Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District in the June 23 primary by defeating incumbent Dan Goldman with roughly 66% of the vote to Goldman’s 34%, producing a margin exceeding 30 points. Pre-primary polling had shown Lander maintaining a wide lead built on his prior citywide profile as comptroller and mayoral candidate, combined with organized support in Brooklyn and Manhattan precincts. The decisive outcome aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% price on a Lander margin of 30% or more. Late shifts in turnout or vote tabulation errors remain the only realistic paths that could alter final certified results, though neither has materialized in available reporting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLander 30%+ 98.5%
Lander <10% 2.9%
Lander 20–30 % 2.7%
Lander 10–20 % <1%
$76,090 Vol.
$76,090 Vol.
Lander 30%+
99%
Lander 20–30 %
3%
Lander 10–20 %
<1%
Lander <10%
3%
Anderes
<1%
Lander 30%+ 98.5%
Lander <10% 2.9%
Lander 20–30 % 2.7%
Lander 10–20 % <1%
$76,090 Vol.
$76,090 Vol.
Lander 30%+
99%
Lander 20–30 %
3%
Lander 10–20 %
<1%
Lander <10%
3%
Anderes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District in the June 23 primary by defeating incumbent Dan Goldman with roughly 66% of the vote to Goldman’s 34%, producing a margin exceeding 30 points. Pre-primary polling had shown Lander maintaining a wide lead built on his prior citywide profile as comptroller and mayoral candidate, combined with organized support in Brooklyn and Manhattan precincts. The decisive outcome aligned with trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% price on a Lander margin of 30% or more. Late shifts in turnout or vote tabulation errors remain the only realistic paths that could alter final certified results, though neither has materialized in available reporting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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