Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading the popular vote ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the race for second place between the Parti Libéral du Québec and the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PLQ benefits from concentrated support in Montreal and among anglophones and allophones, while the CAQ has gained ground in recent surveys among francophones, women, and older voters amid trade tensions with the United States. Seat projections indicate both parties remain competitive for official opposition status depending on how tightly contested ridings resolve, with regional turnout and late campaign shifts likely to determine the final order. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty between the two main contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPLQ 39%
CAQ 35%
PQ 18%
QS 1.8%

PLQ
39%

CAQ
35%

PQ
18%

QS
2%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%
PLQ 39%
CAQ 35%
PQ 18%
QS 1.8%

PLQ
39%

CAQ
35%

PQ
18%

QS
2%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading the popular vote ahead of the October 5 election, leaving the race for second place between the Parti Libéral du Québec and the Coalition Avenir Québec. The PLQ benefits from concentrated support in Montreal and among anglophones and allophones, while the CAQ has gained ground in recent surveys among francophones, women, and older voters amid trade tensions with the United States. Seat projections indicate both parties remain competitive for official opposition status depending on how tightly contested ridings resolve, with regional turnout and late campaign shifts likely to determine the final order. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty between the two main contenders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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