Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has issued only written statements attributed to him via state media, with no confirmed public appearances, video, or audio since taking office, fueling reports of severe injuries including burns and possible mobility or neurological effects sustained in the same attacks. Iranian officials have maintained tight security around his location amid ongoing conflict and negotiations, while speculation centers on whether his condition requires medical evacuation abroad or prompts relocation for regime continuity. Key variables include the trajectory of ceasefire talks, IRGC influence in decision-making, and any verified health updates that could shift timelines for departure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$2,120,453 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
30. Juni
<1%
$2,120,453 Vol.
30. Juni
$710,221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has issued only written statements attributed to him via state media, with no confirmed public appearances, video, or audio since taking office, fueling reports of severe injuries including burns and possible mobility or neurological effects sustained in the same attacks. Iranian officials have maintained tight security around his location amid ongoing conflict and negotiations, while speculation centers on whether his condition requires medical evacuation abroad or prompts relocation for regime continuity. Key variables include the trajectory of ceasefire talks, IRGC influence in decision-making, and any verified health updates that could shift timelines for departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Volumen
$2,120,453Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has issued only written statements attributed to him via state media, with no confirmed public appearances, video, or audio since taking office, fueling reports of severe injuries including burns and possible mobility or neurological effects sustained in the same attacks. Iranian officials have maintained tight security around his location amid ongoing conflict and negotiations, while speculation centers on whether his condition requires medical evacuation abroad or prompts relocation for regime continuity. Key variables include the trajectory of ceasefire talks, IRGC influence in decision-making, and any verified health updates that could shift timelines for departure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,120,453Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was elected Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the assassination of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in late February U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated the 2026 Iran war. He has issued only written statements attributed to him via state media, with no confirmed public appearances, video, or audio since taking office, fueling reports of severe injuries including burns and possible mobility or neurological effects sustained in the same attacks. Iranian officials have maintained tight security around his location amid ongoing conflict and negotiations, while speculation centers on whether his condition requires medical evacuation abroad or prompts relocation for regime continuity. Key variables include the trajectory of ceasefire talks, IRGC influence in decision-making, and any verified health updates that could shift timelines for departure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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