The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group completed its extended deployment in the U.S. Central Command area after arriving in January 2026 and supporting operations against Iran, including strikes and a maritime blockade of Iranian ports. Its relief by the forward-deployed USS George Washington, which entered the Arabian Sea on August 19, enabled the Lincoln to begin its transit out of CENTCOM on August 20 and into the U.S. 7th Fleet by August 22. The nine-month mission—originally slated to conclude in May—was prolonged by ongoing regional requirements, with the carrier spending over 250 days at sea and limited port calls due to threat environments. Trader assessments of departure timing have centered on the timing of this carrier rotation, official CENTCOM statements confirming the handover, and any remaining procedural or transit milestones within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUSS Abraham Lincoln verlässt CENTCOM um...?
$18,712 Vol.
15. September
100%
8. September
98%
30. September
100%
31. Oktober
100%
$18,712 Vol.
15. September
100%
8. September
98%
30. September
100%
31. Oktober
100%
The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Lincoln will be considered to have departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has departed the CENTCOM area of responsibility or entered the any other area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically exited the CENTCOM area of responsibility.
The departure must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Abraham Lincoln left the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”
Port calls, temporary stops, crew liberty at an intermediate port, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, is preparing to depart, or is awaiting relief will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying departure has occurred. A qualifying departure will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group completed its extended deployment in the U.S. Central Command area after arriving in January 2026 and supporting operations against Iran, including strikes and a maritime blockade of Iranian ports. Its relief by the forward-deployed USS George Washington, which entered the Arabian Sea on August 19, enabled the Lincoln to begin its transit out of CENTCOM on August 20 and into the U.S. 7th Fleet by August 22. The nine-month mission—originally slated to conclude in May—was prolonged by ongoing regional requirements, with the carrier spending over 250 days at sea and limited port calls due to threat environments. Trader assessments of departure timing have centered on the timing of this carrier rotation, official CENTCOM statements confirming the handover, and any remaining procedural or transit milestones within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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