Donald Trump leads early trader attention for TIME's 2026 Person of the Year due to his continued dominance of the global news cycle as president and his history of shaping political narratives. The first American-born Pope, Leo XIV, has emerged as a notable contender following his historic election, drawing interest for the cultural and religious milestone it represents in his debut full year. New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani has seen rising market interest tied to his profile in urban politics and policy debates. AI remains a factor given the prior year's group selection of its "architects," though individual tech figures continue to compete for attention. The December announcement will hinge on year-defining events across politics, technology, and culture, with markets reflecting aggregated sentiment on influence rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTIME Person of the Year 2026
James Talarico
36%
Donald Trump
20%
Zohran Mamdani
18%
Artificial Intelligence
16%
Sam Altman
16%
Jeremy Hansen
16%
Victor Glover
16%
Dario Amodei
11%
Reid Wiseman
15%
Péter Magyar
10%
Pope Leo XIV
13%
Elon Musk
19%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Christina Koch
12%
Marco Rubio
10%
Alysa Liu
9%
Shehbaz Sharif
11%
Bad Bunny
9%
ChatGPT
8%
Jerome Powell
8%
Taylor Swift
23%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
6%
$3,129 Vol.
James Talarico
36%
Donald Trump
20%
Zohran Mamdani
18%
Artificial Intelligence
16%
Sam Altman
16%
Jeremy Hansen
16%
Victor Glover
16%
Dario Amodei
11%
Reid Wiseman
15%
Péter Magyar
10%
Pope Leo XIV
13%
Elon Musk
19%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Christina Koch
12%
Marco Rubio
10%
Alysa Liu
9%
Shehbaz Sharif
11%
Bad Bunny
9%
ChatGPT
8%
Jerome Powell
8%
Taylor Swift
23%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
6%
A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
Additionally, the following rules apply:
If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous.
If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017.
If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
Additionally, the following rules apply:
If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person.
If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous.
If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017.
If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump leads early trader attention for TIME's 2026 Person of the Year due to his continued dominance of the global news cycle as president and his history of shaping political narratives. The first American-born Pope, Leo XIV, has emerged as a notable contender following his historic election, drawing interest for the cultural and religious milestone it represents in his debut full year. New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani has seen rising market interest tied to his profile in urban politics and policy debates. AI remains a factor given the prior year's group selection of its "architects," though individual tech figures continue to compete for attention. The December announcement will hinge on year-defining events across politics, technology, and culture, with markets reflecting aggregated sentiment on influence rather than guaranteed outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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