The three newly promoted sides—Venezia, Frosinone, and Monza—enter the 2026-27 Serie A campaign as the clearest relegation candidates after replacing Cremonese, Hellas Verona, and Pisa. Pre-season simulations and ante-post odds consistently flag Monza (around 43-75% implied probability across models) and Frosinone (29-41%) as the highest-risk sides, reflecting their limited resources and historical difficulty surviving in the top flight. Venezia sits only slightly behind (33-44%), buoyed by Serie B champions status and forward Akor Adams but hampered by repeated prior relegations. Lecce, which scraped survival last season on late results, joins the mix alongside early strugglers like Fiorentina. The season’s opening fixtures have already seen Monza and Venezia drop points, while managerial continuity for Giovanni Stroppa, Massimiliano Alvini, and Ivan Jurić offers the promoted clubs their best path to stability amid a 38-match marathon that rewards squad depth and defensive organization.