Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, anchor trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. Thompson secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican Ron Eller in the November general election. The district’s composition, centered on the Mississippi Delta and including much of Jackson, consistently favors Democratic candidates in congressional races. With the implied probability of a Democratic victory above 90 percent, only late-cycle developments such as an unexpected retirement, serious health issue, or major scandal would realistically alter the current market positioning ahead of Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMS-02 Wahlsieger
MS-02 Wahlsieger
$36,191 Vol.
$36,191 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
92%
Republikanische Partei
8%
$36,191 Vol.
$36,191 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$21,374 Vol.
92%
Republikanische Partei
$14,817 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, anchor trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. Thompson secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican Ron Eller in the November general election. The district’s composition, centered on the Mississippi Delta and including much of Jackson, consistently favors Democratic candidates in congressional races. With the implied probability of a Democratic victory above 90 percent, only late-cycle developments such as an unexpected retirement, serious health issue, or major scandal would realistically alter the current market positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$36,191Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, anchor trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. Thompson secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican Ron Eller in the November general election. The district’s composition, centered on the Mississippi Delta and including much of Jackson, consistently favors Democratic candidates in congressional races. With the implied probability of a Democratic victory above 90 percent, only late-cycle developments such as an unexpected retirement, serious health issue, or major scandal would realistically alter the current market positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,191Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson’s long incumbency and the Mississippi 2nd District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Thompson’s 62 percent share in 2024, anchor trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will prevail. Thompson secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary against two challengers and faces Republican Ron Eller in the November general election. The district’s composition, centered on the Mississippi Delta and including much of Jackson, consistently favors Democratic candidates in congressional races. With the implied probability of a Democratic victory above 90 percent, only late-cycle developments such as an unexpected retirement, serious health issue, or major scandal would realistically alter the current market positioning ahead of Election Day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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