the two leading Polymarket bins. Persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates continue to support prices despite softer transaction volumes, while broader Zillow Home Value Index readings near $833K reflect compositional differences in the underlying data series. Seasonal inventory builds ahead of fall and any further shifts in Treasury yields or Fed policy signals represent the main near-term variables that could tip the September 30 print between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K ranges. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, with limited probability assigned to outcomes outside the central $600K–$700K corridor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert663.000 $ - 689.000 $ 45.4%
636.000 $ - 663.000 $ 45.1%
$609.000 - $636.000 5.9%
689.000 $+ 2.6%
$64,798 Vol.
$64,798 Vol.
<555.000 $
5%
555.000 $ - 582.000 $
3%
582.000 $ - 609.000 $
1%
$609.000 - $636.000
6%
636.000 $ - 663.000 $
45%
663.000 $ - 689.000 $
45%
689.000 $+
3%
663.000 $ - 689.000 $ 45.4%
636.000 $ - 663.000 $ 45.1%
$609.000 - $636.000 5.9%
689.000 $+ 2.6%
$64,798 Vol.
$64,798 Vol.
<555.000 $
5%
555.000 $ - 582.000 $
3%
582.000 $ - 609.000 $
1%
$609.000 - $636.000
6%
636.000 $ - 663.000 $
45%
663.000 $ - 689.000 $
45%
689.000 $+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent median listing prices for New York City homes have hovered near $665K, with the July 2026 figure at $664.5K after a June peak of $689K, placing the market squarely between the two leading Polymarket bins. Persistent low inventory and elevated mortgage rates continue to support prices despite softer transaction volumes, while broader Zillow Home Value Index readings near $833K reflect compositional differences in the underlying data series. Seasonal inventory builds ahead of fall and any further shifts in Treasury yields or Fed policy signals represent the main near-term variables that could tip the September 30 print between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K ranges. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of uncertainty, with limited probability assigned to outcomes outside the central $600K–$700K corridor.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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